Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 1

Plays Carolina, playoff odds down 0.2 to 61.1%

4 points 2 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	-3.3		-0.9		+0.9		-0.4

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit 6 Buffalo 5							*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

127	-162						In		Yes		100																No		112	*
126		58	15		-	6	In		Yes		97				3												No		33	*
125		56	14		-	9	In		98.0	%	96				4												No		50	*
124		56	15		-	8	In		Yes		90				9	1											No		86	*
123		56	16		-	7	In		99.1		95	1			2		1	1									No		108	*
122		55	16		-	8	In		99.5		95				5	1											No		185	*
121		54	16		-	9	In		97.9		94	0			5	0		0									No		281	*
120		54	17		-	8	In		96.6		91	1			6	2	1										No		417	*
119		53	17		-	9	99.8	%	98.5		91	0			6	2	0	0			0						No		582	*
118		53	18		-	8	99.7		95.1		91	2			5	1	1	0		0			0				No		893	*
117		52	18		-	9	99.7		94.5		89	1			6	2	1	0	0			0					No		1,238	*
116		52	19		-	8	99.5		92.0		86	3			7	2	1	0	0	0	0		0				No		1,732	*
115		51	19		-	9	99.4		87.5		83	4	0	0	7	3	1	1	0	0	0						No		2,404	*
114		51	20		-	8	99.0		83.7		80	6			8	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0				No		3,089	*
113		50	20		-	9	98.9		77.9		77	6	0		9	3	2	1	1	0	0	0		0			No		4,182	*
112		50	21		-	8	98.5		69.5		71	9	0		10	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		0		No		5,471	*
111		49	21		-	9	97.7		61.4		68	11	0		10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		7,051	*
110		49	22		-	8	97.6		52.0		63	14	1	0	10	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		8,866	*
109		48	22		-	9	96.6		41.6		57	16	1	0	11	6	3	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		10,941	*
108		48	23		-	8	96.0		30.5		50	19	2	0	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		13,434	*
107		47	23		-	9	94.8		21.4		44	21	3	0	12	7	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		16,129	*
106		47	24		-	8	93.6		13.1		37	23	4	0	12	8	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		19,211	*
105		46	24		-	9	92.1		7.3		31	25	6	0	12	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		22,073	*
104		46	25		-	8	90.3		3.7		26	25	8	1	12	9	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		25,254	*
103		45	25		-	9	88.5		1.3		20	25	9	1	12	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		28,618	*
102		44	25		-	10	86.1		0.4		15	24	11	2	11	9	8	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	No		31,746	*
101		44	26		-	9	84.0		0.1		11	22	13	2	11	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		34,669	*
100		43	26		-	10	80.8		0.0		8	19	14	3	10	10	9	7	6	4	3	3	2	1	1	0	No		37,300	*
99		43	27		-	9	77.7		0.0		5	16	16	4	10	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	No		39,747	*
98		42	27		-	10	74.3		No		3	13	16	5	10	10	9	8	7	6	4	3	3	2	1	0	No		41,790	*
97		42	28		-	9	70.6		No		2	11	16	7	9	9	9	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	No		43,109	*
96		41	28		-	10	66.7		No		1	8	15	8	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	1	No		43,813	*
95		41	29		-	9	63.1		No		1	6	13	9	7	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	No		43,786	*
94		40	29		-	10	59.1		No		0	4	12	10	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	No		43,309	*
93		40	30		-	9	54.8		No		0	3	10	10	6	8	9	9	9	8	7	7	5	4	3	1	No		42,152	*
92		39	30		-	10	50.8		No		0	2	8	11	5	7	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	No		40,374	*
91		39	31		-	9	46.7		No		0	1	6	11	5	7	8	9	9	8	8	8	7	6	4	2	No		38,211	*
90		38	31		-	10	42.4		No		0	1	5	10	4	6	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	5	3	No		35,099	*
89		38	32		-	9	38.3		No		0	0	3	10	4	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	6	4	No		32,596	*
88		37	32		-	10	34.6		No			0	2	9	3	5	7	8	8	9	9	9	9	9	7	5	No		29,135	*
87		37	33		-	9	31.1		No			0	2	8	3	5	6	8	8	9	9	10	10	9	8	6	No		26,187	*
86		36	33		-	10	27.6		No			0	1	8	2	4	6	7	8	8	9	10	11	10	9	7	No		23,077	*
85		36	34		-	9	23.9		No			0	1	6	2	3	5	7	8	8	9	10	11	11	11	8	0.0	%	19,943	*
84		35	34		-	10	20.6		No				0	6	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	12	10	0.0		16,867	*
83		35	35		-	9	18.0		No			0	0	5	1	2	4	5	6	8	9	10	12	13	13	12	0.2		14,174	*
82		34	35		-	10	15.2		No				0	4	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	10	12	13	14	14	0.8		11,939	*
81		34	36		-	9	13.1		No				0	3	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	10	12	13	16	16	2.2		9,846	*
80		33	36		-	10	10.9		No				0	3	1	2	2	4	4	6	7	10	12	14	17	18	4.4		7,975	*
79		33	37		-	9	9.3		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	12	15	18	21	8.4		6,000	*
78		32	37		-	10	8.5		No					2	1	1	2	3	3	4	7	9	11	15	20	23	15.4		4,910	*
77		32	38		-	9	5.9		No					2	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	15	20	26	23.1		3,684	*
76		31	38		-	10	5.1		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	5	6	8	10	14	20	29	32.7		2,925	*
75		31	39		-	9	4.4		No					1	0	0	1	2	2	3	5	7	10	14	22	33	45.2		2,101	*
74		30	39		-	10	2.9		No					0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	10	14	22	37	54.3		1,574	*
73		30	40		-	9	2.1		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	5	9	12	22	40	61.7		1,228	*
72		29	40		-	10	2.7		No					1	0		1	1	1	1	3	5	8	12	24	44	71.2		819	*
71		29	41		-	9	1.9		No					1		0	0	1	1	2	3	3	10	12	21	46	79.9		586	*
70		28	41		-	10	1.6		No					0		0	0	1	1	2	3	4	8	11	19	51	82.9		433	*
69		28	42		-	9	1.4		No							1	0	0	1	1	1	4	7	12	21	52	90.1		292	*
68		28	43		-	8	Out		No										1	1	2	2	4	8	23	59	90.9		208	*
67		27	43		-	9	Out		No											1	1		3	12	18	65	95.3		129	*
66		26	43		-	10	1.1		No					1							3	2	4	9	19	62	97.9		94	*
65		26	44		-	9	Out		No													3	5	8	19	65	95.2		62	*
64		26	45		-	8	Out		No										4					15	15	65	Yes		26	*
63		24	44		-	11	Out		No													4			14	82	96.4		28	*
62		26	47		-	6	Out		No															6	6	88	Yes		16	*
60	-61						Out		No																	100	Yes		17	*
59		25	49		-	5	Out		No															25	25	50	Yes		4	*
4	-58						Out		No																	100	Yes		80	*

Total:							61.1	%	4.8	%	10	9	8	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	1.0	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	+1.1

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 6 Buffalo 5	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

126	-162						100
125		56	14		-	9	98	2
124		56	15		-	8	100
123		56	16		-	7	99	1
122		55	16		-	8	99	1
121		54	16		-	9	98	2
120		54	17		-	8	97	3
119		53	17		-	9	98	2
118		53	18		-	8	95	5	0
117		52	18		-	9	95	5	0
116		52	19		-	8	92	8	0
115		51	19		-	9	88	12	1	0
114		51	20		-	8	84	15	1
113		50	20		-	9	78	20	2	0
112		50	21		-	8	70	27	4	0
111		49	21		-	9	61	32	6	0	0
110		49	22		-	8	52	36	10	2	0
109		48	22		-	9	42	40	15	3	0	0
108		48	23		-	8	30	41	22	6	1	0
107		47	23		-	9	21	38	27	10	2	0	0	0
106		47	24		-	8	13	32	31	17	6	1	0	0
105		46	24		-	9	7	24	32	24	10	3	1	0	0
104		46	25		-	8	4	15	28	28	17	6	2	0	0	0
103		45	25		-	9	1	8	20	28	23	13	5	1	0	0	0
102		44	25		-	10	0	4	12	22	27	20	10	3	1	0	0
101		44	26		-	9	0	1	6	15	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0	0
100		43	26		-	10	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
99		43	27		-	9	0	0	0	2	8	16	23	23	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
98		42	27		-	10		0	0	1	2	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
97		42	28		-	9			0	0	1	2	7	15	22	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
96		41	28		-	10			0	0	0	1	2	6	13	21	23	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
95		41	29		-	9					0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
94		40	29		-	10					0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	23	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
93		40	30		-	9						0	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
92		39	30		-	10									0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	19	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		39	31		-	9									0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
90		38	31		-	10											0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
89		38	32		-	9												0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
88		37	32		-	10													0	0	0	1	2	6	13	21	22	18	11	4	1	0	0
87		37	33		-	9														0	0	0	1	2	5	12	20	24	19	11	5	1	0	0
86		36	33		-	10																0	0	0	2	5	12	19	24	20	12	5	1	0	0
85		36	34		-	9																	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
84		35	34		-	10																		0	0	0	2	5	13	21	25	19	10	3	1	0
83		35	35		-	9																			0	0	0	2	6	14	23	25	19	8	2	0
82		34	35		-	10																				0	0	1	2	7	18	25	26	16	5	1
81		34	36		-	9																						0	1	3	10	22	28	23	11	2
80		33	36		-	10																					0	0	0	1	6	14	26	30	18	4
79		33	37		-	9																							0	0	2	9	22	32	27	8
78		32	37		-	10																								0	1	5	14	30	35	15
77		32	38		-	9																									0	2	9	26	40	23
76		31	38		-	10																									0	1	5	20	41	33
75		31	39		-	9																										0	3	14	38	45
74		30	39		-	10																										0	1	10	35	54
73		30	40		-	9																											1	6	32	62
72		29	40		-	10																											0	2	26	71
71		29	41		-	9																											0	2	18	80
70		28	41		-	10																											0	1	16	83
69		28	42		-	9																												1	9	90
68		28	43		-	8																													9	91
67		27	43		-	9																													5	95
66		26	43		-	10																													2	98
65		26	44		-	9																													5	95
64		26	45		-	8																														100
63		24	44		-	11																													4	96
4	-62																																			100

Total:							5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1