Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas Title Chances 50/50Did not play, title odds up 2.1 to 85.1% 59 points 18-5-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed | Bragantino 1 Atletico-MG 2 | +3.3 | | +0.0 | | Bragantino 1 Fluminense 0 | -2.8 | | | | Flamengo 1 Vasco 0 | -1.4 | | | | Palmeiras 5 Sao Paulo 0 | -0.8 | | | | Botafogo 1 Athletico-PR 1 | -0.6 | | | | Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 2 | -0.5 | | | | Sao Paulo 3 Gremio 0 | +0.4 | | | | Athletico-PR 3 America-MG 2 | -0.2 | | | | Atletico-MG 0 Cruzeiro 1 | +0.2 | | | | Bahia 2 Fortaleza 0 | +0.2 | | | | Fluminense 5 Goias 3 | -0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Gremio vs Flamengo | +1.5+1.1-2.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/29 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed | Botafogo vs Palmeiras | +7.7-0.5-7.4 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Botafogo vs Cuiaba | +6.9-1.5-6.0 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Goias vs Bragantino | +2.1+1.0-2.8 | | | | Flamengo vs Santos | -2.4+1.0+1.8 | | | | Flamengo vs Bragantino | -0.3+2.2-1.1 | | | | Palmeiras vs Bahia | -1.5+0.7+1.1 | | | | Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | | | Corinthians vs Athletico-PR | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | | | | America-MG vs Gremio | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | Coritiba vs Gremio | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | Atletico-MG vs Fluminense | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | | | | Bahia vs Fluminense | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | -89 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,395,986 | * | 80 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,650,345 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 905,358 | | 79 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,876,239 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 201,219 | | 78 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,042,631 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,579,908 | | 77 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,949,917 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,581,200 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 107,106 | | 76 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,748,905 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,008,821 | | 75 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,069,975 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,990,862 | * | 74 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,252,038 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 98.6 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,901,679 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 98.2 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 430,152 | | 73 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.3 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,683,015 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 96.5 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,026,533 | * | 72 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 94.7 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,065,755 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 93.6 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,271,329 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 93.1 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,671 | | 71 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 89.6 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,255,197 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 89.6 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,584,854 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 87.8 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 645,870 | * | 70 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 83.3 | | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,767,793 | * | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 80.2 | | Yes | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,019,889 | | 69 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 72.8 | | Yes | 73 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,045,827 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 70.4 | | Yes | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,955,878 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 67.9 | | Yes | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,642 | * | 68 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 59.1 | | Yes | 59 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,954,130 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 58.9 | | Yes | 59 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 905,408 | * | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 54.5 | | Yes | 54 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 429,069 | | 67 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 44.6 | | Yes | 45 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,877,353 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 39.8 | | Yes | 40 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,019,480 | * | 66 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 28.9 | | Yes | 29 | 46 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,733,440 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 26.6 | | 100.0 | % | 27 | 45 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,582,118 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 23.3 | | Yes | 23 | 45 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,505 | | 65 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 15.5 | | 100.0 | | 16 | 40 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,650,866 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 15.9 | | 100.0 | | 16 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 339,449 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 12.5 | | 100.0 | | 12 | 37 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 107,495 | | 64 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 7.0 | | 100.0 | | 7 | 30 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,106,586 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 5.5 | | 100.0 | | 5 | 26 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 201,684 | | 63 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 2.4 | | 99.9 | | 2 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 432,896 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 2.0 | | 99.8 | | 2 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 263,653 | | 62 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.5 | | 98.9 | | 1 | 6 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 236,020 | | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 0.6 | | 99.5 | | 1 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 75,483 | | 61 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 95.8 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 138,420 | | 60 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 88.6 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,099 | | 59 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | 73.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,012 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 85.1 | % | 100.0 | % | 85 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 123,413,760 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |