Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2019
Lost to Tennessee 17-31, playoff odds down 28.8 to 11.5%
6-6-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | -24.0 | -1.5 | ||
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -4.6 | -0.3 | ||
| Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 | -1.0 | |||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.7 | -0.0 | ||
| Denver 23 LA Chargers 20 | +0.3 | |||
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | -8.1*+0.9+10.0 | -0.6+0.4+0.8 | ||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +5.1+7.2-2.9 | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | ||
| Houston vs Denver | -1.6-3.6+3.5 | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +1.0*-0.9-0.4 | |||
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | -0.1*+1.5+0.4 | -0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 87.0 | % | 26 | 20 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 160,369 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 58.1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 36 | 6 | 573 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 23.4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 693,170 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 6.0 | 6 | 36 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 1,640 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,036,025 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 46 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1,545 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 44 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 633,334 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 456 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 13 | 48 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 136,006 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 11.5 | % | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,663,120 | ||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +2.8 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | +0.4 | |
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.1 | |
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | +0.1 | |
| Carolina 21 Washington 29 | -0.1 | |
| Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6 | -0.0 | |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | -0.0 | |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | +1.4-0.7-1.8 | |
| Chicago vs Dallas | +0.1-0.3-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Denver | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati | +0.1*-0.3-0.2 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | |
| Atlanta vs Carolina | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs Miami | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.1*+0.2-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 26 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 28 | 13 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 28 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
