NFC South Playoff Chances 2019

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

New Orleans		10	-	2	-	0	.833	50	In			24	35	41														2.2	+0.04	5	.601	New Orleans Saints

Tampa Bay		5	-	7	-	0	.417	-6	0.1	%	+0.0						0	8	16	27	26	14	6	2	1	0	0	9.6	+1.11	14	.490	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina		5	-	7	-	0	.417	-40	0.0		-1.0						0	1	5	10	18	39	15	7	4	1	0	10.9	-1.02	17	.424	Carolina Panthers
Atlanta		3	-	9	-	0	.250	-63	Out									0	0	1	4	8	15	22	24	19	8	13.4	+0.27	20	.380	Atlanta Falcons

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 11/28
Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26
8:20 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	In		+0.2
Tampa Bay			+0.1
Carolina	-0.6
Atlanta	*Out		-0.5

Carolina 21 Washington 29
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			+0.2
Carolina	-0.9		-1.0
Atlanta			-0.0

Arizona 7 LA Rams 34
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	-0.2		-0.0
Atlanta			+0.1

NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			-0.0
Tampa Bay			+0.0
Carolina	-0.1
Atlanta			+0.1

Detroit 20 Chicago 24
12:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			-0.0
Carolina	-0.1		-0.1
Atlanta			+0.0

Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			+0.6
Carolina			-0.1

Miami 37 Philadelphia 31
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			+0.1
Carolina			+0.1

Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			+0.1

Dallas 15 Buffalo 26
4:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			+0.0

Seattle vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			2.1*2.22.2
Tampa Bay	0.1*Out0.1

Week of 12/5
Minnesota vs DetroitIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			2.2*2.22.0
Tampa Bay	0.10.50.2		9.59.69.7
Carolina			10.811.011.0
Atlanta			13.3*13.413.6

Tampa Bay vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	0.2*0.20.0		9.19.510.1
Carolina			11.010.710.8
Atlanta			13.4*13.413.3

LA Rams vs SeattleHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	0.1*Out0.0		9.69.59.5

Atlanta vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			9.59.69.6
Carolina	Out*Out0.0		11.510.410.2
Atlanta			12.613.814.2

Chicago vs DallasHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	0.1*Out0.1		9.79.59.5
Carolina			11.010.810.8

New Orleans vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			1.52.22.5

Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			9.69.49.3
Carolina			10.910.710.8
Atlanta			13.313.513.6

Green Bay vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			2.22.12.1
Tampa Bay			9.5*9.69.6
Carolina			10.8*10.911.0
Atlanta			13.313.513.6

Arizona vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			10.910.910.8
Atlanta			13.6*13.413.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.