Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 10%

79 points 36 32-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	+0.5		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville	-0.8-0.7-1.0-0.0+0.1+0.9		-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in			Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Promoted	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

93	7	0		-	0	98.4	%	No			0	7	29	9	38	14	2	0							25,445
92	6	0		-	1	91.0		No				1	11	7	40	33	9	0	0						20,696
91	6	1		-	0	74.2		No				0	2	4	25	43	23	3	0	0					154,991
	5	0		-	2	72.8		No				0	2	4	24	43	24	3	0						7,203
90	5	1		-	1	45.9		No				0	0	1	10	35	42	11	1	0					108,822
	4	0		-	3	42.9		No					0	1	8	34	43	12	2						1,402
89	5	2		-	0	19.5		No					0	0	2	17	43	29	8	1					410,227
	4	1		-	2	18.4		No					0	0	2	17	42	30	9	1					31,869
	3	0		-	4	13.1		No						1	2	10	41	33	10	3					176
88	4	2		-	1	5.8		No					0	0	0	5	30	41	20	2	0				240,127
	3	1		-	3	4.8		No							0	5	29	41	22	3	0				4,942
	2	0		-	5	Out		No									58	33	8						12
87	4	3		-	0	0.9		No						0	0	1	11	36	39	13	0				603,038
	3	2		-	2	0.7		No							0	1	11	34	41	13	0				56,176
	2	1		-	4	Out		No									8	31	44	17	0				454
86	3	3		-	1	0.1		No							0	0	3	23	47	26	1	0			282,008
	2	2		-	3	0.0		No								0	3	22	48	26	1				6,502
	1	1		-	5	Out		No									8	25	25	42					12
85	3	4		-	0	0.0		No								0	0	8	38	51	3	0			533,534
	2	3		-	2	Out		No									0	7	36	52	5	0			49,935
	1	2		-	4	Out		No									0	5	32	56	7	0			396
84	2	4		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	2	24	61	12	0	0		186,432
	1	3		-	3	Out		No									0	2	23	60	14	1	0		3,790
	0	2		-	5	Out		No												78	11	11			9
83	2	5		-	0	Out		No									0	0	8	63	26	2	0		281,267
	1	4		-	2	Out		No									0	0	7	57	31	5	0		21,827
	0	3		-	4	Out		No											5	54	32	8	1		102
82	1	5		-	1	Out		No										0	2	43	43	11	1		66,127
	0	4		-	3	Out		No											2	40	42	14	1		867
81	1	6		-	0	Out		No										0	0	26	47	23	3	0	83,316
	0	5		-	2	Out		No											0	18	45	32	5	0	3,870
80	0	6		-	1	Out		No											0	8	36	42	14	0	9,745
79	0	7		-	0	Out		No												3	21	45	29	2	10,581

Total:						10.0	%	No			0	0	0	0	2	7	14	19	24	26	6	1	0	0	3,205,900

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	-0.1
Winnipeg 2 Vancouver 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

93	7	0		-	0									0	1	8	22	33	24	9	1	1	0
92	6	0		-	1										0	1	5	19	33	26	7	5	3	0	0
91	6	1		-	0										0	0	1	5	18	31	20	11	13	2	0	0
	5	0		-	2												0	4	17	30	21	11	14	2	0
90	5	1		-	1											0	0	1	5	18	22	8	34	11	1	0
	4	0		-	3													0	4	16	23	8	35	12	2	0
89	5	2		-	0												0	0	1	5	14	4	34	30	11	2	0
	4	1		-	2													0	0	4	14	4	33	31	12	2	0
	3	0		-	4														1	2	10	4	31	33	14	5
88	4	2		-	1													0	0	1	5	1	21	38	27	8	1	0
	3	1		-	3														0	1	4	0	20	37	28	8	1
	2	0		-	5																		50	17	25	8
87	4	3		-	0														0	0	1	0	5	22	38	28	7	0	0
	3	2		-	2														0	0	1	0	5	21	37	29	7	0
	2	1		-	4																		2	20	39	28	10	0
86	3	3		-	1															0	0		1	9	30	40	17	1	0
	2	2		-	3																0		1	8	30	42	18	2	0
	1	1		-	5																			8	25	42	17	8
85	3	4		-	0																0		0	1	10	35	43	10	1	0
	2	3		-	2																		0	1	9	34	43	12	1	0
	1	2		-	4																			2	5	30	47	14	2
84	2	4		-	1																0		0	0	3	22	48	24	4	0	0
	1	3		-	3																			0	3	19	47	26	5	0	0
	0	2		-	5																						56	33	11
83	2	5		-	0																			0	0	5	34	43	15	2	0	0
	1	4		-	2																				0	4	31	43	19	3	0
	0	3		-	4																					2	35	40	18	4	1
82	1	5		-	1																				0	1	17	40	31	9	1	0
	0	4		-	3																					1	17	37	33	11	1	0
81	1	6		-	0																					0	4	25	39	24	7	1	0
	0	5		-	2																						3	18	39	30	9	1	0
80	0	6		-	1																						1	9	28	37	21	4	0
79	0	7		-	0																						0	2	12	31	37	17	2	0

Total:														0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	2	9	13	16	18	17	9	4	1	0	0	0	0