Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 1

Plays Columbus, playoff odds down 0.3 to 37.9%

3 points 1 2-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	+0.2

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Trash On Ice	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit 6 Buffalo 5	-3.5		-0.9		+0.9		-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

120	-159						In		Yes		100																No		110	*
119		53	15		-	10	In		94.4	%	89				11												No		18	*
118		53	16		-	9	In		96.2		77	4			12	8											No		26	*
117		53	17		-	8	In		92.7		71	4			18	7											No		55	*
116		53	18		-	7	In		92.2		86				13	1											No		77	*
115		51	17		-	10	In		85.0		81	3			12	4	1										No		113	*
114		51	18		-	9	99.0	%	86.2		79	5			10	3	2		1				1				No		195	*
113		51	19		-	8	99.6		80.0		72	6			14	6	1	1					0				No		285	*
112		50	19		-	9	98.3		72.2		69	8	0		14	5	2	0	0	1	0						No		413	*
111		50	20		-	8	98.3		63.5		67	10	1		15	4	1	1	1	1		0	0				No		589	*
110		49	20		-	9	98.0		51.3		59	11	1		17	6	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		0		No		836	*
109		48	20		-	10	97.5		42.1		53	16	1		17	6	2	2	1	1	0	0		0			No		1,194	*
108		48	21		-	9	96.5		31.3		47	17	2	0	16	9	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		1,692	*
107		47	21		-	10	96.1		21.5		42	20	3	0	17	8	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		No		2,298	*
106		47	22		-	9	94.2		12.9		34	22	4	0	17	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	0		No		3,044	*
105		46	22		-	10	93.6		7.1		27	24	6	0	18	10	5	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		4,004	*
104		46	23		-	9	93.0		3.5		23	24	8	1	17	11	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		5,177	*
103		45	23		-	10	90.5		1.3		18	24	9	1	17	11	6	5	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	No		6,678	*
102		45	24		-	9	88.3		0.5		13	22	11	2	17	11	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	No		8,596	*
101		44	24		-	10	85.8		0.1		10	20	13	2	16	11	7	6	4	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	No		10,596	*
100		44	25		-	9	83.4		0.0		7	18	15	3	16	11	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		12,857	*
99		43	25		-	10	80.5		No		4	15	15	5	15	12	8	7	5	4	4	3	2	1	0	0	No		15,368	*
98		43	26		-	9	77.3		No		3	12	15	6	14	12	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	No		18,304	*
97		42	26		-	10	74.5		No		2	9	15	7	13	11	9	8	6	5	5	3	3	2	1	0	No		21,828	*
96		42	27		-	9	70.5		No		1	7	14	8	12	11	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	No		24,697	*
95		41	27		-	10	66.2		No		1	5	12	9	11	11	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	No		28,035	*
94		41	28		-	9	62.7		No		0	3	11	11	10	10	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	No		31,139	*
93		40	28		-	10	57.9		No		0	2	9	11	9	9	9	8	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	1	No		34,078	*
92		40	29		-	9	54.4		No		0	1	7	11	8	9	9	9	8	8	8	7	6	5	3	2	No		36,892	*
91		39	29		-	10	50.0		No		0	1	5	12	7	8	8	8	9	8	8	8	6	5	4	2	No		39,609	*
90		39	30		-	9	45.5		No		0	0	4	11	6	8	8	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	3	No		41,491	*
89		38	30		-	10	41.2		No		0	0	3	11	5	7	7	8	8	9	9	9	8	7	5	3	No		42,971	*
88		38	31		-	9	37.7		No		0	0	2	10	5	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	8	8	6	4	No		43,612	*
87		37	31		-	10	33.5		No		0	0	1	9	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	10	10	9	7	5	No		43,946	*
86		37	32		-	9	29.4		No			0	1	8	3	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	6	No		42,901	*
85		36	32		-	10	26.5		No			0	1	7	3	4	5	6	7	9	9	10	11	11	10	7	0.0	%	42,276	*
84		35	32		-	11	22.6		No			0	0	6	2	4	5	5	7	8	9	10	11	12	11	9	0.0		40,779	*
83		35	33		-	10	19.8		No				0	5	2	3	4	5	6	8	9	10	11	13	12	10	0.2		38,711	*
82		35	34		-	9	17.2		No				0	5	2	3	3	5	6	7	9	10	12	13	14	12	0.8		36,244	*
81		34	34		-	10	14.9		No				0	4	1	2	3	4	6	7	9	10	12	14	15	14	2.2		32,800	*
80		34	35		-	9	12.3		No				0	3	1	2	3	3	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	16	4.8		30,053	*
79		33	35		-	10	10.3		No				0	3	1	1	2	3	4	6	7	10	12	14	18	19	9.2		26,781	*
78		33	36		-	9	9.0		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	12	14	19	22	15.3		23,668	*
77		32	36		-	10	7.1		No					2	0	1	2	2	3	5	6	8	11	15	20	25	23.8		20,517	*
76		31	36		-	11	6.1		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	14	21	28	33.4		17,412	*
75		31	37		-	10	4.7		No				0	1	0	0	1	2	2	4	5	7	10	15	21	31	44.1		15,040	*
74		31	38		-	9	3.8		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	22	34	54.1		12,198	*
73		30	38		-	10	3.0		No					1	0	0	1	1	1	3	4	6	9	14	22	37	62.7		10,081	*
72		29	38		-	11	2.2		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	9	14	22	41	70.4		8,110	*
71		29	39		-	10	1.9		No					0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	5	8	13	22	45	78.2		6,486	*
70		29	40		-	9	1.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	12	22	47	82.6		5,058	*
69		28	40		-	10	1.0		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	12	22	51	87.1		3,943	*
68		28	41		-	9	0.6		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	11	22	56	91.2		2,980	*
67		27	41		-	10	0.6		No					0		0		0	0	1	2	3	4	9	21	59	93.5		2,232	*
66		27	42		-	9	0.5		No					0			0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	19	64	95.0		1,539	*
65		26	42		-	10	0.3		No					0			0		0	0	1	2	3	8	19	66	97.4		1,193	*
64		26	43		-	9	0.1		No									0	0	0	1	2	3	6	17	70	97.8		817	*
63		25	43		-	10	Out		No										0		0	0	3	6	17	74	98.5		615	*
62		24	43		-	11	Out		No										0	1	1	1	2	5	14	76	98.7		389	*
61		24	44		-	10	Out		No										0		1		2	2	16	79	Yes		280	*
60		24	45		-	9	0.6		No					1								1	1	3	13	82	Yes		180	*
59		23	45		-	10	Out		No											1		2	1	7	8	82	Yes		121	*
58		21	44		-	13	Out		No															2	12	86	Yes		66	*
57		22	46		-	10	Out		No																2	98	Yes		52	*
56		22	47		-	9	Out		No															6	3	90	Yes		31	*
55		20	46		-	12	Out		No																18	82	Yes		17	*
54		21	48		-	9	Out		No																31	69	Yes		13	*
53		20	48		-	10	Out		No																	100	Yes		7	*
52		20	49		-	9	Out		No																33	67	Yes		3	*
3	-51						Out		No																	100	Yes		84	*

Total:							37.9	%	0.5	%	2	3	4	7	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	9	10	7.4	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 6 Buffalo 5	+1.1

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

120	-159						100
119		53	15		-	10	94	6
118		53	16		-	9	96	4
117		53	17		-	8	93	7
116		53	18		-	7	92	8
115		51	17		-	10	85	14	1
114		51	18		-	9	86	12	1	1
113		51	19		-	8	80	19	1
112		50	19		-	9	72	23	4	0	0
111		50	20		-	8	63	29	7	1
110		49	20		-	9	51	38	9	2	0
109		48	20		-	10	42	42	13	3	1
108		48	21		-	9	31	40	23	5	1
107		47	21		-	10	21	37	29	10	2	0
106		47	22		-	9	13	33	31	17	5	1	0
105		46	22		-	10	7	23	32	23	11	3	0	0	0
104		46	23		-	9	4	14	28	28	17	7	2	0	0
103		45	23		-	10	1	8	21	28	23	13	5	1	0
102		45	24		-	9	0	4	12	22	26	20	11	3	1	0
101		44	24		-	10	0	1	6	14	24	24	17	9	3	1	0	0
100		44	25		-	9	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
99		43	25		-	10		0	0	2	8	15	23	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
98		43	26		-	9			0	0	2	7	16	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
97		42	26		-	10				0	1	2	7	15	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
96		42	27		-	9				0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
95		41	27		-	10					0	0	0	2	5	12	18	22	19	13	6	2	1	0	0
94		41	28		-	9						0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
93		40	28		-	10							0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
92		40	29		-	9									0	0	0	2	6	13	19	22	19	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		39	29		-	10										0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0
90		39	30		-	9												0	0	1	3	8	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
89		38	30		-	10												0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
88		38	31		-	9														0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
87		37	31		-	10															0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
86		37	32		-	9															0	0	0	0	1	5	11	19	24	21	12	5	1	0	0
85		36	32		-	10																0	0	0	0	1	5	11	20	24	21	12	5	1	0	0
84		35	32		-	11																		0	0	0	1	5	13	21	25	20	11	4	1	0
83		35	33		-	10																			0	0	0	2	6	13	23	26	19	9	2	0
82		35	34		-	9																				0	0	0	2	7	17	26	26	16	5	1
81		34	34		-	10																					0	0	1	3	10	21	29	24	11	2
80		34	35		-	9																						0	0	1	5	14	26	30	18	5
79		33	35		-	10																							0	0	2	8	21	33	27	9
78		33	36		-	9																							0	0	1	4	14	31	34	15
77		32	36		-	10																								0	0	2	9	26	40	24
76		31	36		-	11																								0	0	1	5	20	41	33
75		31	37		-	10																									0	0	2	14	40	44
74		31	38		-	9																									0	0	1	9	36	54
73		30	38		-	10																									0	0	0	6	31	63
72		29	38		-	11																										0	0	3	26	70
71		29	39		-	10																											0	2	20	78
70		29	40		-	9																											0	2	16	83
69		28	40		-	10																												0	12	87
68		28	41		-	9																												0	9	91
67		27	41		-	10																												0	6	94
66		27	42		-	9																												0	5	95
65		26	42		-	10																													3	97
64		26	43		-	9																													2	98
63		25	43		-	10																													1	99
62		24	43		-	11																													1	99
3	-61																																			100

Total:							0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7