Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 1

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 66%

7 points 3 0-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	+0.3

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4	+3.5		+0.7		-0.7		+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

128	-163						In		Yes		100																No		170	*
127		57	15		-	6	In		Yes		96				4												No		50	*
126		56	15		-	7	In		Yes		95				4	1											No		73	*
125		55	15		-	8	In		Yes		97				1	1											No		158	*
124		55	16		-	7	In		99.6	%	98	0			2												No		239	*
123		54	16		-	8	99.7	%	99.4		96				3	1									0		No		341	*
122		53	16		-	9	99.8		99.3		93	1			4	1	0	0		0							No		561	*
121		53	17		-	8	In		98.5		93	1			4	1	1	0									No		753	*
120		52	17		-	9	99.7		99.0		93	0			5	1	0	0	0	0				0			No		1,133	*
119		52	18		-	8	99.8		97.5		92	1			5	2	0	0	0					0			No		1,454	*
118		51	18		-	9	99.6		96.7		90	1			5	2	1	0	0	0			0				No		2,079	*
117		51	19		-	8	99.3		94.6		88	2	0		6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		0		No		2,965	*
116		50	19		-	9	99.3		92.2		86	2			7	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		0		No		3,996	*
115		50	20		-	8	99.3		88.9		83	3	0		8	3	2	1	0	0	0	0		0			No		4,957	*
114		49	20		-	9	98.9		84.2		79	4	0		8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			No		6,629	*
113		49	21		-	8	98.3		79.1		76	6	0		9	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		8,231	*
112		48	21		-	9	97.9		71.0		72	8	0		9	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		10,340	*
111		48	22		-	8	97.5		62.9		67	10	0		9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		12,776	*
110		47	22		-	9	96.8		53.3		62	12	1		10	6	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		15,438	*
109		47	23		-	8	95.5		42.4		56	15	1	0	10	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		18,388	*
108		46	23		-	9	94.8		32.0		50	18	2	0	11	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		21,441	*
107		46	24		-	8	93.4		22.5		44	20	3	0	11	7	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		24,570	*
106		45	24		-	9	91.9		14.1		37	22	4	0	10	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		28,027	*
105		45	25		-	8	90.2		7.8		30	24	5	0	10	8	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		31,496	*
104		44	25		-	9	87.9		3.7		25	24	7	1	10	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		34,410	*
103		44	26		-	8	85.6		1.5		19	24	9	1	10	9	8	6	5	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		37,358	*
102		43	26		-	9	83.6		0.4		15	23	10	1	10	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		39,387	*
101		43	27		-	8	80.5		0.1		11	22	12	2	9	9	8	7	6	5	3	3	2	1	1	0	No		41,644	*
100		42	27		-	9	77.5		0.0		7	19	14	3	9	9	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	No		42,967	*
99		42	28		-	8	73.7		No		5	16	14	4	8	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	No		43,882	*
98		41	28		-	9	70.3		No		3	13	15	5	8	9	9	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	No		43,676	*
97		40	28		-	10	66.2		No		2	10	14	6	7	8	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	No		43,650	*
96		40	29		-	9	62.7		No		1	7	14	7	7	8	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	No		42,270	*
95		39	29		-	10	58.0		No		1	5	12	8	6	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	1	No		40,871	*
94		39	30		-	9	54.3		No		0	4	11	9	5	7	9	9	9	8	8	7	5	5	3	2	No		38,739	*
93		39	31		-	8	50.6		No		0	3	9	10	5	7	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	3	2	No		36,382	*
92		38	31		-	9	46.0		No		0	2	7	10	4	6	8	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	4	3	No		32,942	*
91		37	31		-	10	41.6		No		0	1	5	10	4	6	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	5	3	No		29,952	*
90		37	32		-	9	36.9		No		0	0	4	9	3	5	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	6	4	No		26,979	*
89		36	32		-	10	33.8		No		0	0	3	9	3	5	6	8	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	5	No		23,553	*
88		36	33		-	9	30.2		No		0	0	2	8	2	4	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	No		20,279	*
87		35	33		-	10	26.4		No			0	1	8	2	4	5	6	8	8	10	10	10	10	10	7	No		17,758	*
86		35	34		-	9	22.8		No			0	1	7	2	3	5	6	8	8	10	10	11	12	11	9	No		14,656	*
85		34	34		-	10	20.5		No			0	1	6	1	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	12	12	12	10	0.0	%	12,307	*
84		34	35		-	9	17.0		No			0	0	5	1	2	3	5	7	8	9	10	11	12	14	12	0.0		9,910	*
83		33	35		-	10	14.0		No			0	0	4	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	10	12	14	15	14	0.2		8,242	*
82		33	36		-	9	12.9		No				0	3	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	10	12	14	15	16	0.7		6,488	*
81		32	36		-	10	10.1		No				0	3	1	1	2	3	4	6	7	10	11	15	16	20	2.1		4,953	*
80		32	37		-	9	8.7		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	5	5	8	9	11	15	18	21	4.5		3,881	*
79		32	38		-	8	7.3		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	4	4	6	9	12	14	20	24	9.2		2,988	*
78		31	38		-	9	5.4		No					2	0	1	1	2	2	4	6	7	11	16	21	27	15.1		2,307	*
77		31	39		-	8	4.7		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	7	11	15	21	31	23.1		1,629	*
76		30	39		-	9	3.6		No					1	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	9	16	20	34	33.6		1,262	*
75		30	40		-	8	3.8		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	9	8	13	22	35	44.2		900	*
74		29	40		-	9	3.5		No					1		1	1	1	2	1	3	5	7	13	22	44	55.9		599	*
73		29	41		-	8	1.7		No					0			1	1	2	2	3	4	9	12	22	45	63.8		423	*
72		28	41		-	9	2.7		No					1			0	1	1	1	2	5	6	13	22	48	68.9		328	*
71		28	42		-	8	2.0		No					1				2		2	4	5	5	10	21	52	77.7		197	*
70		26	41		-	11	2.2		No					1			1	1		1	3	5	6	6	28	50	83.3		138	*
69		26	42		-	10	Out		No											2		2	7	14	18	57	91.6		95	*
68		26	43		-	9	1.6		No									2		2	2	2	10	8	16	60	92.1		63	*
67		26	44		-	8	Out		No												2	5	2	12	15	63	97.6		41	*
66		26	45		-	7	Out		No													5		5	24	67	Yes		21	*
65		24	44		-	10	Out		No																7	93	Yes		15	*
64		26	47		-	5	Out		No																33	67	Yes		9	*
63		24	46		-	8	Out		No															67		33	Yes		3	*
7	-62						Out		No																	100	Yes		81	*

Total:							66.0	%	9.1	%	15	11	8	4	7	7	7	7	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	2	0.4	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4	-0.9

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

125	-163						100
124		55	16		-	7	100	0
123		54	16		-	8	99	1
122		53	16		-	9	99	1
121		53	17		-	8	99	1
120		52	17		-	9	99	1
119		52	18		-	8	98	2
118		51	18		-	9	97	3	0
117		51	19		-	8	95	5	0
116		50	19		-	9	92	8	0	0
115		50	20		-	8	89	11	1	0
114		49	20		-	9	84	15	1	0
113		49	21		-	8	79	19	2	0
112		48	21		-	9	71	26	3	0
111		48	22		-	8	63	30	6	1	0
110		47	22		-	9	53	36	9	1	0
109		47	23		-	8	42	40	15	3	0	0
108		46	23		-	9	32	41	21	5	1	0	0
107		46	24		-	8	23	38	27	10	2	0	0
106		45	24		-	9	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0
105		45	25		-	8	8	25	32	23	10	3	0	0	0
104		44	25		-	9	4	16	28	28	16	6	2	0	0
103		44	26		-	8	1	9	21	28	23	12	4	1	0	0	0
102		43	26		-	9	0	4	12	23	27	19	10	3	1	0	0
101		43	27		-	8	0	1	6	15	24	25	17	8	3	1	0	0
100		42	27		-	9	0	0	2	7	16	24	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
99		42	28		-	8		0	0	3	8	17	23	23	16	7	3	1	0	0
98		41	28		-	9			0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
97		40	28		-	10			0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0
96		40	29		-	9				0	0	0	2	6	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0
95		39	29		-	10					0	0	0	2	6	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
94		39	30		-	9					0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
93		39	31		-	8							0	0	0	1	3	8	16	21	21	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
92		38	31		-	9								0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		37	31		-	10									0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
90		37	32		-	9										0	0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
89		36	32		-	10												0	0	0	1	3	7	15	20	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
88		36	33		-	9														0	0	1	2	6	13	20	23	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
87		35	33		-	10														0	0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	12	5	1	0	0	0
86		35	34		-	9																0	0	0	2	5	11	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0
85		34	34		-	10																	0	0	0	2	4	12	20	25	20	11	5	1	0	0
84		34	35		-	9																		0	0	0	1	5	13	21	24	19	11	3	1	0
83		33	35		-	10																				0	0	2	6	15	23	25	18	8	2	0
82		33	36		-	9																				0	0	0	2	7	17	25	26	15	6	1
81		32	36		-	10																					0	0	1	3	9	21	28	23	12	2
80		32	37		-	9																				0		0	0	1	5	14	26	30	18	5
79		32	38		-	8																							0	0	2	9	21	33	25	9
78		31	38		-	9																								0	0	4	15	31	34	15
77		31	39		-	8																									0	2	10	25	38	23
76		30	39		-	9																										0	5	18	43	34
75		30	40		-	8																										0	3	13	40	44
74		29	40		-	9																										0	1	11	31	56
73		29	41		-	8																											1	5	30	64
72		28	41		-	9																											0	5	26	69
71		28	42		-	8																												1	22	78
70		26	41		-	11																												1	16	83
69		26	42		-	10																												1	7	92
68		26	43		-	9																												2	6	92
67		26	44		-	8																													2	98
7	-66																																			100

Total:							9	8	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0