How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB 1 Brusque 1 -0.3
-1.8
+0.8
-0.3
Bahia 1 CRB 1 -0.2
-1.7
+0.7
-0.3
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -0.2
*-0.2
+0.0
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.1
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -0.1
-0.7
-0.3
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 +0.1
+0.3
*-0.2
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 +0.3
*-0.1
+0.0
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 *+0.2
*-0.1
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 +0.3
-0.2
+0.1
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 +0.3
-0.2
*+0.1
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 -0.2
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.2
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 *+0.1
*-0.1
Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 -0.3
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 +0.2
Vila Nova 1 CSA 2 +0.2
Ponte Preta 1 Nautico 0 *+0.1
*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.3-0.2+0.4
-4.3-1.7+5.4
+4.1+0.9-4.6
-1.0-0.3+1.2
CRB vs Novorizontino+0.4-0.1-0.3
+5.2-1.6-4.1
-4.7+0.8+4.2
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Cruzeiro vs Bahia-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Gremio vs Ponte Preta-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Operario-PR vs Tombense+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.3+0.1+0.3
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Criciuma vs CSA-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Guarani vs Brusque+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8219-0-099.7%Yes1000No14,064
8018-1-0YesYes100No9
7918-0-196.2Yes964No26
7817-2-094.8Yes955No77
7717-1-195.6Yes964No225
7616-3-092.4Yes928No461*
7516-2-189.5Yes90100No1,422
7416-1-286.4Yes86130No2,859*
7315-3-181.8Yes82180No5,792*
7215-2-275.1Yes75241No12,250*
7115-1-368.5Yes693010No22,426*
7014-3-259.6Yes603730No41,103*
6914-2-350.8100.0%5144500No73,451*
6813-4-241.2100.04149900No120,740*
6713-3-331.6100.032521510No200,221*
6613-2-422.999.9235322300No317,945*
6512-4-315.299.6154929600No478,771*
6412-3-49.298.89423711100No712,507*
6311-5-35.096.85334118300No1,019,661*
6211-4-42.392.5223412671000No1,406,577*
6111-3-50.984.31143634132000No1,905,698*
6010-5-40.371.4072737226100No2,487,221*
5910-4-50.153.803163431132000No3,152,343*
5810-3-60.034.701826352271000No3,902,433*
579-5-50.018.0003153131154100No4,675,927*
569-4-60.07.20016213326112000No5,446,874*
559-3-7No2.00021025322182000No6,198,192*
548-5-6No0.400031428301861000No6,815,483*
538-4-7No0.000151629281551000No7,312,508*
528-3-8No0.000161829271441000No7,628,980*
517-5-7No0.000017202925134100000.0%7,720,731*
507-4-8NoNo0002820292512300000.07,602,795*
496-6-7NoNo0002921292411300000.07,274,248*
486-5-8NoNo00002102230231020000.36,747,047*
476-4-9NoNo0000311233022920002.26,081,230*
465-6-8NoNo000031225302071008.75,322,689*
455-5-9NoNo000141428301751023.34,506,946*
445-4-10NoNo00016183128133044.93,699,568*
434-6-9NoNo000282333258167.12,939,998*
424-5-10NoNo000313303417383.92,255,507*
414-4-11NoNo0016213729793.51,669,888*
403-6-10NoNo0021233391597.81,192,856*
393-5-11NoNo001625442599.4818,550*
383-4-12NoNo00216453799.9537,364*
373-3-13NoNo000194050100.0340,315*
362-5-12NoNo0053461100.0203,796*
352-4-13NoNo022672Yes116,928*
342-3-14NoNo011980Yes63,312*
331-5-13NoNo01387Yes32,155*
321-4-14NoNo0892Yes15,327*
311-3-15NoNo0595Yes6,852*
300-5-14NoNo0397Yes2,833*
290-4-15NoNo199Yes949*
280-3-16NoNo199Yes277*
26-27NoNo100Yes89*
250-0-19NoNo0100Yes14,064
Total:0.5%10.7%0235677777776655432110.7%113,122,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship