How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo 1 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.1
+0.3
Sport Recife 1 Corinthians 1 +0.1
+0.3
-0.1
Atletico-MG 1 Cruzeiro 0 -0.1
*-0.1
Parana 0 Gremio 0 +0.1
+0.2
-0.2
America-MG 1 Botafogo 0 *-0.1
+0.1
Fluminense 2 Atletico-PR 0 -0.2
*-0.0
Palmeiras 3 Bahia 0 *-0.1
*-0.1
Vitoria 2 Ceara 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Internacional vs Chapecoense-1.2-0.5+1.6
-5.6-2.0+6.8
+5.3+1.2-6.1
-1.0-0.3+1.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Chapecoense-1.3-0.5+1.6
-5.7-1.9+6.9
+5.2+1.3-6.0
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Chapecoense vs Ceara+1.5-0.5-1.2
+6.7-2.0-5.5
-6.2+1.2+5.4
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Sport Recife vs Atletico-MG+0.1+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Flamengo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Flamengo vs Bahia-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Palmeiras vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Internacional vs Corinthians+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Parana-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.3
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Corinthians vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Ceara vs Gremio+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Gremio vs Fluminense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
America-MG vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Santos*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2-0.0
Botafogo vs Vitoria-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Santos vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Internacional-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
Parana vs Atletico-PR+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-105YesYes100No37,016*
8525-4-499.9%Yes1000No885*
8424-6-399.9Yes1000No1,604*
8324-5-499.9Yes1000No2,905*
8224-4-599.9Yes1000No5,031*
8123-6-499.8Yes1000No8,753*
8023-5-599.7Yes1000No14,651*
7923-4-699.6Yes1000No23,248*
7822-6-599.3Yes991No37,606*
7722-5-698.9Yes9910No58,944*
7621-7-598.2Yes9820No90,859*
7521-6-697.3Yes9730No138,122*
7421-5-795.8Yes9640No205,094*
7320-7-693.8Yes94600No299,297*
7220-6-790.9Yes91900No427,699*
7120-5-886.9Yes8713100No599,644*
7019-7-781.7Yes8217100No830,011*
6919-6-875.0Yes75232000No1,125,489*
6818-8-766.6Yes67294000No1,498,756*
6718-7-856.9Yes57357100No1,965,960*
6618-6-946.0100.0%4640122000No2,527,661*
6517-8-834.8100.03543194000No3,200,463*
6417-7-924.1100.024422671000No3,983,403*
6317-6-1015.0100.0153632133000No4,876,352*
6216-8-98.199.9828352171000No5,870,430*
6116-7-103.799.441832281341000No6,949,127*
6016-6-111.397.819253222920000No8,092,240*
5915-8-100.492.80415282917610000No9,270,797*
5815-7-110.181.50171929261441000No10,440,582*
5714-9-100.061.600292129231131000No11,571,951*
5614-8-110.036.80003112329221030000No12,604,649*
5514-7-12No15.80013122428209200000No13,514,625*
5413-9-11No4.4000141224282082000000.0%14,253,214*
5313-8-12No0.8000014132428208200000.014,776,189*
5213-7-13No0.100014132428208200000.015,068,916*
5112-9-12No0.000001413252819820000.015,122,388*
5012-8-13No0.0000014132528197200000.214,901,998*
4912-7-14No0.000001514262818710001.514,448,106*
4811-9-13NoNo000151627281761006.613,767,464*
4711-8-14NoNo0000161829271441018.712,901,410*
4611-7-15NoNo000028213025112037.911,876,607*
4510-9-14NoNo00003122631216159.310,742,707*
4410-8-15NoNo0001517313014277.39,543,327*
4310-7-16NoNo00029243524689.18,320,382*
429-9-15NoNo000141634331295.57,131,431*
419-8-16NoNo0001929402098.45,998,724*
409-7-17NoNo0000521433199.54,953,316*
398-9-16NoNo000214424299.94,006,216*
388-8-17NoNo00193753100.03,180,916*
378-7-18NoNo0053164100.02,478,458*
367-9-17NoNo0032573100.01,885,718*
357-8-18NoNo0011980100.01,409,185*
347-7-19NoNo011386Yes1,031,082*
336-9-18NoNo00990Yes735,872*
326-8-19NoNo00793Yes514,518*
316-7-20NoNo0496Yes351,616*
305-9-19NoNo0397Yes234,385*
295-8-20NoNo0298Yes152,425*
285-7-21NoNo0199Yes96,687*
274-9-20NoNo199Yes59,827*
264-8-21NoNo0100Yes35,781*
254-7-22NoNo0100Yes20,536*
243-9-21NoNo0100Yes11,728*
233-8-22NoNo0100Yes6,414*
223-7-23NoNo0100Yes3,450*
6-21NoNo100Yes39,393*
Total:3.5%25.6%4444555555555566665521.7%290,334,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship