Phoenix Coyotes Playoff Chances 1

Plays at Detroit, playoff odds down 0.1 to 52%

4 points 2 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Trash On Ice
Washington 2 Chicago 3	-0.2		*-0.0

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Trash On Ice
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phoenix finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

126	-162						In		Yes		100																No		87	*
125		57	15		-	7	In		Yes		90				10												No		10	*
124		55	14		-	10	In		Yes		93				7												No		15	*
123		56	16		-	7	In		Yes		100																No		29	*
122		54	15		-	10	In		Yes		96				4												No		51	*
121		54	16		-	9	In		Yes		90				10												No		78	*
120		53	16		-	10	99.1	%	96.5	%	90	2			6	1						1					No		113	*
119		53	17		-	9	In		97.6		90	0			8	1	0										No		212	*
118		52	17		-	10	99.6		96.0		85	1			9	3	0	0			0						No		273	*
117		52	18		-	9	99.5		94.4		83	2			11	2	2		0	0							No		414	*
116		52	19		-	8	99.7		89.4		80	2	0		13	3	1	0	0								No		623	*
115		51	19		-	9	99.4		89.2		79	3			12	4	1	0	0	0		0					No		890	*
114		51	20		-	8	99.5		85.0		78	3	0		11	4	2	1	0	0	0						No		1,312	*
113		50	20		-	9	98.7		77.9		72	6	0		13	5	2	1	1	0	0	0					No		1,748	*
112		50	21		-	8	98.6		69.2		66	8	0		14	7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0				No		2,352	*
111		49	21		-	9	98.3		62.5		63	9	0		15	6	3	2	1	1	0	0		0			No		3,179	*
110		48	21		-	10	97.7		51.5		57	12	1	0	15	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0				No		4,261	*
109		48	22		-	9	97.1		41.9		51	14	1		16	8	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0			No		5,492	*
108		47	22		-	10	96.2		31.3		45	17	2	0	16	8	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0			No		6,956	*
107		47	23		-	9	94.8		21.5		38	19	3	0	16	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		8,802	*
106		46	23		-	10	94.0		13.2		32	21	4	0	16	10	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0			No		10,931	*
105		46	24		-	9	92.2		7.5		27	22	5	0	15	11	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0			No		13,058	*
104		45	24		-	10	90.5		3.2		20	23	7	1	16	11	7	6	4	2	2	1	1	0			No		15,962	*
103		45	25		-	9	88.3		1.3		15	22	9	1	15	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0			No		18,881	*
102		44	25		-	10	85.9		0.4		12	20	11	2	14	11	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	0			No		21,980	*
101		44	26		-	9	84.1		0.1		8	18	13	3	14	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	0			No		25,100	*
100		43	26		-	10	81.3		0.0		5	16	13	4	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	2	1	1			No		28,558	*
99		43	27		-	9	78.1		0.0		3	13	14	5	13	12	10	9	7	6	4	3	2	1			No		31,707	*
98		42	27		-	10	74.7		No		2	10	14	6	12	11	10	9	8	6	5	3	2	1			No		34,350	*
97		42	28		-	9	70.6		No		1	8	13	7	11	11	10	9	8	7	6	4	3	1			No		37,078	*
96		41	28		-	10	67.6		No		1	5	12	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	3	2			No		39,591	*
95		41	29		-	9	63.5		No		0	4	11	9	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	6	4	2			No		41,835	*
94		40	29		-	10	59.8		No		0	2	9	10	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	5	3			No		42,845	*
93		40	30		-	9	55.5		No		0	2	7	10	7	9	10	10	10	10	9	8	5	3			No		43,054	*
92		39	30		-	10	51.7		No		0	1	6	11	6	9	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	4			No		43,470	*
91		39	31		-	9	47.3		No		0	0	4	10	6	8	9	10	10	11	10	9	8	5			No		42,771	*
90		38	31		-	10	43.4		No		0	0	3	10	5	7	9	10	10	11	11	10	9	6			No		41,877	*
89		38	32		-	9	38.9		No		0	0	2	9	4	6	8	9	10	11	11	11	10	7			No		40,075	*
88		37	32		-	10	35.1		No			0	1	8	4	6	7	9	10	11	12	12	11	8			No		38,125	*
87		37	33		-	9	31.5		No			0	1	7	3	5	7	8	10	11	12	13	13	10			No		35,768	*
86		36	33		-	10	28.2		No			0	1	7	3	4	6	8	9	11	12	13	14	12			No		32,910	*
85		36	34		-	9	24.6		No			0	0	6	2	4	5	7	9	10	13	15	15	14			0.0	%	29,507	*
84		35	34		-	10	21.3		No			0	0	5	2	3	5	7	8	10	12	15	17	16			0.0		26,646	*
83		35	35		-	9	18.6		No				0	4	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	15	18	18			0.2		23,248	*
82		34	35		-	10	15.2		No				0	3	1	2	4	5	7	9	13	15	19	21			0.6		20,171	*
81		34	36		-	9	14.1		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	6	9	12	16	20	23			2.0		17,101	*
80		33	36		-	10	11.9		No				0	2	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	16	21	26			4.3		14,469	*
79		33	37		-	9	9.7		No				0	2	1	1	2	4	6	7	11	15	21	30			8.9		12,250	*
78		32	37		-	10	8.1		No					2	0	1	2	3	5	7	10	16	22	32			14.5		10,038	*
77		32	38		-	9	6.5		No					1	0	1	1	2	4	7	9	15	23	36			22.4		8,123	*
76		31	38		-	10	5.5		No					1	0	1	1	2	4	6	9	13	23	40			31.8		6,309	*
75		31	39		-	9	4.9		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	14	24	43			41.7		5,048	*
74		30	39		-	10	3.4		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	5	7	13	24	45			52.6		4,006	*
73		30	40		-	9	2.9		No					0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	11	23	50			61.0		2,957	*
72		29	40		-	10	2.8		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	10	24	53			69.7		2,168	*
71		29	41		-	9	2.1		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	21	58			76.2		1,633	*
70		28	41		-	10	1.6		No					0		0	1	0	2	2	4	8	20	62			80.9		1,212	*
69		28	42		-	9	1.3		No					0		0	0	1	1	2	4	8	18	66			88.3		843	*
68		27	42		-	10	1.4		No					0		0	0	1	1	2	3	6	18	67			89.9		632	*
67		27	43		-	9	Out		No										1	1	3	6	17	71			93.4		396	*
66		26	43		-	10	0.4		No									0	2		2	6	19	71			95.4		262	*
65		26	44		-	9	0.9		No					0				0	0	1	2	3	19	74			94.8		231	*
64		25	44		-	10	Out		No											1	2	5	16	77			96.9		128	*
63		24	44		-	11	Out		No										1		3	3	17	75			98.9		88	*
62		25	46		-	8	Out		No													2	9	89			Yes		47	*
61		23	45		-	11	Out		No														17	83			Yes		35	*
60		23	46		-	10	Out		No														10	90			95.0		20	*
59		22	46		-	11	Out		No														9	91			Yes		11	*
58		23	48		-	8	Out		No													9	9	82			Yes		11	*
4	-57						Out		No															100			Yes		87	*

Total:							52.0	%	2.3	%	5	5	6	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8			2.2	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington 2 Chicago 3	*-0.0

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado 3 Anaheim 9	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-162						100
120		53	16		-	10	96	4
119		53	17		-	9	98	2
118		52	17		-	10	96	4
117		52	18		-	9	94	5	0
116		52	19		-	8	89	10	1
115		51	19		-	9	89	11	0
114		51	20		-	8	85	14	1
113		50	20		-	9	78	20	2	0
112		50	21		-	8	69	27	4	0
111		49	21		-	9	63	31	6	1	0	0
110		48	21		-	10	51	36	11	1	0
109		48	22		-	9	42	39	15	3	0	0
108		47	22		-	10	31	40	21	6	1	0
107		47	23		-	9	21	38	27	11	2	0	0
106		46	23		-	10	13	32	32	16	5	1	0	0
105		46	24		-	9	7	24	32	23	10	3	1	0	0
104		45	24		-	10	3	15	28	27	17	7	2	0	0
103		45	25		-	9	1	8	20	28	23	13	5	1	0	0	0
102		44	25		-	10	0	3	12	22	26	21	10	4	1	0	0
101		44	26		-	9	0	1	6	15	23	25	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
100		43	26		-	10	0	0	2	7	16	23	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
99		43	27		-	9	0	0	1	2	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
98		42	27		-	10			0	1	2	8	16	22	22	17	8	3	1	0	0
97		42	28		-	9			0	0	1	2	7	15	22	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
96		41	28		-	10				0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
95		41	29		-	9					0	0	0	2	5	11	19	23	19	12	6	2	0	0	0
94		40	29		-	10						0	0	0	1	4	10	17	23	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
93		40	30		-	9							0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
92		39	30		-	10							0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	1	0	0	0	0
91		39	31		-	9								0	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
90		38	31		-	10										0	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
89		38	32		-	9											0	0	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0
88		37	32		-	10													0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	23	19	10	4	1	0	0
87		37	33		-	9														0	0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
86		36	33		-	10																0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	12	4	1	0	0
85		36	34		-	9																	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
84		35	34		-	10																		0	0	0	2	5	13	22	25	19	10	3	1	0
83		35	35		-	9																			0	0	0	2	6	14	24	26	18	8	2	0
82		34	35		-	10																				0	0	1	2	8	17	26	25	15	5	1
81		34	36		-	9																					0	0	1	3	10	22	29	23	10	2
80		33	36		-	10																						0	0	1	5	15	27	29	17	4
79		33	37		-	9																						0	0	0	2	9	22	32	26	9
78		32	37		-	10																								0	1	5	15	31	33	15
77		32	38		-	9																							0	0	0	2	10	27	38	22
76		31	38		-	10																									0	1	5	22	41	32
75		31	39		-	9																										0	3	15	40	42
74		30	39		-	10																										0	1	9	37	53
73		30	40		-	9																										0	1	6	32	61
72		29	40		-	10																										0	0	3	27	70
71		29	41		-	9																											0	2	22	76
70		28	41		-	10																												1	18	81
69		28	42		-	9																												0	11	88
68		27	42		-	10																												0	10	90
67		27	43		-	9																													7	93
66		26	43		-	10																												0	4	95
65		26	44		-	9																													5	95
64		25	44		-	10																													3	97
63		25	45		-	9																													1	99
61	-62																																			100
60		23	46		-	10																													5	95
4	-59																																			100

Total:							2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2