How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina 21 Washington 29 +0.5
NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs WashingtonOut*Out+0.0
-0.2+0.8+1.2
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsOut*Out+0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Dallas+0.0*OutOut
Arizona vs Pittsburgh-0.2*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Carolina-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Detroit+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
74-0-00.6%111242359110,320
6.53-0-1Out829461776
63-1-0Out021438361010146,162
5.52-1-1Out09602640743
52-2-0Out0117403290688,157
1-1-2Out3333333
4.51-2-1Out932391631,997
41-3-0Out031846341,193,519
0-2-2Out1001
3.50-3-1Out1937531,560
30-4-0Out100620,582
Total:0.0%0000126121623392,663,120
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/28100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 21 Washington 29 -1.1
Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 +0.3
Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 +0.1
NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 -0.1
Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 +0.1
Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 +0.0
Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 -0.0
Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/5100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Washington+0.4-0.6-2.1
Arizona vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.3-0.1
Atlanta vs Carolina+0.2-0.1-0.2
Cleveland vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.0+0.2
Minnesota vs Detroit-0.0*+0.1+0.2
Philadelphia vs NY Giants-0.0+0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs San Francisco+0.1-0.1-0.0
Houston vs Denver-0.0-0.1+0.0
New England vs Kansas City+0.0-0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs LA Chargers+0.1*+0.0-0.0
NY Jets vs Miami-0.0+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Baltimore-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
74-0-010292433228200
6.53-0-11825322671
63-1-0015173129144000
5.52-1-121124352171
52-2-0000314293117500
1-1-23367
4.51-2-100623352880
41-3-000318403350
0-2-2100
3.50-3-101948392
30-4-0166222
Total:00000001224810131919175