How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 -2.1
-7.0
+2.9
-0.9
Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1 -1.7
-6.9
+3.6
-1.0
Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 -0.4
-0.1
-0.2
Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0 +0.3
+0.2
Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 +0.2
+0.3
Gremio 2 Coritiba 0 -0.2
*-0.1
Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.1
-0.3
-0.1
Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 *+0.1
*+0.1
+0.1
Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2 +0.4
-0.1
Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.3
*-0.1
Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2 +0.2
Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 -0.2
Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0 *-0.1
Botafogo 3 Vasco da Gama 1 *-0.1
Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG+1.4-0.5-1.1
+7.8-2.2-6.4
-5.0+0.9+4.4
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Gremio vs Corinthians-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Botafogo vs Avai-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.2+0.3
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Flamengo+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Atletico-PR vs Vitoria-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
85-100YesYes100No26,382*
8422-2-599.8%Yes1000No807*
8322-3-499.6Yes1000No1,568*
8222-4-399.2Yes991No2,914*
8121-3-599.2Yes991No5,051*
8021-4-499.0Yes991No9,216*
7921-5-398.6Yes991No15,392*
7820-4-597.7Yes9820No25,906*
7720-5-496.5Yes9730No41,601*
7619-4-695.2Yes9550No67,160*
7519-5-593.0Yes93700No104,742*
7419-6-490.2Yes901000No159,523*
7318-5-686.5Yes861300No238,132*
7218-6-581.9Yes8217100No348,913*
7118-7-476.0Yes7622200No497,851*
7017-6-669.0Yes6928300No698,812*
6917-7-560.8Yes6134500No961,189*
6816-6-751.5Yes51399100No1,295,580*
6716-7-641.7Yes424314200No1,711,085*
6616-8-531.7100.0%3245204000No2,214,738*
6515-7-722.3100.02243277100No2,816,856*
6415-8-614.3100.0143833122000No3,510,104*
6315-9-58.299.9830362051000No4,287,267*
6214-8-74.099.84203527112000No5,149,656*
6114-9-61.699.021229321861000No6,058,019*
6014-10-50.596.5162032271230000No7,008,489*
5913-9-70.190.10211253121820000No7,949,556*
5813-10-60.076.801415282917610000No8,845,711*
5712-9-80.055.9001719292613410000No9,664,142*
5612-10-70.032.1000292129241131000No10,361,620*
5512-11-6No13.40003102329221030000No10,905,125*
5411-10-8No3.70000312242921920000No11,256,739*
5311-11-7No0.700014122428208200000.0%11,406,476*
5211-12-6No0.100014132528198200000.011,340,499*
5110-11-8No0.000014132528197200000.011,056,368*
5010-12-7No0.00001514262818710000.210,578,810*
4910-13-6NoNo0001515262817610001.39,915,355*
489-12-8NoNo000161728271551005.89,118,830*
479-13-7NoNo0000271929261330016.98,221,135*
469-14-6NoNo0000029223023102035.27,256,003*
458-13-8NoNo000013132731196156.66,281,464*
448-14-7NoNo0001618312913275.35,320,100*
438-15-6NoNo0000210253523588.04,415,364*
427-14-8NoNo00141734321195.03,584,520*
417-15-7NoNo000021029401998.22,846,929*
407-16-6NoNo001522433099.42,206,674*
396-15-8NoNo00215424199.81,675,897*
386-16-7NoNo00193753100.01,240,419*
376-17-6NoNo00053163100.0895,489*
365-16-8NoNo0032473100.0630,359*
355-17-7NoNo0011880100.0432,162*
345-18-6NoNo0011386100.0289,219*
334-17-8NoNo00991Yes188,037*
324-18-7NoNo0694Yes118,512*
314-19-6NoNo0496Yes72,671*
303-18-8NoNo0397Yes43,234*
293-19-7NoNo0298Yes24,510*
283-20-6NoNo199Yes13,536*
273-21-5NoNo199Yes7,168*
262-20-7NoNo0100Yes3,631*
252-21-6NoNo0100Yes1,793*
242-22-5NoNo100Yes811*
231-21-7NoNo199Yes377*
13-22NoNo100Yes25,802*
Total:3.1%30.0%3456666666665555444314.7%205,452,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship