SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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4 a.m.

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 +3.8
+9.9
-0.5
+0.8
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -2.4
*+0.2
Bahia 1 CRB 1 -1.5
-2.1
-0.1
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.7
*+0.1
+0.1
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 +0.7
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 -0.2
-0.4
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 *+0.2
+0.4
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 *+0.2
*+0.1
*+0.0
CRB 1 Brusque 1 +0.5
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.4
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 +0.4
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 *+0.3
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 *+0.3
*+0.0
Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 *+0.3
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 *+0.2
Tombense 1 Criciuma 0 *-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Bahia-5.6-1.3+6.4
-8.3-2.3+9.8
+0.2-0.0-0.2
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.6+0.2-0.7
+1.0+0.3-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.7+0.3+0.6
-0.7+0.5+0.4
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.8+0.4-1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Ponte Preta-0.5+0.2+0.4
-1.1+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Operario-PR vs Tombense+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7+0.4-0.9
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.8+0.3+0.6
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.5-0.4
CRB vs Novorizontino*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.5-0.3
Criciuma vs CSA-0.4+0.3+0.3
Guarani vs Brusque+0.2+0.2-0.3
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.1+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
86-91YesYes100No14,462*
8516-3-099.8%Yes1000No487*
8416-2-199.9Yes1000No1,321
8316-1-299.6Yes1000No2,826*
8215-3-199.5Yes1000No5,680*
8115-2-299.2Yes991No12,272*
8015-1-398.6Yes991No22,444*
7914-3-297.9Yes982No40,979*
7814-2-396.9Yes9730No73,668*
7713-4-295.0Yes9550No121,456*
7613-3-392.9Yes9370No200,520*
7513-2-489.8Yes90100No317,744*
7412-4-386.0Yes86140No478,638*
7312-3-481.4Yes811800No713,098*
7211-5-375.5Yes762410No1,017,405*
7111-4-468.8Yes693010No1,406,610*
7011-3-561.0Yes613720No1,906,533*
6910-5-452.4100.0%5243400No2,490,996*
6810-4-543.5100.04349700No3,152,917*
6710-3-634.4100.0345411100No3,902,331*
669-5-525.7100.0265517100No4,678,037*
659-4-618.099.9185425300No5,448,861*
649-3-711.699.61249336000No6,194,301*
638-5-66.798.77413912100No6,818,111*
628-4-73.596.633143193000No7,308,185*
618-3-81.591.9221422871000No7,627,706*
607-5-70.583.01123535143000No7,723,999*
597-4-80.268.80625382371000No7,599,514*
586-6-70.050.2021533321430000No7,274,543*
576-5-80.030.501723342492000No6,746,794*
566-4-90.014.50021228321961000No6,088,598*
555-6-80.05.000051730281541000No5,324,834*
545-5-9No1.200172030261230000No4,504,015*
535-4-10No0.200029223024113000No3,697,775*
524-6-9No0.0000210233022102000No2,936,032*
514-5-10No0.000031123292292000No2,251,010*
504-4-11NoNo000311232921920000.0%1,671,451*
493-6-10NoNo000311232921920000.01,193,061*
483-5-11NoNo0000311242921920000.2816,628*
473-4-12NoNo00031224302182001.9539,415*
463-3-13NoNo00141326301971008.1341,156*
452-5-12NoNo00141428301751023.1203,336*
442-4-13NoNo0016183128143045.2117,052*
432-3-14NoNo00182233269168.663,348*
421-5-13NoNo00312293518385.132,190*
411-4-14NoNo0015193631894.415,369*
401-3-15NoNo0021032391798.16,776*
390-5-14NoNo0522452899.52,647*
380-4-15NoNo2134540Yes982*
370-3-16NoNo174052Yes289*
360-2-17NoNo42868Yes75
350-1-18NoNo2872Yes18
340-0-19NoNo11584Yes14,065
Total:11.0%63.2%11201814107543221110000000.2%113,122,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:38 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)