"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Houston Texans Playoff Chances 2019
Beat New England 28-22, playoff odds up 15.9 to 85.6%
8-4-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | +15.3 | +0.8 | ||
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +2.3 | +0.2 | ||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.9 | |||
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Houston vs Denver | +6.1-3.6-13.5 | +0.3-0.3-0.6 | ||
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | +3.2+3.8-3.9 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | +2.3*-2.2-1.3 | |||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +1.1*-0.4-0.5 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | -0.4*-2.3+0.3 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 13 | 86 | 182,029 | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 4 | 92 | 5 | 565 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 2 | 91 | 8 | 726,304 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 51 | 40 | 2 | 7 | 1,667 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.1 | % | 0 | 42 | 32 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 1,025,601 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 81.7 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 46 | 17 | 1 | 1,513 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 58.7 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 42 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 602,461 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 20.2 | 20 | 49 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 476 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 7.1 | 7 | 53 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 122,502 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 85.6 | % | 0 | 1 | 47 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,663,120 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -1.5 | |
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | -0.4 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28 | +0.0 | |
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Houston vs Denver | -0.6+0.5+1.2 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.3*-0.0+0.1 | |
| Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |
| Buffalo vs Baltimore | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | |
| New England vs Kansas City | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | |
| Green Bay vs Washington | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 52 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 50 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 77 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 47 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 20 | 12 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
