Fuzzy Puppy Playoff Chances 2019 50/50

Lost to Unicorn 114.08-135.6, playoff odds down 10.8 to 61.5%

3-1-0 .750

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Fuzzy Puppy finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

11.5	-12						In		100										5,435	*
11		8	-	1	-	0	In		99	1									44,767
10	.5	7	-	1	-	1	In		97	3									703
10		7	-	2	-	0	In		88	12	0	0							178,946
		6	-	1	-	2	In		75	25									4
9	.5	6	-	2	-	1	In		77	22	1								2,554
9		6	-	3	-	0	100.0	%	51	40	8	0	0						417,162
		5	-	2	-	2	In		36	57	7								14
8	.5	5	-	3	-	1	100.0		28	51	19	2	0						4,935
8		5	-	4	-	0	97.4		9	33	38	17	3	0	0				624,184
		4	-	3	-	2	96.0			16	60	20	4						25
7	.5	4	-	4	-	1	89.3		1	12	40	36	10	1					6,159
7		4	-	5	-	0	48.2		0	2	14	32	34	15	3	0	0		623,623
		3	-	4	-	2	29.0				6	23	42	23	6				31
6	.5	3	-	5	-	1	11.1				1	11	38	39	12	1			4,962
6		3	-	6	-	0	1.6				0	2	11	30	36	18	3	0	416,435
		2	-	5	-	2	Out							18	47	24	6	6	17
5	.5	2	-	6	-	1	Out						0	10	35	42	12	1	2,448
5		2	-	7	-	0	Out						0	1	13	38	38	10	179,503
		1	-	6	-	2	Out									50	50		4
4	.5	1	-	7	-	1	Out							0	2	18	55	26	721
4		1	-	8	-	0	Out								0	6	39	54	44,719
3	.5	0	-	8	-	1	Out									1	21	79	107
3		0	-	9	-	0	Out										10	90	5,262

Total:							61.5	%	19	16	14	12	11	9	7	6	4	2	2,562,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Close but no cigar

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

12		9	-	0	-	0	99	1
11	.5	8	-	0	-	1	98	2
11		8	-	1	-	0	90	10	0
10	.5	7	-	1	-	1	83	16	1
10		7	-	2	-	0	59	33	7	1	0
		6	-	1	-	2	50	25	25
9	.5	6	-	2	-	1	40	42	14	3	0
9		6	-	3	-	0	15	33	31	15	4	1	0	0
		5	-	2	-	2	14	14	50	14	7
8	.5	5	-	3	-	1	2	17	33	31	14	3	0	0
8		5	-	4	-	0	0	4	12	22	26	20	11	4	1	0	0	0
		4	-	3	-	2			4	12	20	32	8	16	8
7	.5	4	-	4	-	1		0	1	5	16	29	28	16	5	1
7		4	-	5	-	0		0	0	1	3	8	16	21	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
		3	-	4	-	2								10	32	16	26	16
6	.5	3	-	5	-	1						0	1	4	15	28	29	17	5	1	0
6		3	-	6	-	0						0	0	0	2	7	15	21	22	18	10	4	1	0	0
		2	-	5	-	2												6	24	24	24	18	6
5	.5	2	-	6	-	1											0	4	15	28	30	17	4	1
5		2	-	7	-	0										0	0	0	3	9	19	26	24	14	4	1
		1	-	6	-	2															25	50		25
4	.5	1	-	7	-	1														0	2	14	32	36	12	3
4		1	-	8	-	0														0	0	3	14	31	36	16
3	.5	0	-	8	-	1																	2	18	49	32
3		0	-	9	-	0																	0	6	33	61

Total:							8	9	9	8	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	0