"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lighthouse 112.94 Valerie 68.46 -5.9
-0.7
Stephen 52.8 Snacks Attack 87.64 +0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacob vs Valerie-4.1-1.8+4.1
-0.6*-0.1+0.6
Donation vs Snacks Attack-0.1*-0.8+0.1
Lone Star vs Unicorn+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Fuzzy Puppy vs Stephen+0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Valerie finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910Count
99-0-0In742415,281
8.58-0-1In275714297
88-1-099.4%18433181044,421
7.57-1-190.4216423191726
77-2-059.7042036291010178,259
6-1-233.33333336
6.56-2-19.70937401212,547
66-3-02.00021332331630416,078
5-2-2Out1045252020
5.55-3-10.000632441714,944
55-4-0Out0214373712625,010
4-3-2Out423462726
4.54-4-1Out011650336,274
44-5-0Out00073855624,576
3-4-2Out217924
3.53-5-1Out119815,028
2-4-3Out1001
33-6-0Out001188417,377
2-5-2Out79314
2.52-6-1Out3972,563
22-7-0Out0199178,792
1-6-2Out1005
1.51-7-1Out0100672
11-8-0Out010044,622
0-7-2Out1001
0-0.5Out1005,356*
Total:6.4%01234691321402,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/29100.0*Lottery seed
Lighthouse 112.94 Valerie 68.46 +1.3
And I Oop 42.9 Kat Andy 93.7 -0.0
Gronk 128.8 Winner's 106.74 -0.0
Stephen 52.8 Snacks Attack 87.64 +0.0
Fuzzy Puppy 114.08 Unicorn 135.6 +0.0
Grinders 81.34 cobra Kai 146.68 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Jacob vs Valerie+1.2+0.2-1.2
Gronk vs Kat Andy-0.0+0.1+0.0
Winner's vs cobra Kai+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Lone Star vs Unicorn-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Lighthouse vs Unrivaled-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Close but no cigar

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920
99-0-0224127910
8.58-0-15182937101
88-1-0171927241562000
7.57-1-1151928291340
77-2-00014112023201362000
6-1-2176717
6.56-2-10141430281750
66-3-0001391722211683100
5-2-21015301530
5.55-3-100313273119610
55-4-000013102026231341
4-3-223233123
4.54-4-1003112935183
44-5-00001414303517
3-4-2214238
3.53-5-102144440
2-4-3100
33-6-000163360
2-5-23664
2.52-6-1011683
22-7-0001090
1-6-2100
1.51-7-1298
11-8-0298
0-7-2100
0.50-8-1298
00-9-00100
Total:00011112223445689121622