Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to Pittsburgh 1-2, playoff odds down 0.006 to 99.99%

92 points 41 24-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh 2 Philadelphia 1	-0.3		-0.3
Detroit 4 Minnesota 2			-0.1
New Jersey 5 Dallas 3			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
St Louis vs Arizona	+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Chicago			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

106	7	0		-	0	In		6.4	%	98	2															25,056
105	6	0		-	1	In		1.0		93	7															20,687
104	6	1		-	0	In		0.4		88	12	0														154,913
	5	0		-	2	In		0.3		83	17	0														7,165
103	5	1		-	1	In		0.0		70	29	1	0													108,360
	4	0		-	3	In		No		62	35	3														1,440
102	5	2		-	0	In		0.0		52	43	5	0													409,813
	4	1		-	2	In		No		43	48	9	0													31,833
	3	0		-	4	In		No		30	53	17														159
101	4	2		-	1	In		No		27	55	18	0													240,804
	3	1		-	3	In		No		22	53	24	0													4,902
	2	0		-	5	In		No		13	67	20														15
100	4	3		-	0	In		No		12	50	37	1	0												603,172
	3	2		-	2	In		No		8	46	44	2													56,030
	2	1		-	4	In		No		4	37	56	3													466
99	3	3		-	1	In		No		3	33	59	5	0												281,892
	2	2		-	3	In		No		2	26	63	9	0												6,552
	1	1		-	5	In		No			7	93														14
98	3	4		-	0	In		No		0	16	67	15	0	0											533,630
	2	3		-	2	In		No		0	13	69	18	1												49,416
	1	2		-	4	In		No			7	72	21	1												380
97	2	4		-	1	In		No		0	4	63	29	3	0	0										186,576
	1	3		-	3	In		No		0	3	54	38	5	0	0										3,914
	0	2		-	5	In		No				57	29	14												7
96	2	5		-	0	In		No		0	1	42	45	11	0	0										282,418
	1	4		-	2	In		No			1	38	46	14	1	0										21,922
	0	3		-	4	In		No				28	49	19	4											96
95	1	5		-	1	In		No			0	22	46	29	3	0	0									66,302
	0	4		-	3	In		No				15	41	39	4	1										848
94	1	6		-	0	100.0	%	No			0	7	33	49	10	1	0	0								82,785
	0	5		-	2	In		No				5	28	49	16	2	0									3,852
93	0	6		-	1	99.8		No				1	12	49	30	6	2	0	0							9,656
92	0	7		-	0	97.5		No				0	3	36	44	8	7	2	0	0						10,825

Total:						100.0	%	0.1	%	20	28	36	12	4	1	0	0	0	0	0						3,205,900

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 2 Philadelphia 1	+0.8
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	+0.1
Detroit 4 Minnesota 2	+0.0
New Jersey 5 Dallas 3	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Calgary vs Colorado	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
St Louis vs Arizona	+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

106	7	0		-	0	6	39	50	4	0	0
105	6	0		-	1	1	19	63	16	1	0
104	6	1		-	0	0	10	56	29	5	0	0
	5	0		-	2	0	9	51	32	7	0
103	5	1		-	1	0	2	35	43	17	3	0	0
	4	0		-	3		2	31	43	21	4	0
102	5	2		-	0	0	0	16	37	32	12	2	0	0
	4	1		-	2		0	13	34	35	15	3	0
	3	0		-	4			7	25	42	20	5	2
101	4	2		-	1		0	4	20	37	28	10	1	0
	3	1		-	3			3	17	35	30	12	2	0
	2	0		-	5				7	53	27	13
100	4	3		-	0		0	0	5	20	35	28	10	1	0	0
	3	2		-	2			0	4	17	34	31	12	1	0
	2	1		-	4				2	11	33	33	19	2
99	3	3		-	1			0	1	6	23	37	26	6	1	0
	2	2		-	3				1	5	20	37	29	8	1	0
	1	1		-	5						21	50	29
98	3	4		-	0			0	0	1	6	23	40	23	6	1	0	0
	2	3		-	2				0	0	5	21	40	25	7	1	0	0
	1	2		-	4					0	4	16	42	30	7	2
97	2	4		-	1				0	0	1	9	31	36	18	4	0	0	0
	1	3		-	3					0	1	7	28	36	22	5	1	0
	0	2		-	5							14		57	29
96	2	5		-	0					0	0	1	10	29	34	19	5	1	0
	1	4		-	2						0	1	9	27	34	21	6	1	0
	0	3		-	4								7	27	34	24	5	1	1
95	1	5		-	1						0	0	2	12	29	32	18	5	1	0
	0	4		-	3							0	2	9	25	31	25	7	1
94	1	6		-	0								0	2	9	25	33	22	7	1	0	0	0
	0	5		-	2								0	1	7	23	33	24	9	2	0
93	0	6		-	1								0	0	1	9	22	32	24	9	2	0	0	0
92	0	7		-	0										0	1	6	20	33	27	10	2	1	0

Total:						0	1	7	11	13	14	15	15	10	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0