How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 3 Fluminense 2 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Vitoria 0 Coritiba 1 -0.1
-0.2
Sao Paulo 2 Palmeiras 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Botafogo vs Bahia+1.7-0.6-1.4
+5.4-1.8-4.7
-4.7+1.1+4.4
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo vs Botafogo-1.4-0.5+1.9
-4.4-1.4+5.9
+3.9+0.7-4.9
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Santos vs Botafogo-1.3-0.5+1.8
-4.4-1.5+5.8
+4.0+0.8-4.9
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.2
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Fluminense vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Fluminense vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Coritiba vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Sport Recife vs Flamengo+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Coritiba vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Cruzeiro*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Corinthians vs Santos-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Bahia vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atletico-GO vs Ponte Preta+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.1*-0.0
*+0.0-0.2+0.1
Avai vs Sport Recife+0.1-0.2+0.1
Atletico-MG vs Avai+0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-111YesYes100No2,282*
8325-6-599.8%Yes1000No509*
8224-5-799.4Yes991No807*
8124-6-699.4Yes991No1,259*
8024-7-599.0Yes991No2,001*
7923-6-798.6Yes991No3,035*
7823-7-698.1Yes982No4,608*
7723-8-597.2Yes973No6,825*
7622-7-795.8Yes9640No9,657*
7522-8-693.8Yes9460No13,767*
7421-7-891.1Yes9190No19,493*
7321-8-788.0Yes881200No27,028*
7221-9-683.0Yes831610No36,741*
7120-8-877.4Yes772120No48,610*
7020-9-770.3100.0%7026300No64,190*
6920-10-661.7100.06232600No82,781*
6819-9-852.2100.052389100No105,568*
6719-10-741.699.8424214200No132,862*
6618-9-931.499.43143215100No163,598*
6518-10-822.098.52241279100No197,938*
6418-11-713.896.3143633143000No237,084*
6317-10-97.791.482735227100No279,792*
6217-11-83.682.74183229133000No324,974*
6117-12-71.568.9110263221820000No370,890*
6016-11-90.450.9051729281551000No418,297*
5916-12-80.131.8029223024113000No463,779*
5816-13-70.015.70031225292082000No505,626*
5715-12-90.05.900151527281761000No543,582*
5615-13-8No1.500171828261551000No575,052*
5515-14-7No0.3000282028241341000No600,553*
5414-13-9No0.00000292129231131000No618,639*
5314-14-8No0.00000310222922103000No624,701*
5213-13-10NoNo001311232921920000.0%622,660*
5113-14-9NoNo0001413252820820000.0611,764*
5013-15-8NoNo0001514262818710000.2590,513*
4912-14-10NoNo0001616272816510001.1560,488*
4812-15-9NoNo000271828261441004.6523,616*
4712-16-8NoNo0000292130241130013.5481,497*
4611-15-10NoNo000131225302071029.0436,084*
4511-16-9NoNo0015162929154048.4388,735*
4411-17-8NoNo000282232259167.3339,898*
4310-16-10NoNo001414303217382.0293,488*
4210-17-9NoNo0017223626791.2248,555*
4110-18-8NoNo00031534351396.2207,873*
409-17-10NoNo001928412198.5169,625*
399-18-9NoNo00421433199.6136,599*
389-19-8NoNo00214424199.9107,688*
378-18-10NoNo00193852100.083,253*
368-19-9NoNo0053262100.063,689*
358-20-8NoNo0032671100.047,552*
347-19-10NoNo022078Yes34,677*
337-20-9NoNo011584Yes24,372*
327-21-8NoNo001089Yes17,488*
316-20-10NoNo00792Yes11,985*
306-21-9NoNo0595Yes7,923*
296-22-8NoNo496Yes5,466*
285-21-10NoNo298Yes3,450*
275-22-9NoNo199Yes2,106*
265-23-8NoNo199Yes1,249*
255-24-7NoNo0100Yes743*
244-23-9NoNo199Yes473*
3-23NoNo100Yes2,123*
Total:4.2%19.3%4555555666655555544316.2%12,512,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship