AFC South Playoff Chances 2019

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Houston		8	-	4	-	0	.667	22	85.6	%	+15.9	0	1	47	17	3	17	12	2	0	0	0						4.3	+0.83	6	.544	Houston Texans

Tennessee		7	-	5	-	0	.583	42	53.2		+17.0	0	0	20	10	0	23	25	11	7	3	1	0	0				6.0	+1.10	15	.589	Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis		6	-	6	-	0	.500	4	11.5		-28.8			2	2	0	7	10	26	23	17	9	2	0	0	0		8.5	-1.62	18	.509	Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville		4	-	8	-	0	.333	-72	0.0		-0.3						0	1	4	7	11	20	20	18	17	3	0	11.8	-0.28	25	.351	Jacksonville Jaguars

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 11/28
Indianapolis 17 Tennessee 31
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	+2.3		+0.2
Tennessee	+19.2		+1.2
Indianapolis	-24.0		-1.5

Houston 28 New England 22
8:20 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	+15.3		+0.8
Tennessee	-3.1		-0.2
Indianapolis	-4.6		-0.3
Jacksonville	-0.1		-0.0

Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 13
4:25 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee	-2.4		-0.0
Indianapolis	-1.0
Jacksonville			+0.0

Dallas 15 Buffalo 26
4:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	-0.9
Tennessee	-0.4		-0.0
Indianapolis	-0.7		-0.0

Kansas City 40 Oakland 9
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	+0.2		-0.0
Indianapolis	+0.2		+0.0
Jacksonville			+0.0

Jacksonville 11 Tampa Bay 28
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville	-0.3		-0.5

Denver 23 LA Chargers 20
4:25 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee			+0.0
Indianapolis	+0.3

Cincinnati 22 NY Jets 6
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville			+0.1

Miami 37 Philadelphia 31
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville			-0.0

Week of 12/5
Oakland vs TennesseeIf winner is:HomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	86.7*85.285.1		4.2*4.34.4
Tennessee	31.0*56.562.7		7.16.05.6
Indianapolis	12.5*10.611.0
Jacksonville	0.0*OutOut		11.912.011.8

Tampa Bay vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	88.889.481.7		4.24.34.4
Tennessee	57.1*57.048.3		5.9*5.96.1
Indianapolis	3.4*12.421.5		9.28.17.7
Jacksonville			11.8*11.911.9

Houston vs DenverHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	91.782.172.1		4.04.65.0
Tennessee	52.1*54.655.6		6.1*5.95.8
Indianapolis	9.97.915.0		8.68.68.4
Jacksonville			11.711.912.0

Arizona vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	87.9*83.484.3
Tennessee	59.958.649.4		5.96.06.1
Indianapolis	16.618.78.6		8.48.38.6

Buffalo vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	85.2*83.385.9		4.34.44.3
Tennessee	52.9*54.753.4		6.05.96.0

Cleveland vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee	53.3*53.452.8
Indianapolis	11.3*12.911.9		8.68.38.3
Jacksonville			11.9*11.811.6

Jacksonville vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville	0.0*OutOut		10.712.012.5

New England vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston			4.34.44.5
Tennessee			6.06.26.1

NY Jets vs MiamiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville			11.812.011.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.