Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 1

Plays at Edmonton, playoff odds down 0.1 to 38.1%
1 points   0 2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Trash On Ice100.0*Average seed
Montreal 4 Toronto 6 -3.5
-0.9
+0.9
-0.4
Washington 2 Chicago 3 +0.2
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Trash On Ice100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4 *+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTrash
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516On IceCount
119-159InYes100No96*
1185416-9In90.0%7510105No20*
1175417-8InYes86113No37*
1165418-7In94.47831513No72*
1155318-8In94.3762175No88*
1145117-1199.4%81.381583121No155*
1135219-899.575.1689135300No201*
1125119-999.776.6756133210No304*
1115019-1098.359.4629018631100No466*
1105020-997.951.857130185311100No747*
1094920-1098.040.556131016731010000No994*
1084921-997.432.549193014742110000No1,415*
1074821-1096.720.442203018743211000No1,982*
1064822-995.513.236234016853211000No2,707*
1054722-1094.28.22922601810532111000No3,544*
1044723-992.53.224248017106332111000No4,598*
1034623-1091.11.4182510116106532111000No6,069*
1024624-989.50.5142312216117533221000No7,548*
1014524-1087.00.1102113316117543221100No9,359*
1004525-984.8No71915316118654321100No11,735*
994425-1082.1No41616515128754322110No13,941*
984426-979.4No31316614119765332110No16,681*
974326-1075.0No21016713119775442210No19,810*
964327-972.6No1715912119876543210No22,848*
954227-1069.7No15131012119876543211No26,137*
944228-964.7No04121111119887654321No29,434*
934128-1060.7No02101210109887765321No32,262*
924129-956.8No01813999988775431No35,401*
914029-1052.1No01612898898876532No38,024*
903929-1148.1No01412788989887642No40,121*
893930-1043.8No00312677889988653No41,902*
883931-940.3No0211577889998764No42,809*
873831-1036.1No0210567789999875No43,485*
863731-1132.3No01945678991010986No43,520*
853732-1028.4No0183466889101110970.0%42,777*
843632-1124.9No00734567891011111180.141,332*
833633-1022.0No006234578910111212100.339,554*
823533-1119.2No005234568910111313110.837,407*
813534-1016.2No005123467910121314132.034,828*
803434-1114.4No04123456810121416154.932,073*
793435-1011.8No03123356810121417179.728,848*
783335-119.7No03112346791115182016.025,648*
773336-108.4No02112345691114192324.322,277*
763236-116.3No2111234681115202633.719,357*
753237-105.5No1011234571015213044.216,544*
743137-114.5No1011223571015213253.513,733*
733138-103.6No0100112346914213763.111,158*
723139-92.8No100112245914223972.29,303*
713039-101.9No000011245813224277.87,393*
702939-111.8No000111235712224583.35,996*
692940-101.2No000001223711235088.04,690*
682941-91.1No000011124610215390.53,580*
672841-100.8No000001123510215693.72,654*
662842-90.5No00000013510206196.82,024*
652742-100.4No00111258176597.41,399*
642743-90.5No000001237196897.81,052*
632643-100.1No000136167399.1701*
622644-9OutNo011126167399.1542*
612645-8OutNo125167699.7356*
602545-9OutNo01124128099.2246*
592344-12OutNo1161280Yes158*
582345-11OutNo124985Yes110*
572245-12OutNo3888Yes60*
562246-11OutNo3395Yes38*
552348-8OutNo4987Yes23*
542248-9OutNo91774Yes23*
532047-12OutNo1189Yes18*
522048-11OutNo100Yes7*
512251-6OutNo100Yes1
501949-11OutNo100Yes2*
482052-7OutNo100Yes1
1079-0OutNo100Yes75
Total:38.1%0.4%134766666777889108.5%904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 4 Toronto 6 +1.1
WednesdayNone

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-159100
1185416-99010
1175417-8100
1165418-7946
1155318-8946
1145117-1181171
1135219-875231
1125119-9772120
1115019-10593172
1105020-9523791
1094920-10414213400
1084921-9334020610
1074821-102039281020
1064822-9133330185100
1054722-108243023113100
1044723-93152928176200
1034623-10192027231341000
1024624-91312222719114100
1014524-10016152424179310
1004525-9027162423168310
994425-1000281622231683100
984426-90013815222316931000
974326-1000127142122171041000
964327-90002613202218115100
954227-1000025111922201262000
944228-90014101722211473100
934128-1000013815212217941000
924129-900012612202218115200
914029-1000014101822201362100
903929-1100013916212216831000
893930-1000012714212218104100
883931-9000026132023191151000
873831-100002512192320125100
863731-1100002511192321135100
853732-1000001411202421125100
843632-110000151221252111410
833633-100002613232619920
823533-11000271626261651
813534-100001310212924112
803434-1100015142630195
793435-100002821322710
783335-1101414313416
773336-100029263924
763236-110015194134
753237-10002143944
743137-110193654
733138-100163163
723139-90032472
713039-10022078
702939-11011683
692940-10011188
682941-90991
672841-100694
662842-90397
652742-10397
642743-9298
632643-10199
622644-9199
612645-80100
602545-9199
1-59100
Total:011111122222233333444455566779