Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 1

Plays at Washington, playoff odds down 0.1 to 44.3%

3 points 1 1-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Washington 2 Chicago 3	+0.3

Wednesday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed																Trash
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	On Ice		Count

123	-161						In		Yes		100																No		91	*
122		57	17		-	5	In		Yes		75				17		8										No		12	*
121		55	16		-	8	In		95.5	%	95	5															No		22	*
120		54	16		-	9	In		Yes		87				11	2											No		45	*
119		54	17		-	8	In		98.1		92	2			6												No		53	*
118		53	17		-	9	In		97.3		89	1			7	2	1										No		110	*
117		53	18		-	8	In		92.5		84	3			10	1	2										No		147	*
116		52	18		-	9	99.6	%	91.1		85	2			10	2	0		0								No		248	*
115		51	18		-	10	99.2		88.8		80	4			9	4	2	1	0		0		0				No		376	*
114		51	19		-	9	99.6		85.2		76	4	0		12	4	2	1		0	0						No		554	*
113		50	19		-	10	99.4		76.5		73	7			13	4	2	2	0			0					No		808	*
112		50	20		-	9	99.2		71.6		70	7	0		15	4	2	1	0	0	0						No		1,079	*
111		50	21		-	8	98.1		62.9		64	10	0		15	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0				No		1,584	*
110		49	21		-	9	97.1		52.8		58	12	1		15	6	3	2	2	1	0	0	0	0			No		2,053	*
109		48	21		-	10	97.3		42.2		52	15	1	0	15	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		2,781	*
108		48	22		-	9	96.5		31.3		47	18	2		15	8	5	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		3,832	*
107		47	22		-	10	95.1		21.4		41	20	3	0	15	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		No		4,827	*
106		47	23		-	9	94.3		13.4		35	21	4	0	16	9	6	4	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		6,416	*
105		46	23		-	10	92.8		7.1		28	23	5	0	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		8,150	*
104		46	24		-	9	90.8		3.8		23	23	6	1	15	10	7	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	No		10,003	*
103		45	24		-	10	88.4		1.4		17	22	8	1	15	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		12,316	*
102		45	25		-	9	86.3		0.5		13	21	10	1	15	11	8	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	No		14,758	*
101		44	25		-	10	84.0		0.1		9	19	11	2	14	12	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		17,845	*
100		44	26		-	9	81.4		0.0		6	17	13	3	14	11	9	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	0	0	No		20,427	*
99		43	26		-	10	78.0		No		5	14	14	4	13	11	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	No		23,596	*
98		43	27		-	9	75.3		No		3	12	14	5	12	12	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	No		26,762	*
97		42	27		-	10	71.8		No		2	9	14	6	12	11	10	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	No		30,071	*
96		42	28		-	9	68.0		No		1	7	12	7	11	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	No		32,975	*
95		41	28		-	10	64.0		No		1	5	11	7	10	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	No		35,858	*
94		41	29		-	9	59.4		No		0	3	9	8	9	10	10	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	No		38,640	*
93		40	29		-	10	55.8		No		0	2	8	9	8	9	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	1	No		41,096	*
92		40	30		-	9	51.6		No		0	1	7	9	7	9	9	10	9	8	8	7	6	5	3	2	No		42,383	*
91		39	30		-	10	47.1		No		0	1	5	9	6	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	4	2	No		43,167	*
90		39	31		-	9	43.0		No		0	0	4	8	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	6	5	3	No		43,579	*
89		38	31		-	10	39.2		No		0	0	3	8	5	7	8	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	4	No		43,546	*
88		37	31		-	11	34.8		No			0	2	7	4	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	4	No		42,579	*
87		37	32		-	10	31.2		No		0	0	1	7	4	5	6	8	9	9	9	9	10	9	8	6	No		40,925	*
86		37	33		-	9	27.4		No			0	1	6	3	4	6	7	8	9	9	10	10	10	9	6	0.0	%	38,732	*
85		36	33		-	10	23.8		No			0	1	5	2	4	5	7	8	9	9	10	11	11	10	8	0.0		36,640	*
84		36	34		-	9	21.2		No			0	0	4	2	3	5	6	7	8	10	10	11	12	11	9	0.0		33,902	*
83		35	34		-	10	18.2		No			0	0	4	2	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	12	12	13	11	0.2		31,064	*
82		35	35		-	9	15.1		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	6	7	9	10	12	13	14	13	0.8		27,725	*
81		34	35		-	10	13.0		No				0	2	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	10	12	14	15	15	2.1		24,810	*
80		34	36		-	9	11.2		No				0	2	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	17	17	4.6		21,439	*
79		33	36		-	10	9.3		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	6	7	9	12	14	18	20	9.1		18,602	*
78		33	37		-	9	7.4		No				0	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	12	15	19	23	15.0		15,749	*
77		32	37		-	10	6.4		No				0	1	0	1	2	3	3	5	6	9	10	15	21	25	23.2		13,173	*
76		32	38		-	9	5.2		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	7	11	15	21	28	32.5		10,870	*
75		31	38		-	10	4.5		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	3	5	7	10	14	21	31	42.8		8,875	*
74		31	39		-	9	3.2		No					1	0	1	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	14	22	36	53.5		7,064	*
73		30	39		-	10	2.7		No					0	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	6	9	13	24	38	60.8		5,493	*
72		30	40		-	9	2.1		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	8	13	22	42	69.7		4,365	*
71		29	40		-	10	1.7		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	12	23	46	77.1		3,317	*
70		28	40		-	11	1.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	7	12	22	49	82.5		2,498	*
69		28	41		-	10	1.2		No					0	0		0	0	0	1	2	3	6	11	21	54	88.2		1,817	*
68		28	42		-	9	0.9		No					0		0	0	1	1	1	2	3	6	10	21	56	90.8		1,405	*
67		27	42		-	10	0.7		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	1	2	5	8	22	59	93.5		954	*
66		26	42		-	11	0.1		No					0					1	1	1	2	4	8	21	63	96.1		713	*
65		27	44		-	8	0.6		No						0	0		0		0	1	2	3	7	21	65	96.3		492	*
64		26	44		-	9	0.3		No					0					0		1	1	3	6	20	69	98.0		356	*
63		25	44		-	10	0.9		No						0		0				1	0	2	7	14	75	98.6		215	*
62		24	44		-	11	Out		No										1		1	3	1	7	10	78	97.4		153	*
61		24	45		-	10	1.0		No						1						1		2	3	13	80	Yes		101	*
60		24	46		-	9	Out		No										1	2			2	1	11	81	98.8		81	*
59		24	47		-	8	Out		No										2				2	4	24	67	Yes		46	*
58		24	48		-	7	Out		No													5			10	86	Yes		21	*
56	-57						Out		No																	100	Yes		24	*
55		20	47		-	12	Out		No																20	80	Yes		5	*
3	-54						Out		No																	100	Yes		85	*

Total:							44.3	%	1.2	%	3	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	4.1	%	904,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia 6 Toronto 4	*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

122	-161						100
121		55	16		-	8	95	5
120		54	16		-	9	100
119		54	17		-	8	98	2
118		53	17		-	9	97	2	1
117		53	18		-	8	93	7
116		52	18		-	9	91	9
115		51	18		-	10	89	11	1
114		51	19		-	9	85	14	1	0
113		50	19		-	10	76	20	3	0
112		50	20		-	9	72	25	3	0
111		50	21		-	8	63	30	7	1	0
110		49	21		-	9	53	37	9	2	0
109		48	21		-	10	42	39	16	3	0	0
108		48	22		-	9	31	41	21	5	1	0
107		47	22		-	10	21	38	27	11	3	0	0
106		47	23		-	9	13	31	33	17	5	1	0
105		46	23		-	10	7	23	32	23	11	3	0	0	0
104		46	24		-	9	4	15	27	28	17	7	2	0
103		45	24		-	10	1	8	21	28	23	13	5	1	0	0		0
102		45	25		-	9	0	3	12	23	26	20	11	4	1	0	0
101		44	25		-	10	0	1	6	14	23	24	19	9	3	1	0	0	0
100		44	26		-	9	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
99		43	26		-	10		0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
98		43	27		-	9			0	1	2	7	15	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
97		42	27		-	10			0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
96		42	28		-	9				0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	10	5	2	0	0	0
95		41	28		-	10					0	0	0	2	5	11	19	22	20	12	6	2	1	0	0
94		41	29		-	9						0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	15	7	3	1	0	0
93		40	29		-	10								0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0	0
92		40	30		-	9									0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	19	11	5	2	0	0	0
91		39	30		-	10									0	0	0	0	1	5	10	18	22	20	14	6	2	1	0	0
90		39	31		-	9										0	0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
89		38	31		-	10												0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
88		37	31		-	11													0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
87		37	32		-	10												0			0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0
86		37	33		-	9															0	0	0	0	2	5	11	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
85		36	33		-	10																	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	4	1	0	0
84		36	34		-	9																		0	0	0	2	5	13	21	25	20	10	3	1	0
83		35	34		-	10																			0	0	0	2	6	15	23	25	18	8	2	0
82		35	35		-	9																	0		0	0	0	0	2	8	17	26	25	16	5	1
81		34	35		-	10																					0	0	1	3	10	21	28	24	11	2
80		34	36		-	9																						0	0	1	5	15	27	30	18	5
79		33	36		-	10																						0	0	0	2	8	22	33	26	9
78		33	37		-	9																							0	0	1	5	15	31	34	15
77		32	37		-	10																								0	0	2	9	26	39	23
76		32	38		-	9																									0	1	5	20	41	32
75		31	38		-	10																									0	0	3	14	40	43
74		31	39		-	9																										0	1	9	36	54
73		30	39		-	10																										0	1	6	33	61
72		30	40		-	9																											0	4	26	70
71		29	40		-	10																											0	2	20	77
70		28	40		-	11																											0	1	16	83
69		28	41		-	10																												1	11	88
68		28	42		-	9																												0	9	91
67		27	42		-	10																												0	6	94
66		26	42		-	11																												0	4	96
65		27	44		-	8																													4	96
64		26	44		-	9																													2	98
63		25	44		-	10																													1	99
62		24	44		-	11																													3	97
61		24	45		-	10																														100
60		24	46		-	9																													1	99
3	-59																																			100

Total:							1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4