Ocho Cinco for Prez Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Lost to Outlier 70.4-87.54, playoff odds down 11 to 17.4%
1-3-0 .250
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/29 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ocho cinco 70.4 Outlier 87.54 | -10.4 | -0.8 | ||
| And I Oop 42.9 Kat Andy 93.7 | -0.5 | |||
| Gronk 128.8 Winner's 106.74 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ocho cinco vs Title Shot | +8.7-3.4-8.7 | +0.8-0.1-0.8 | ||
| Gronk vs Kat Andy | +0.1*-1.5-0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Grinders vs Outlier | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | |||
| FFF-Fumble vs And I Oop | -0.1*-1.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Ocho cinco finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 91 | 9 | 0 | 5,191 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 74 | 24 | 2 | 84 | |||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 53 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 44,681 | |||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 23 | 52 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 685 | |||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97.3 | 8 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 178,400 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50.0 | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 84.6 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 2,543 | ||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 49.9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 416,020 | |||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 12.5 | 13 | 63 | 13 | 13 | 8 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 9.7 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4,956 | |||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 625,485 | |||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 4 | 74 | 17 | 4 | 23 | ||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 11 | 38 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 6,239 | ||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 625,076 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 4 | 22 | 67 | 7 | 27 | ||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 27 | 51 | 19 | 5,099 | |||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 416,539 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 12 | 18 | 71 | 17 | |||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 31 | 66 | 2,483 | |||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 178,540 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 20 | 80 | 5 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 94 | 680 | |||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 44,520 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 99 | 85 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 5,331 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.4 | % | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 2,562,720 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/29 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ocho cinco 70.4 Outlier 87.54 | +1.5 | |
| Fuzzy Puppy 114.08 Unicorn 135.6 | +0.0 | |
| Grinders 81.34 cobra Kai 146.68 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 10/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ocho cinco vs Title Shot | -1.5+0.2+1.5 | |
| FFF-Fumble vs And I Oop | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | |
| Gronk vs Kat Andy | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Grinders vs Outlier | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Close but no cigar
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 72 | 24 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 44 | 42 | 12 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 38 | 25 | 38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 33 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 15 | 3 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 33 | 14 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 18 | 35 | 47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 38 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 58 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 40 | 60 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 15 | 83 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:31 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
