How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2 -7.1
-0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville-0.8-0.7-0.7*-0.1*-0.2+0.9
-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsPromoted12345678910111213141516Count
9160-083.6%No023718261420050,305
9050-158.1No02382629111035,556
8951-027.1No09216372881265,459
40-225.1No0921436299110,358
8841-19.0No040526402240155,056
30-37.6No30427412131,612
8742-01.7No101123639110586,224
31-21.4No10111363913036,081
20-40.8No153733231133
8632-10.2No000321452910274,327
21-30.1No00320462914,292
10-5OutNo501717176
8533-00.0No0019414630689,724
22-20.0No000840474048,069
11-4OutNo03276360233
8423-10.0No00221591710241,924
12-3OutNo0219562123,723
01-5OutNo5038138
8324-0OutNo0012582730456,639
13-2OutNo01054314028,244
02-4OutNo447361297
8214-1OutNo023148190106,873
03-3OutNo0226462511,157
8115-0OutNo0121492810160,776
04-2OutNo016463626,283
8005-1OutNo03276010018,855
7906-0OutNo01176219023,886
Total:5.1%No002128162631113003,205,900
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2 +0.9
Winnipeg 2 Vancouver 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9160-001519332588100
9050-101621316259100
8951-000162153226910
40-200520431281120
8841-100180203626810
30-3017018372791
8742-000206243725600
31-2010522372780
20-413173428171
8632-1001928392120
21-301828382330
10-5501733
8533-00021237401010
22-20011035411210
11-442555142
8423-10003184627500
12-302174330810
01-525501313
8324-0006334216200
13-20530421930
02-442438277
8214-1011236361410
03-3193139182
8115-004214028600
04-20318383290
8005-100523462330
7906-001937401210
Total:000013151015202113731000