Lighthouse's Team Playoff Chances 2019 50/50

Beat Valerie 112.94-68.46, playoff odds up 9 to 36.5%

2-2-0 .500

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Lighthouse finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

11		9	-	0	-	0	In		100	0									5,301
10	.5	8	-	0	-	1	In		97	3									98
10		8	-	1	-	0	In		89	11	0								44,568
		7	-	0	-	2	In		100										2
9	.5	7	-	1	-	1	In		77	22	1								710
9		7	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	49	41	9	1	0						179,031
		6	-	1	-	2	In		25	38	38								8
8	.5	6	-	2	-	1	99.8		27	50	21	2	0						2,446
8		6	-	3	-	0	96.4		7	31	39	19	3	0	0				415,649
		5	-	2	-	2	85.7			21	36	29	14						14
7	.5	5	-	3	-	1	87.2		1	10	38	39	12	1					5,071
		4	-	2	-	3	Out						100						1
7		5	-	4	-	0	45.7		0	2	12	32	35	16	3	0	0		625,088
		4	-	3	-	2	25.0				4	21	32	29	14				28
6	.5	4	-	4	-	1	9.6				1	9	36	41	12	1	0		6,284
6		4	-	5	-	0	1.8			0	0	2	13	33	35	15	2	0	624,513
		3	-	4	-	2	Out							22	28	39	11		18
5	.5	3	-	5	-	1	Out						1	9	38	40	12	1	4,980
5		3	-	6	-	0	0.0					0	0	3	19	41	31	6	416,864
		2	-	5	-	2	Out								6	33	33	28	18
4	.5	2	-	6	-	1	Out								2	23	53	22	2,500
		1	-	5	-	3	Out											100	1
4		2	-	7	-	0	Out							0	1	12	45	43	178,459
		1	-	6	-	2	Out										33	67	3
3	.5	1	-	7	-	1	Out									2	29	69	680
3		1	-	8	-	0	Out									1	17	82	45,028
		0	-	7	-	2	Out											100	2
2	.5	0	-	8	-	1	Out										3	97	92
2		0	-	9	-	0	Out									0	3	97	5,263

Total:							36.5	%	6	9	10	11	12	13	12	11	9	6	2,562,720

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Close but no cigar

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

11		9	-	0	-	0	91	9	0
10	.5	8	-	0	-	1	86	13	1
10		8	-	1	-	0	60	33	7	1	0	0
		7	-	0	-	2	50	50
9	.5	7	-	1	-	1	42	39	16	3
9		7	-	2	-	0	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0
		6	-	1	-	2	13	25	13	25	25
8	.5	6	-	2	-	1	3	16	31	30	15	3	1	0
8		6	-	3	-	0	0	3	11	21	26	22	12	4	1	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	2					14	14	36	36
7	.5	5	-	3	-	1		0	1	4	15	29	29	16	5	1	0
		4	-	2	-	3									100
7		5	-	4	-	0		0	0	0	2	8	15	21	22	17	10	3	1	0	0
		4	-	3	-	2							4	11	11	25	29	11	7	4
6	.5	4	-	4	-	1						0	1	4	15	29	29	17	5	1	0
6		4	-	5	-	0						0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	9	3	1	0	0
		3	-	4	-	2												17	11	17	44	11
5	.5	3	-	5	-	1										0	1	5	16	29	29	16	5	1	0
5		3	-	6	-	0										0	0	1	4	12	22	26	21	11	3	0
		2	-	5	-	2																28	22	28	17	6
4	.5	2	-	6	-	1														0	4	16	32	31	15	2
		1	-	5	-	3																			100
4		2	-	7	-	0													0	0	1	5	18	32	31	12
		1	-	6	-	2																		67	33
3	.5	1	-	7	-	1																0	3	20	45	32
3		1	-	8	-	0																0	1	9	36	55
		0	-	7	-	2																				100
2	.5	0	-	8	-	1																		1	18	80
2		0	-	9	-	0																		0	11	89

Total:							2	3	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2