How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 +0.1
+3.4
-9.1
+1.1
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 -0.1
-0.7
+0.0
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.4
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 +0.2
-0.2
Coritiba 1 Santos 2 -0.2
-0.5
Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.1
+0.4
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 *+0.1
-0.2
Botafogo 0 Goias 0 -0.3
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6-0.2+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Sao Paulo+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Gremio vs Goias-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.3+0.4
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia vs Fortaleza+0.2-0.1-0.2
+4.9-1.5-3.9
-8.3+1.9+7.1
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.5-0.1+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5-0.1+0.6
Fluminense vs Santos-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Athletico-PR vs Gremio+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.3-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.3+0.3
Ceara vs Coritiba-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.4+0.3
Bragantino vs Goias-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.2-0.5+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8221-0-0100.0%Yes1000No534,021
8020-1-0YesYes100No67
7920-0-199.2Yes991No126
7819-2-099.1Yes991No534
7719-1-199.1Yes991No1,619
7618-3-097.6Yes9820No3,463*
7518-2-196.7Yes9730No9,939
7418-1-294.6Yes9550No21,545*
7317-3-191.7Yes92800No46,199*
7217-2-287.7Yes881200No101,813*
7116-4-182.6Yes831710No196,989*
7016-3-275.9Yes7622200No381,562*
6916-2-367.6Yes6829300No715,424*
6815-4-258.0Yes5835600No1,247,673*
6715-3-347.6Yes484111100No2,179,015*
6615-2-436.6Yes374417200No3,628,628*
6514-4-326.1100.0%2645245000No5,808,916*
6414-3-417.0100.017413110100No9,158,468*
6313-5-39.9100.0103337173000No13,857,079*
6213-4-45.099.9524382571000No20,372,131*
6113-3-52.199.72153432143000No29,308,145*
6012-5-40.798.81725352371000No40,708,872*
5912-4-50.295.7031531311540000No55,197,217*
5812-3-60.088.00172233251020000No72,976,951*
5711-5-50.073.00021227322061000No93,557,560*
5611-4-60.051.000141630291541000No117,158,436*
5510-6-50.027.80001720312612300000No143,022,377*
5410-5-6No11.0000292331231020000No169,735,273*
5310-4-7No2.9000311253021820000No196,695,725*
529-6-6No0.500003132629197200000.0%222,218,005*
519-5-7No0.000014142629187100000.0244,301,343*
509-4-8No0.0000015152728176100000.0262,207,456*
498-6-7No0.000015162828165100000.1274,194,077*
488-5-8No0.000001617282715410000.8279,212,353*
478-4-9No0.000000271929261340004.1277,287,952*
467-6-8NoNo0000292130241120013.4268,142,948*
457-5-9NoNo000031124312181030.7252,333,414*
447-4-10NoNo00014142830175052.6231,344,397*
436-6-9NoNo00001619322811273.0206,296,272*
426-5-10NoNo0000210273521587.1178,780,434*
416-4-11NoNo000151835321094.9150,720,309*
405-6-10NoNo00021030401998.3123,322,146*
395-5-11NoNo0000522443099.597,883,481*
385-4-12NoNo000214424299.975,361,653*
374-6-11NoNo00183754100.056,140,296*
364-5-12NoNo00043066100.040,457,215*
354-4-13NoNo0022375100.028,176,387*
343-6-12NoNo0011683100.018,915,042*
333-5-13NoNo0001189100.012,198,949*
323-4-14NoNo00793Yes7,566,331*
312-6-13NoNo00495Yes4,494,255*
302-5-14NoNo0397Yes2,541,046*
292-4-15NoNo0298Yes1,367,927*
281-6-14NoNo0199Yes699,346*
271-5-15NoNo00100Yes333,566*
261-4-16NoNo0100Yes148,846*
251-3-17NoNo0100Yes61,822*
240-5-16NoNo0100Yes23,035*
230-4-17NoNo0100Yes7,572*
20-22NoNo100Yes2,824*
190-0-21NoNo0100Yes534,014
Total:0.3%10.2%0112334556677788877527.1%4,293,900,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship