"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2 +1.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville-2.1-2.0-1.5*+0.3+0.6+2.3
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago-0.3*-0.3-0.5*-0.2*-0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsPromoted12345678910111213141516Count
9980-0InNo11950291012,913
9870-1InNo0229581000011,606
9771-0InNo0119611801088,159
60-2InNo11759210204,846
9661-1InNo03464119072,090
50-3InNo3404421101,128
9562-0InNo0131463171273,253
51-2InNo12746420225,432
40-4InNo18525223148
9452-1100.0%No0938838700192,408
41-3100.0No06338421005,052
30-5InNo9179481723
9353-099.6No042411451600482,828
42-299.4No03211147181056,264
31-499.2No117949231624
20-6InNo1001
9243-196.0No0784536400283,012
32-393.8No0464142608,729
21-595.8No463154448
9144-084.6No025304814200531,491
33-281.5No0142848162066,104
22-476.3No1323492130758
11-6InNo1001
9034-159.2No001134532810250,145
23-350.6No018423711107,650
12-540.9No536481144
8935-029.9No003264024600376,722
24-226.2No0032341266043,671
13-421.6No0219373370468
8825-110.6No011033391520131,597
14-37.8No08314118203,439
03-5OutNo5633119
8726-01.8No002143735110166,190
15-21.4No0113363612015,599
04-4OutNo14373811108
8616-10.2No052743232038,812
05-30.2No042543262627
8517-00.0No0073248120041,834
06-2OutNo0730501312,329
8407-1OutNo0220522424,854
8308-0OutNo0335461514,884
Total:71.8%No00171342323138420003,205,900
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 NY Rangers 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Nashville+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Chicago+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1
St Louis vs Arizona+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9980-00041632311530
9870-1019283719500
9771-000315343213300
60-20214323215300
9661-100212303318510
50-30210283418710
9562-000416323114300
51-200315313216400
40-4172737235
9452-1002112934194000
41-3029253422710
30-54417263099
9353-0003153232142000
42-2003133033163100
31-421030331771
20-6100
9243-1002133234153100
32-30019273619420
21-5819402922
9144-000417352878100
33-2003153330710200
22-4211323251530
11-6100
9034-10041936625910
23-30214347301120
12-5932112523
8935-000162343126910
24-200521431281010
13-40417130321410
8825-101101213624710
14-317020382581
03-5335611
8726-000206233625700
15-20105233626710
04-4619432110
8616-10011029382030
05-30092838214
8517-0001829411830
06-21729412030
8407-1021336351210
8308-0021637351010
Total:00000123581113151339753100000