Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol Title Chances 2022 50/50Tied Guarani 0-0, title odds down 0.05 to 0.1% 22 points 5-7-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 7/15 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Serie A | 100.0* | Serie C | 100.0* | Average seed | Nautico 1 Chapecoense 2 | +0.1 | | +1.9 | | -9.2 | | +1.2 | | Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 | -0.1 | | -1.1 | | +1.4 | | -0.3 | | Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 | +0.0 | | | | *-0.1 | | +0.0 | | Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 | | | *+0.1 | | *-0.2 | | +0.0 | | Guarani 0 Bahia 2 | | | -0.2 | | -0.7 | | +0.0 | | Brusque 1 Gremio 1 | | | +0.2 | | *-0.1 | | | | Bahia 1 CRB 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | +0.0 | | Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 | | | *+0.1 | | -0.4 | | | | Tombense 1 Criciuma 0 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | Gremio 3 Tombense 0 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Ituano 0 Londrina 0 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | *-0.0 | | Vila Nova 1 CSA 2 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 7/22 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Serie A | 100.0* | Serie C | 100.0* | Average seed | Chapecoense vs Gremio | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | +2.8-0.9-2.2 | | -7.7+1.7+6.6 | | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | | Ituano vs Chapecoense | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | -1.9-0.9+2.5 | | +7.3+1.4-8.3 | | -1.0-0.3+1.2 | | Cruzeiro vs Bahia | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.6-0.2-0.5 | | | | Vasco da Gama vs CRB | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Gremio vs Ponte Preta | | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | | | | Sport Recife vs Guarani | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.5-0.2+0.6 | | | | Operario-PR vs Tombense | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.6-0.2-0.5 | | | | Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | CRB vs Novorizontino | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Criciuma vs CSA | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | | | | Guarani vs Brusque | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.4-0.3-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chapecoense finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Serie A | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie C | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 79 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.5 | % | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,064 | | 77 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 90.0 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10 | | 76 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 94.7 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19 | | 75 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 93.6 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 78 | | 74 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 86.3 | | Yes | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 262 | | 73 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 82.6 | | Yes | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 453 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 78.7 | | Yes | 79 | 21 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,335 | | 71 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 71.4 | | Yes | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,903 | * | 70 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 61.8 | | Yes | 62 | 36 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,766 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 53.1 | | Yes | 53 | 42 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,337 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 43.7 | | Yes | 44 | 48 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,333 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 33.3 | | 100.0 | % | 33 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,646 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 24.8 | | 99.9 | | 25 | 53 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73,612 | * | 65 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 16.9 | | 99.7 | | 17 | 50 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,424 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 10.3 | | 99.0 | | 10 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,242 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 5.8 | | 97.4 | | 6 | 35 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 316,813 | * | 62 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 2.7 | | 93.5 | | 3 | 25 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 478,820 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 1.1 | | 86.1 | | 1 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 713,555 | * | 60 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.4 | | 74.0 | | 0 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,019,597 | * | 59 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 56.8 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,406,980 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 37.5 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,905,365 | * | 57 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 20.0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,485,094 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 8.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,151,242 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 2.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,903,994 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 4,675,507 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,448,109 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 6,195,272 | * | 51 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 6,816,714 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 7,313,141 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 7,627,457 | * | 48 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.3 | | 7,723,202 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.9 | | 7,602,137 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | | 7,274,916 | * | 45 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21.9 | | 6,748,832 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 42.9 | | 6,085,059 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 65.2 | | 5,323,350 | * | 42 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 82.5 | | 4,506,888 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 7 | 92.7 | | 3,699,839 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 38 | 13 | 97.5 | | 2,938,332 | * | 39 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 44 | 23 | 99.3 | | 2,253,228 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 35 | 99.8 | | 1,670,662 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 47 | 100.0 | | 1,192,317 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 59 | 100.0 | | 817,004 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 100.0 | | 537,882 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 100.0 | | 339,399 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | Yes | 204,345 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 90 | Yes | 116,547 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 63,076 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 31,982 | * | 29 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 15,369 | * | 28 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 6,734 | * | 27 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,830 | * | 26 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,005 | * | 23 | -25 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 417 | * | 22 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 14,064 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 4.4 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22.6 | % | 113,122,560 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |