"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gronk 128.8 Winner's 106.74 +10.3
+0.7
And I Oop 42.9 Kat Andy 93.7 -0.7
FFF-Fumble 91.6 Title Shot 96.44 +0.0
Grinders 81.34 cobra Kai 146.68 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gronk vs Kat Andy+8.9*+1.1-8.9
+0.6*+0.1-0.6
FFF-Fumble vs And I Oop-0.5*+1.2+0.5
Winner's vs cobra Kai+0.1*-0.7-0.1
Ocho cinco vs Title Shot+0.1*+0.9-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gronk finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910Count
12.5-13In1005,354*
128-1-0In100044,591
7-0-2In1002
11.57-1-1In991732
117-2-0In982178,241
6-1-2In1007
10.56-2-1In9732,386
106-3-0In851400417,770
5-2-2In851513
9.55-3-1In7524105,008
95-4-0100.0%4941910624,376
4-3-2In26581619
8.54-4-1100.0284921206,168
84-5-097.69343816200623,291
3-4-2In532422119
7.53-5-189.0112393710105,026
73-6-049.6021433341520417,369
2-5-25.35682619
6.52-6-111.701140371012,477
62-7-01.3011030371930178,990
1-6-2Out67336
5.51-7-1Out193941101707
51-8-0Out011035421344,741
0-7-2Out1001
4.50-8-1Out318512893
40-9-0Out0332655,314
Total:82.2%372114107532102,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/29100.0*Lottery seed
Gronk 128.8 Winner's 106.74 -1.3
Stephen 52.8 Snacks Attack 87.64 -0.0
Lighthouse 112.94 Valerie 68.46 +0.0
Fuzzy Puppy 114.08 Unicorn 135.6 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Gronk vs Kat Andy-1.3-0.1+1.3
Grinders vs Outlier-0.0-0.1+0.0
Jacob vs Valerie+0.0*-0.1-0.0
FFF-Fumble vs And I Oop+0.0-0.1-0.0
Winner's vs cobra Kai-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Close but no cigar

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920
12.5-13100
128-1-0991
7-0-2100
11.57-1-1991
117-2-093600
6-1-2100
10.56-2-189110
106-3-06629500
5-2-277815
9.55-3-146411220
95-4-0193529133000
4-3-252632325
8.54-4-141934281220
84-5-015142325191031000
3-4-25323726
7.53-5-1015182928154000
73-6-00013816212117931000
2-5-2262632115
6.52-6-11415293017510
62-7-00002613202320125100
1-6-2335017
5.51-7-10131329302131
51-8-000151526281861
0-7-2100
4.50-8-1212273822
40-9-0018284121
Total:24151197654432221111000