How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense 0 Corinthians 1 -0.1
+0.4
+0.0
Atletico-GO 1 Botafogo 1 -0.1
-4.8
+0.3
-0.4
Santos 3 Bahia 0 -0.4
Avai 1 Cruzeiro 0 +0.9
+0.1
+0.0
Flamengo 2 Coritiba 1 -0.6
Vitoria 1 Chapecoense 2 -0.4
Atletico-MG 1 Vasco da Gama 2 -0.3
Atletico-PR 0 Ponte Preta 2 -0.3
Sport Recife 0 Palmeiras 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sao Paulo vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.0-0.1
+10.0-2.4-8.4
-1.0+0.1+0.9
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo+0.1-0.0-0.1
+7.5-3.9-8.7
-1.0+0.2+1.4
+0.7-0.3-0.9
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.5+0.0+0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Corinthians vs Flamengo+0.6*+0.0-1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Gremio+0.2+0.1-0.1
Gremio vs Santos+0.3+0.1-0.4
Santos vs Flamengo+0.2+0.3-0.5
Palmeiras vs Avai-0.9+0.5+1.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-PR-0.8+0.5+0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bahia vs Sport Recife+0.6+0.5-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Vitoria-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sport Recife vs Fluminense-0.6+0.6+0.3
Vitoria vs Ponte Preta+0.6+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs Atletico-GO-0.5+0.4+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro-0.3+0.6-0.0
Chapecoense vs Bahia-0.4+0.4+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Fluminense-0.2+0.4-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Coritiba+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.2-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9022-0-097.4%Yes973No19,548
87-88YesYes100No9*
8620-0-281.8Yes8218No22
8520-1-192.2Yes928No51
8419-0-370.4Yes7030No108*
8319-1-268.1Yes6832No329
8219-2-164.0Yes64351No764*
8118-1-357.4Yes57421No1,639*
8018-2-248.8Yes49492No3,587*
7917-1-441.0Yes41563No6,896*
7817-2-334.6Yes356050No13,221*
7717-3-226.8Yes276580No25,154*
7616-2-420.1Yes2067120No43,834*
7516-3-315.0Yes15671710No76,901*
7416-4-210.4Yes10652310No127,755*
7315-3-46.9Yes7613020No203,797*
7215-4-34.4Yes45437400No321,290*
7114-3-52.5Yes34644700No486,947*
7014-4-41.4Yes138481210No714,859*
6914-5-30.7100.0%1295118200No1,029,173*
6813-4-50.3100.00215025300No1,431,594*
6713-5-40.1100.00144732600No1,940,971*
6613-6-30.0100.009403911100No2,566,657*
6512-5-50.099.905314318300No3,294,904*
6412-6-40.099.5022243266000No4,129,345*
6311-5-60.098.501143933111000No5,039,277*
6211-6-50.095.90083138194000No5,998,666*
6111-7-4No90.50421382781000No6,960,886*
6010-6-6No81.002133334153000No7,881,533*
5910-7-5No66.50062436248100No8,692,035*
5810-8-4No48.5002143232154000No9,354,792*
579-7-6No30.3001723342592000No9,819,958*
569-8-5No15.600031329321851000No10,047,685*
559-9-4No6.30016193227123000No10,029,986*
548-8-6No1.900021025322282000No9,753,516*
538-9-5No0.400041428301751000No9,252,463*
528-10-4No0.100016193027133000No8,546,914*
517-9-6No0.000029233123920000.0%7,699,634*
507-10-5No0.0000312263119710000.06,744,985*
496-9-7No0.0000151629291541000.05,758,941*
486-10-6NoNo00017213126112000.24,778,073*
476-11-5NoNo00021126322171001.13,852,673*
465-10-7NoNo0014163030154003.93,023,363*
455-11-6NoNo00017223326910010.52,301,124*
445-12-5NoNo00031229341840022.31,696,498*
434-11-7NoNo001520352991038.41,216,292*
424-12-6NoNo0002113037182056.4841,964*
414-13-5NoNo00152239285072.8563,143*
404-14-4NoNo00213363810084.9363,621*
393-13-6NoNo017294518192.6226,257*
383-14-5NoNo003204727396.9135,639*
373-15-4NoNo01124437698.977,748*
362-14-6NoNo0073845999.643,005*
352-15-5NoNo00330521599.922,343*
342-16-4NoNo02225422100.011,031*
331-15-6NoNo1165429Yes5,219*
321-16-5NoNo095140Yes2,320*
311-17-4NoNo54352Yes920*
301-18-3NoNo43760Yes332*
290-17-5NoNo23168Yes131*
280-18-4NoNo1882Yes34*
270-19-3NoNo3070Yes10
25-26NoNo100Yes6*
240-22-0NoNo0694Yes19,548
Total:0.1%35.3%0258101111109876543211001.9%157,201,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship