New England Patriots Playoff Chances 2019Lost to Houston 22-28, playoff odds down 0.002 to 99.997% 10-2-0 .833 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Houston 28 New England 22 | | | -0.3 | | Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | New England vs Kansas City | In*In-0.0 | | +0.2+0.0-0.5 | | Buffalo vs Baltimore | | | +0.2+0.3-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 65 | 35 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,302,929 | | 13 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,526 | | 13 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 21 | 79 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,055,217 | | 12 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 19 | 73 | | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,459 | | 12 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 57 | 23 | 1 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | 275,310 | | 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 32 | 14 | 1 | 53 | | | | | | | | | | | | 251 | | 11 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 70 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 24,501 | | 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | | | 8 | | 85 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 10 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 92.5 | % | | | 0 | 3 | 65 | 24 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 914 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 100.0 | % | 40 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2,663,120 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Houston 28 New England 22 | +0.6 | | Baltimore 20 San Francisco 17 | +0.1 | | Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | New England vs Kansas City | -0.3+0.1+1.0 | | Buffalo vs Baltimore | -0.3-0.4+0.2 | | New Orleans vs San Francisco | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 54 | 11 | 35 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 40 | 27 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 12 | 73 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 25 | | | | | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 26 | 21 | 2 | 1 | | 15 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 1 | | 16 | 37 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | | 27 | 42 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | 8 | | | 8 | 77 | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 63 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 30 | 10 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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