Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 1

Lost to NY Rangers 7-8 (ot), playoff odds up 0.3 to 69%

5 points 2 1-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	-0.2

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	+3.3		+0.7		-0.7		+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

129	-161						In		Yes		100																No		90	*
128		58	13		-	7	In		Yes		94				6												No		16	*
127		57	13		-	8	In		Yes		100																No		22	*
126		56	13		-	9	In		Yes		96					4											No		27	*
125		57	15		-	6	In		Yes		99				1												No		67	*
124		55	14		-	9	In		99.0	%	97	1			2												No		105	*
123		55	15		-	8	In		99.4		97				3												No		176	*
122		54	15		-	9	In		99.5		92	0			7		1										No		215	*
121		54	16		-	8	99.7	%	99.2		95	0			4	0	0			0							No		379	*
120		54	17		-	7	In		98.5		95	1			4	1											No		520	*
119		53	17		-	8	99.9		97.7		91	1			7	1	0		0								No		706	*
118		52	17		-	9	99.9		95.1		91	2			5	1	0	0	0								No		1,137	*
117		52	18		-	8	99.7		94.3		89	2			7	2	1	0	0	0		0					No		1,592	*
116		52	19		-	7	99.7		92.2		87	3			7	2	1	0	0	0		0					No		2,136	*
115		51	19		-	8	99.7		88.4		85	3	0		7	3	1	0	0	0	0						No		3,003	*
114		50	19		-	9	99.3		82.8		81	6	0		8	3	1	0	0	0	0	0					No		3,949	*
113		50	20		-	8	99.3		76.7		78	7	0		9	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0				No		5,254	*
112		49	20		-	9	99.1		70.6		74	8	0		10	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0				No		6,686	*
111		49	21		-	8	99.0		62.2		69	12	1		10	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0				No		8,576	*
110		48	21		-	9	98.4		51.6		64	14	1		10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0				No		10,621	*
109		48	22		-	8	98.0		41.9		58	17	1	0	11	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0			No		12,932	*
108		47	22		-	9	97.1		31.9		52	20	2	0	11	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0				No		15,646	*
107		47	23		-	8	96.6		21.6		45	23	4	0	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		18,839	*
106		46	23		-	9	95.7		13.4		39	26	5	0	11	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		21,879	*
105		46	24		-	8	94.5		7.3		32	27	7	1	12	8	5	3	2	2	1	0	0	0			No		25,001	*
104		45	24		-	9	93.0		3.7		25	28	9	1	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0			No		28,075	*
103		45	25		-	8	91.7		1.4		20	28	12	1	11	8	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0			No		31,672	*
102		44	25		-	9	89.6		0.5		15	27	14	2	11	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0			No		34,727	*
101		44	26		-	8	87.9		0.1		11	24	16	3	11	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0			No		37,660	*
100		43	26		-	9	85.5		0.0		7	21	18	5	11	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	0			No		39,481	*
99		43	27		-	8	82.9		0.0		5	18	19	6	10	9	8	7	6	5	3	2	1	0			No		41,917	*
98		42	27		-	9	79.9		No		3	14	20	8	9	9	9	8	6	5	4	3	1	1			No		43,524	*
97		41	27		-	10	76.6		No		2	11	19	10	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	3	2	1			No		44,225	*
96		41	28		-	9	73.4		No		1	8	18	12	8	9	9	9	8	6	5	4	2	1			No		43,721	*
95		41	29		-	8	69.7		No		1	6	15	13	7	9	10	9	8	7	6	5	3	1			No		43,742	*
94		40	29		-	9	66.0		No		0	4	13	15	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	5	4	2			No		42,453	*
93		39	29		-	10	62.7		No		0	2	11	15	7	8	9	10	9	8	7	6	4	2			No		40,881	*
92		39	30		-	9	58.2		No		0	1	9	16	6	8	9	10	10	9	8	7	5	3			No		38,255	*
91		38	30		-	10	54.2		No		0	1	7	16	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	3			No		35,622	*
90		38	31		-	9	50.0		No		0	0	5	15	5	6	9	10	10	10	10	9	7	4			No		33,343	*
89		37	31		-	10	46.3		No			0	4	15	4	6	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	5			No		29,621	*
88		37	32		-	9	41.4		No			0	3	14	3	5	7	9	10	11	11	10	9	6			No		26,312	*
87		36	32		-	10	37.4		No			0	2	13	3	5	7	9	10	11	12	12	10	8			No		23,075	*
86		36	33		-	9	33.3		No			0	1	11	3	4	6	8	9	11	12	13	12	9			No		20,159	*
85		35	33		-	10	30.0		No			0	1	10	2	4	6	7	10	11	12	13	13	11			No		16,977	*
84		35	34		-	9	26.9		No			0	0	9	2	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	14	12			0.0	%	14,593	*
83		35	35		-	8	23.3		No				0	8	1	3	5	7	8	11	12	14	16	15			0.2		11,763	*
82		34	35		-	9	20.1		No				0	6	1	3	4	6	8	10	13	15	17	17			0.8		9,791	*
81		33	35		-	10	17.7		No				0	5	1	2	4	5	8	10	13	16	18	19			1.8		7,901	*
80		33	36		-	9	15.2		No				0	5	1	1	3	5	7	9	12	15	20	21			4.1		6,323	*
79		32	36		-	10	12.6		No				0	4	1	1	2	4	7	9	11	16	21	25			9.3		4,936	*
78		32	37		-	9	10.0		No					3	0	1	2	4	5	8	11	16	21	28			15.4		3,666	*
77		31	37		-	10	8.7		No					2	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	14	23	32			23.8		2,872	*
76		31	38		-	9	8.2		No					2	0	1	2	3	4	6	10	16	21	34			31.1		2,148	*
75		31	39		-	8	6.3		No					2	0	0	1	3	3	6	9	15	24	36			42.1		1,579	*
74		30	39		-	9	4.4		No					1	0	1	1	2	4	6	9	14	24	40			52.5		1,197	*
73		30	40		-	8	4.2		No					1	0	0	1	2	2	5	7	13	23	45			61.8		812	*
72		29	40		-	9	3.8		No					1	0	1	1	2	2	4	7	12	27	44			69.9		582	*
71		28	40		-	10	2.3		No					1			1	1	2	4	5	9	21	56			77.7		426	*
70		28	41		-	9	1.7		No					0			1	1	2	5	6	9	21	55			82.2		292	*
69		27	41		-	10	0.5		No									1	1	1	4	8	18	68			87.3		189	*
68		28	43		-	7	0.8		No							1			2	4	4	14	18	56			91.3		126	*
67		26	42		-	10	1.3		No									1		1	1	7	23	67			93.3		75	*
66		26	43		-	9	Out		No										2	2	2	14	12	67			95.9		49	*
65		26	44		-	8	Out		No												3	3	25	69			Yes		32	*
64		25	44		-	9	Out		No											4	9	4	9	74			Yes		23	*
63		24	44		-	10	Out		No													6	17	78			Yes		18	*
62		23	44		-	11	Out		No														17	83			Yes		6	*
5	-61						Out		No															100			Yes		85	*

Total:							69.0	%	5.9	%	12	11	10	8	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	4	3			0.7	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	-0.9
Detroit 6 Buffalo 5	*-0.0
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

125	-161						100
124		55	14		-	9	99	1
123		55	15		-	8	99	1
122		54	15		-	9	100	0
121		54	16		-	8	99	1
120		54	17		-	7	98	2
119		53	17		-	8	98	2
118		52	17		-	9	95	5
117		52	18		-	8	94	6	0
116		52	19		-	7	92	8	0
115		51	19		-	8	88	11	1
114		50	19		-	9	83	16	1
113		50	20		-	8	77	21	2	0
112		49	20		-	9	71	26	4	0	0
111		49	21		-	8	62	31	6	1	0
110		48	21		-	9	52	36	10	1	0
109		48	22		-	8	42	40	15	3	0	0
108		47	22		-	9	32	40	21	6	1	0	0
107		47	23		-	8	22	38	27	11	3	0	0
106		46	23		-	9	13	32	31	16	5	1	0	0
105		46	24		-	8	7	24	32	23	10	3	1	0	0
104		45	24		-	9	4	15	28	28	17	7	2	0	0	0
103		45	25		-	8	1	8	20	28	23	13	4	1	0	0
102		44	25		-	9	1	4	12	23	26	20	10	3	1	0	0	0	0
101		44	26		-	8	0	1	6	15	23	25	17	9	3	1	0	0
100		43	26		-	9	0	0	2	7	16	24	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
99		43	27		-	8	0	0	0	3	8	16	23	23	15	8	3	1	0	0
98		42	27		-	9		0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
97		41	27		-	10		0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
96		41	28		-	9				0	0	1	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
95		41	29		-	8					0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	19	12	6	2	0	0	0
94		40	29		-	9						0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0
93		39	29		-	10							0	0	0	1	3	8	16	21	21	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
92		39	30		-	9									0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	1	0	0
91		38	30		-	10										0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
90		38	31		-	9									0		0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
89		37	31		-	10											0	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
88		37	32		-	9													0	0	0	1	2	6	13	21	23	18	11	4	1	0	0
87		36	32		-	10															0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
86		36	33		-	9														0			0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0
85		35	33		-	10																	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	11	4	1	0
84		35	34		-	9																		0	0	0	2	6	13	22	24	19	10	3	1	0
83		35	35		-	8																			0	0	0	2	7	14	23	25	18	8	2	0
82		34	35		-	9																				0	0	1	2	7	17	26	25	15	5	1
81		33	35		-	10																						0	1	3	10	21	29	23	10	2
80		33	36		-	9																						0	0	1	5	14	27	30	18	4
79		32	36		-	10																							0	0	3	9	22	30	27	9
78		32	37		-	9																						0	0	0	1	5	15	30	34	15
77		31	37		-	10																									0	2	10	24	39	24
76		31	38		-	9																									0	1	6	21	41	31
75		31	39		-	8																										0	3	15	40	42
74		30	39		-	9																											1	10	36	53
73		30	40		-	8																											0	5	33	62
72		29	40		-	9																												3	27	70
71		28	40		-	10																												3	19	78
70		28	41		-	9																												1	17	82
69		27	41		-	10																													13	87
68		28	43		-	7																													9	91
67		26	42		-	10																													7	93
66		26	43		-	9																													4	96
5	-65																																			100

Total:							6	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1