Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances 2019
Beat Oakland 40-9, playoff odds up 7.9 to 99.3%
8-4-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | +7.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Denver 23 LA Chargers 20 | +0.3 | |||
| Houston 28 New England 22 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.8-1.5+0.3 | |||
| New England vs Kansas City | -0.2*+0.3+0.6 | -0.1+0.2+0.4 | ||
| Houston vs Denver | +0.2*+0.3-0.3 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Arizona vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 5 | 38 | 54 | 4 | 213,255 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 3 | 91 | 6 | 749 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 2 | 54 | 44 | 931,622 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 56 | 44 | 1,927 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 7 | 93 | 1,036,122 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.6 | % | 7 | 91 | 1 | 0 | 1,420 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98.8 | 0 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 421,222 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 88.2 | 88 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 245 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 78.4 | 78 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 56,557 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 99.3 | % | 0 | 4 | 26 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,663,120 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 | -0.7 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | +0.1 | |
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | -0.1 | |
| Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | +0.0 | |
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New England vs Kansas City | +0.2-0.3-0.7 | |
| Houston vs Denver | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 49 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 44 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 53 | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 92 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | 74 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 77 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 26 | 62 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 23 | 55 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 64 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
