How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo 0 Goias 0 -0.1
-1.5
+1.4
-0.3
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 -0.1
-0.5
Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 *+0.1
+0.8
-0.1
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.4
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0 +0.1
Coritiba 1 Santos 2 -0.2
-0.5
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 +0.2
*-0.1
Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.2
+0.4
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 +0.1
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.7-0.2+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Sao Paulo+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Gremio vs Goias-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.3+0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.2
-3.4-1.4+4.3
+7.4+1.8-8.6
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.5-0.1+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fluminense vs Santos-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Bahia vs Fortaleza+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2-0.0
Athletico-PR vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.3-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.3+0.3
Ceara vs Coritiba-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.3+0.4
Bragantino vs Goias+0.2-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8221-0-099.9%Yes10000No1,116,266
79-80YesYes100No432*
7819-2-098.7Yes991No1,065
7719-1-198.2Yes982No3,445
7618-3-097.1Yes973No7,121*
7518-2-195.3Yes9550No20,505
7418-1-292.6Yes9370No44,967*
7317-3-189.3Yes891000No96,403*
7217-2-284.3Yes841510No213,822*
7116-4-178.4Yes782010No410,471*
7016-3-270.5Yes7027300No797,234*
6916-2-361.4Yes6133500No1,493,391*
6815-4-251.3Yes51399100No2,607,949*
6715-3-340.1Yes404414200No4,552,998*
6615-2-429.6100.0%3045214000No7,588,523*
6514-4-319.9100.02043298100No12,140,954*
6414-3-412.0100.0123635142000No19,137,093*
6313-5-36.4100.062738226100No28,971,607*
6213-4-42.999.83183630122000No42,579,249*
6113-3-51.199.211028352061000No61,286,961*
6012-5-40.397.1041833291230000No85,134,518*
5912-4-50.191.4019263322710000No115,327,859*
5812-3-60.079.20031530301641000No152,538,094*
5711-5-50.059.500162032261130000No195,586,803*
5611-4-60.035.9000210243222820000No244,881,060*
5510-6-50.016.20000313273019710000No298,978,764*
5410-5-6No5.10001415282916510000No354,769,572*
5310-4-7No1.000016172927154100000.0%411,185,571*
529-6-6No0.1000017192926134100000.0464,486,037*
519-5-7No0.000002820292512300000.0510,707,493*
509-4-8No0.000002921302411300000.0548,102,627*
498-6-7No0.0000021022302310200000.3573,166,353*
488-5-8NoNo0000311243021920002.1583,594,324*
478-4-9NoNo0000141326301971008.4579,582,206*
467-6-8NoNo0000151528291751022.4560,475,928*
457-5-9NoNo000016193127133043.2527,487,601*
447-4-10NoNo0000292433248165.1483,578,826*
436-6-9NoNo0000314303317382.2431,203,316*
426-5-10NoNo00016223627792.4373,736,194*
416-4-11NoNo000021333371597.3315,034,888*
405-6-10NoNo00001625432599.2257,788,336*
395-5-11NoNo0000317433799.8204,599,664*
385-4-12NoNo0001103949100.0157,526,538*
374-6-11NoNo00053361100.0117,395,798*
364-5-12NoNo00032572100.084,573,102*
354-4-13NoNo0011980100.058,887,710*
343-6-12NoNo0001387100.039,527,740*
333-5-13NoNo00991Yes25,502,576*
323-4-14NoNo00595Yes15,819,035*
312-6-13NoNo00397Yes9,391,188*
302-5-14NoNo0298Yes5,314,522*
292-4-15NoNo0199Yes2,860,881*
281-6-14NoNo0199Yes1,458,755*
271-5-15NoNo0100Yes697,746*
261-4-16NoNo0100Yes311,887*
251-3-17NoNo0100Yes129,579*
240-5-16NoNo0100Yes48,302*
230-4-17NoNo0100Yes16,074*
20-22NoNo100Yes5,971*
190-0-21NoNo0100Yes1,116,266
Total:0.2%8.5%0112234456677788888630.3%8,975,600,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship