How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 +6.0
+0.2
Houston 28 New England 22 -0.7
+0.0
Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 +0.5
Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 -0.2
Kansas City 40 Oakland 9 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs Baltimore+2.4+1.9-1.6
+0.2+0.2-0.2
Arizona vs Pittsburgh+1.0*+1.0-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Houston vs Denver-0.4*+0.6+1.0
Tampa Bay vs Indianapolis+0.2*+0.4-0.2
Cleveland vs Cincinnati-0.0*+0.6+0.1
Oakland vs Tennessee+0.0+0.1-0.0
New England vs Kansas City-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
134-0-0In3565125,789
12.53-0-1In12880449
123-1-0In021097689,842
11.52-1-1In00991,736
112-2-0In0009731,132,372
10.51-2-1In9461,599
101-3-095.5%544240624,753
0-2-2In1001
9.50-3-184.43550151391
90-4-049.55454091086,188
Total:97.3%2100821220002,663,120
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/28100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 -0.6
Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13 +0.0
Houston 28 New England 22 -0.0
NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 +0.0
Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/5100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Baltimore-0.6-0.4+0.4
New England vs Kansas City+0.1-0.2-0.3
Arizona vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.1+0.1
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Tennessee-0.0-0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs Washington+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Detroit+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
134-0-0530605
12.53-0-111153737
123-1-000020005641
11.52-1-10004455
112-2-000000207821
10.51-2-149033
101-3-015211313100
0-2-2100
9.50-3-1354461230
90-4-00524372216510
Total:0200000265639111000