Holy capitalism Batman, we’re in the Wall Street Journal |
Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances 2019
Did not play, playoff odds down 3 to 92.3%
8-3-0 .727
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | -1.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | -0.1 | -0.2 | ||
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -7.4+3.9+5.7 | -0.8+0.1+0.6 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | +2.9+3.3-9.6 | +0.3-0.0-1.0 | ||
| LA Rams vs Seattle | -2.8+3.5+3.9 | |||
| Chicago vs Dallas | -0.8*+0.6+0.6 | |||
| Green Bay vs Washington | -0.1*-0.3+0.3 | -0.1+0.5+0.5 | ||
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | -0.1*-0.0+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 35 | 58 | 7 | 337,358 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 8 | 64 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 1,011 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 8 | 878,667 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 14 | 37 | 29 | 20 | 2,118 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.7 | % | 0 | 3 | 19 | 30 | 46 | 1 | 888,333 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.5 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 75 | 2 | 1,575 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 76.3 | 4 | 6 | 66 | 23 | 1 | 438,822 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 68.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 30 | 1 | 571 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 25.0 | 0 | 25 | 53 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 104,710 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 13.5 | 13 | 50 | 29 | 8 | 52 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1.7 | 2 | 17 | 54 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 9,899 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 92.3 | % | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,663,120 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | +0.4 | |
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | +0.1 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.0 | |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | +1.5-0.3-1.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | -0.6+0.1+1.9 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | +0.2-0.9-0.9 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | |
| Houston vs Denver | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 40 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 27 | 2 | 26 | 5 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 31 | 5 | 21 | 8 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 46 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 74 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 58 | 8 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 29 | 27 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
