New York Islanders Playoff Chances 1

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 44.6%

2 points 1 2-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Trash On Ice
Washington 2 Chicago 3	+0.3
Montreal 4 Toronto 6			*-0.0

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

123	-160						In		Yes		100																No		85	*
122		55	14		-	10	In		Yes		71				29												No		7	*
121		56	16		-	7	In		Yes		82				18												No		11	*
120		55	16		-	8	In		Yes		95				5												No		22	*
119		54	16		-	9	In		97.4	%	97				3												No		38	*
118		53	16		-	10	In		97.3		96	3			1												No		74	*
117		53	17		-	9	In		93.8		87	1			10	3											No		112	*
116		51	16		-	12	In		94.1		85	2			10	2		1									No		135	*
115		52	18		-	9	In		86.8		83	5			8	3		0									No		234	*
114		52	19		-	8	99.7	%	87.5		79	5			10	4	1	0	0								No		392	*
113		51	19		-	9	98.9		80.3		77	5	0		11	5	1	0	1		0	0					No		533	*
112		50	19		-	10	99.1		71.7		71	9	0		12	5	2	1	1	0	0			0			No		774	*
111		50	20		-	9	98.4		64.0		66	11	1		12	5	2	2	1	0	0		0				No		1,143	*
110		50	21		-	8	98.1		51.7		61	13	1		14	6	3	1	1	1	0	0	0				No		1,604	*
109		49	21		-	9	97.8		39.5		54	15	1	0	15	7	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	0		0	No		2,200	*
108		48	21		-	10	97.0		32.0		51	18	2		14	7	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0			No		2,951	*
107		48	22		-	9	95.8		21.1		43	20	3	0	14	8	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		No		3,841	*
106		47	22		-	10	95.5		13.4		36	23	4	0	16	8	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		4,845	*
105		47	23		-	9	93.2		7.7		31	24	5	0	16	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0		No		6,488	*
104		46	23		-	10	92.5		3.6		23	25	7	1	16	10	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		8,229	*
103		46	24		-	9	90.9		1.4		20	24	9	1	15	10	7	5	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	No		10,192	*
102		45	24		-	10	88.9		0.5		14	23	11	1	15	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		12,353	*
101		45	25		-	9	86.1		0.1		11	21	13	2	15	11	8	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	No		14,940	*
100		44	25		-	10	84.1		0.0		7	19	14	3	15	11	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		17,637	*
99		44	26		-	9	81.6		0.0		5	16	15	4	14	11	9	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	0	0	No		20,820	*
98		43	26		-	10	78.9		No		3	13	15	5	14	11	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	No		24,113	*
97		43	27		-	9	74.8		No		2	10	15	6	12	12	9	8	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	0	No		27,183	*
96		42	27		-	10	71.3		No		1	8	14	7	12	11	10	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	No		30,591	*
95		42	28		-	9	68.0		No		1	5	13	8	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	No		33,522	*
94		41	28		-	10	63.8		No		0	4	11	9	10	10	10	9	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	No		36,375	*
93		41	29		-	9	59.8		No		0	3	9	10	9	10	10	9	9	7	7	6	5	3	2	1	No		38,755	*
92		40	29		-	10	56.1		No		0	2	8	10	8	9	10	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	1	No		41,011	*
91		40	30		-	9	51.5		No		0	1	6	10	7	9	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	3	2	No		42,544	*
90		39	30		-	10	47.3		No		0	1	5	10	6	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	7	5	4	2	No		43,189	*
89		39	31		-	9	43.5		No		0	0	3	10	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	6	5	3	No		43,630	*
88		38	31		-	10	39.4		No		0	0	2	9	5	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	4	No		43,354	*
87		38	32		-	9	34.5		No			0	1	8	4	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	5	No		42,358	*
86		37	32		-	10	31.0		No			0	1	7	4	5	7	8	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	No		40,910	*
85		37	33		-	9	27.5		No			0	1	6	3	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	6	0.0	%	38,792	*
84		36	33		-	10	24.1		No			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	8	9	9	10	11	11	10	8	0.0		36,514	*
83		36	34		-	9	21.0		No			0	0	4	2	3	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	12	9	0.2		33,479	*
82		35	34		-	10	18.0		No				0	4	2	3	4	5	7	8	8	10	12	13	13	11	0.8		30,342	*
81		35	35		-	9	15.8		No				0	3	1	3	4	5	6	7	9	10	12	13	14	13	2.0		27,755	*
80		34	35		-	10	13.3		No				0	2	1	2	3	5	5	7	8	10	12	14	15	15	4.8		24,223	*
79		33	35		-	11	11.1		No				0	2	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	10	12	15	17	17	8.9		21,133	*
78		33	36		-	10	9.4		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	5	6	7	9	12	14	18	20	14.7		18,428	*
77		33	37		-	9	7.7		No				0	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	15	19	22	23.6		15,388	*
76		32	37		-	10	6.4		No					1	0	1	1	2	4	4	6	8	11	15	20	26	32.0		13,098	*
75		31	37		-	11	5.3		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	15	21	28	42.3		10,791	*
74		31	38		-	10	4.2		No					1	0	1	1	2	2	4	4	7	10	15	21	32	52.3		8,759	*
73		30	38		-	11	3.2		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	9	13	22	37	61.9		6,915	*
72		30	39		-	10	2.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	8	13	23	39	70.9		5,514	*
71		30	40		-	9	1.9		No					0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	5	8	13	23	43	76.6		4,164	*
70		29	40		-	10	2.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	12	23	45	82.4		3,272	*
69		29	41		-	9	1.0		No					0		0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	13	22	48	87.2		2,374	*
68		28	41		-	10	1.0		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	10	21	55	91.4		1,812	*
67		28	42		-	9	0.3		No							0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	10	21	56	93.8		1,326	*
66		27	42		-	10	0.4		No									0	1	1	2	3	4	8	23	58	95.3		978	*
65		27	43		-	9	0.3		No					0						1	1	2	4	8	19	64	98.0		699	*
64		26	43		-	10	0.4		No							0	0			0	1	1	4	7	16	70	97.9		473	*
63		26	44		-	9	0.3		No									0		0	1	1	3	6	19	70	97.6		332	*
62		25	44		-	10	Out		No												1	2	3	5	14	75	Yes		241	*
61		25	45		-	9	Out		No													1	2	8	12	77	Yes		142	*
60		25	46		-	8	Out		No											1		1	2	3	14	79	99.0		100	*
59		24	46		-	9	Out		No														3	4	15	79	Yes		80	*
58		24	47		-	8	Out		No															3	14	84	Yes		37	*
57		22	46		-	11	Out		No																21	79	Yes		24	*
56		23	48		-	8	Out		No																	100	Yes		19	*
55		23	49		-	7	Out		No															8		92	Yes		12	*
2	-54						Out		No																	100	Yes		89	*

Total:							44.6	%	0.9	%	3	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	5.1	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

120	-160						100
119		54	16		-	9	97	3
118		53	16		-	10	97	3
117		53	17		-	9	94	6
116		51	16		-	12	94	6
115		52	18		-	9	87	13	0
114		52	19		-	8	88	12	0
113		51	19		-	9	80	17	3
112		50	19		-	10	72	25	4
111		50	20		-	9	64	28	7	1
110		50	21		-	8	52	38	9	1	0
109		49	21		-	9	40	42	16	3	0
108		48	21		-	10	32	39	22	6	1	0
107		48	22		-	9	21	39	27	10	2	0	0
106		47	22		-	10	13	32	32	16	5	1	0
105		47	23		-	9	8	23	32	23	10	3	1	0	0
104		46	23		-	10	4	16	28	27	17	6	2	0	0
103		46	24		-	9	1	8	21	27	24	12	5	1	0	0
102		45	24		-	10	1	4	12	23	27	19	10	3	1	0	0
101		45	25		-	9	0	1	5	15	24	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
100		44	25		-	10	0	0	2	7	16	23	22	17	8	3	1	0	0
99		44	26		-	9	0	0	0	2	8	16	23	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
98		43	26		-	10		0	0	1	2	8	15	22	22	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
97		43	27		-	9			0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
96		42	27		-	10				0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
95		42	28		-	9						0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	13	6	2	1	0	0
94		41	28		-	10						0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
93		41	29		-	9								0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
92		40	29		-	10									0	0	1	2	6	13	19	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0		0
91		40	30		-	9									0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
90		39	30		-	10												0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
89		39	31		-	9												0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
88		38	31		-	10													0	0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
87		38	32		-	9														0	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0
86		37	32		-	10														0	0	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0
85		37	33		-	9																	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
84		36	33		-	10																		0	0	0	1	5	13	21	25	20	10	3	1	0
83		36	34		-	9																				0	0	2	6	14	23	26	18	8	2	0
82		35	34		-	10																					0	0	2	8	17	25	25	16	5	1
81		35	35		-	9																					0	0	1	3	10	21	29	23	11	2
80		34	35		-	10																						0	0	1	5	15	27	29	18	5
79		33	35		-	11																						0	0	0	2	8	22	32	26	9
78		33	36		-	10																							0	0	1	4	15	31	35	15
77		33	37		-	9																								0	0	2	9	26	38	24
76		32	37		-	10																									0	1	5	21	41	32
75		31	37		-	11																								0	0	0	3	15	40	42
74		31	38		-	10																										0	2	10	36	52
73		30	38		-	11																										0	0	6	31	62
72		30	39		-	10																											0	4	25	71
71		30	40		-	9																											0	2	21	77
70		29	40		-	10																												1	16	82
69		29	41		-	9																												1	12	87
68		28	41		-	10																												0	8	91
67		28	42		-	9																												0	6	94
66		27	42		-	10																													5	95
65		27	43		-	9																												0	2	98
64		26	43		-	10																													2	98
63		26	44		-	9																												0	2	98
61	-62																																			100
60		25	46		-	8																													1	99
2	-59																																			100

Total:							1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5