Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat NY Rangers 4-2, playoff odds up 0.02 to 99.999%

93 points 42 24-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	+0.1		+0.2
New Jersey 5 Dallas 3			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
St Louis vs Arizona	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago	+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Calgary vs Colorado			+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

107	7	0		-	0	In		11.8	%	12	55	32	1													25,368
106	6	0		-	1	In		5.7		6	41	46	6	0												20,375
105	6	1		-	0	In		1.0		1	23	62	14	0												155,062
	5	0		-	2	In		0.8		1	22	63	15	0												7,303
104	5	1		-	1	In		0.2		0	11	56	32	1												108,232
	4	0		-	3	In		0.2		0	9	55	35	1												1,467
103	5	2		-	0	In		0.0		0	3	48	46	4												409,641
	4	1		-	2	In		0.0		0	2	47	46	4												32,095
	3	0		-	4	In		No			2	45	50	3												185
102	4	2		-	1	In		0.0		0	1	26	60	14												239,408
	3	1		-	3	In		No			1	24	61	14												4,998
	2	0		-	5	In		No				23	69	8												13
101	4	3		-	0	In		No			0	15	60	25												603,896
	3	2		-	2	In		No			0	14	59	26												55,949
	2	1		-	4	In		No				15	56	29												483
100	3	3		-	1	In		No			0	4	45	51	0											282,064
	2	2		-	3	In		No				4	45	51	1											6,484
	1	1		-	5	In		No				8	33	58												12
99	3	4		-	0	In		No				1	31	66	1											532,118
	2	3		-	2	In		No				1	29	69	1											49,388
	1	2		-	4	In		No				1	31	67	1											385
98	2	4		-	1	In		No				0	12	80	7											187,228
	1	3		-	3	In		No				0	11	80	9											3,849
	0	2		-	5	In		No					22	67	11											9
97	2	5		-	0	In		No				0	5	83	12											283,001
	1	4		-	2	In		No				0	4	82	13											21,999
	0	3		-	4	In		No						90	10											124
96	1	5		-	1	In		No				0	1	67	32											66,135
	0	4		-	3	In		No					0	63	36											845
95	1	6		-	0	In		No					0	59	41											83,429
	0	5		-	2	In		No					0	56	44											3,879
94	0	6		-	1	99.9	%	No					0	31	69		0	0	0							9,768
93	0	7		-	0	99.7		No						24	75		0	0	0							10,708

Total:						100.0	%	0.2	%	0	3	18	36	39	4		0	0	0							3,205,900

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2	-0.8
Pittsburgh 2 Philadelphia 1	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Calgary vs Colorado	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
St Louis vs Arizona	+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

107	7	0		-	0	12	55	32	2	0
106	6	0		-	1	6	38	46	10	1	0
105	6	1		-	0	1	20	56	20	2	0
	5	0		-	2	1	19	58	21	2	0
104	5	1		-	1	0	7	39	39	14	1	0
	4	0		-	3	0	6	36	41	16	1
103	5	2		-	0	0	1	25	43	25	5	0	0
	4	1		-	2	0	1	25	44	25	5	0	0
	3	0		-	4		1	22	50	24	3
102	4	2		-	1	0	0	5	25	40	24	5	0	0
	3	1		-	3		0	5	25	39	25	6	0
	2	0		-	5				23	46	31
101	4	3		-	0		0	2	13	35	35	13	2	0	0
	3	2		-	2		0	2	13	35	34	14	2	0
	2	1		-	4			2	11	33	36	15	2	0
100	3	3		-	1			0	1	12	34	37	15	2	0	0
	2	2		-	3			0	1	11	33	37	15	2	0	0
	1	1		-	5					8	25	42	25
99	3	4		-	0			0	0	4	20	38	28	8	1	0	0
	2	3		-	2			0	0	4	19	36	30	10	2	0	0
	1	2		-	4				0	4	22	34	29	10	0
98	2	4		-	1				0	0	3	18	39	29	9	2	0	0
	1	3		-	3					0	3	18	38	30	10	2	0
	0	2		-	5						11	11	33	33		11
97	2	5		-	0				0	0	1	6	24	35	24	8	1	0	0
	1	4		-	2					0	1	5	20	35	27	10	2	0	0
	0	3		-	4							1	23	32	28	10	5
96	1	5		-	1						0	0	6	21	33	26	11	2	0	0
	0	4		-	3							0	6	17	33	27	14	3
95	1	6		-	0							0	1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0	0
	0	5		-	2							0	1	4	16	33	30	14	3	0
94	0	6		-	1								0	0	4	15	30	32	15	3	0	0	0
93	0	7		-	0									0	0	4	17	32	31	14	3	0	0

Total:						0	2	9	13	16	17	15	12	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0