Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances 2019
Beat NY Giants 31-13, playoff odds up 2.9 to 94.7%
9-3-0 .750
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | +4.5 | +0.3 | ||
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | -2.0 | |||
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | -0.6 | -0.0 | ||
| Miami 37 Philadelphia 31 | +0.6 | +0.0 | ||
| Dallas 15 Buffalo 26 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -0.3*+1.4+0.2 | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Green Bay vs Washington | +2.1*+0.9-10.6 | +0.2-0.5-0.8 | ||
| LA Rams vs Seattle | -2.1+3.7+3.0 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Minnesota vs Detroit | -0.3*-0.4+1.1 | -0.2-0.0+0.6 | ||
| Chicago vs Dallas | -0.6*+0.6+0.5 | |||
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Oakland vs Tennessee | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Green Bay finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 12 | 81 | 8 | 268,512 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 10 | 66 | 24 | 765 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 37 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 938,267 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 18 | 43 | 25 | 13 | 1,965 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.6 | % | 0 | 5 | 37 | 15 | 42 | 1 | 1,004,022 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.6 | 0 | 18 | 16 | 63 | 2 | 1,251 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 77.3 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 22 | 1 | 400,381 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 69.4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 29 | 2 | 255 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 23.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 54 | 22 | 0 | 47,700 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 94.7 | % | 1 | 23 | 34 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2,663,120 | ||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NY Giants 13 Green Bay 31 | -0.7 | |
| Atlanta 18 New Orleans 26 | +0.1 | |
| Arizona 7 LA Rams 34 | +0.1 | |
| Houston 28 New England 22 | +0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Chicago 24 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Seattle vs Minnesota | -0.5+0.4+0.4 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Green Bay vs Washington | -0.3+1.1+1.7 | |
| Minnesota vs Detroit | +0.3+0.1-1.1 | |
| New Orleans vs San Francisco | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Jacksonville vs LA Chargers | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Oakland vs Tennessee | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 56 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | 19 | 47 | 24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 48 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 38 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 61 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 56 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 32 | 25 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
