How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Atlético-GO 1 CRB 0 -0.5
-3.1
+5.4
-0.9
CRB 3 Paysandu 0 +0.5
+3.1
-7.2
+1.1
Paraná 2 Náutico 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.4
América-MG 2 Boa Esporte 0 -0.2
-0.5
Vitória 0 Macaé 0 +0.2
Botafogo 0 Criciúma 0 +0.2
-0.1
Bahia 1 Botafogo 1 +0.1
Oeste 1 Sampaio Corrêa 0 +0.2
+0.4
Santa Cruz 3 Bahia 1 +0.1
+0.2
Paysandu 2 América-MG 0 +0.1
Sampaio Corrêa 3 ABC 2 -0.2
-0.3
Mogi Mirim 2 Bragantino 3 -0.2
-0.2
Criciúma 0 Santa Cruz 0 +0.1
-0.1
Luverdense 1 Oeste 1 +0.1
-0.2
ABC 0 Ceará 1 +0.1
+0.1
Boa Esporte 2 Luverdense 1 +0.2
Bragantino 2 Atlético-GO 1 -0.1
-0.1
Ceará 2 Mogi Mirim 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Náutico+0.6-0.2-0.5
+3.6-1.1-2.7
-7.3+1.6+6.1
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Paraná vs CRB-0.4-0.2+0.6
-2.6-1.1+3.4
+6.6+1.5-7.7
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Botafogo vs Luverdense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.7
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Ceará vs Vitória+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.7-0.2-0.5
América-MG vs Paraná-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Paysandu vs Mogi Mirim-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.7
Luverdense vs Paysandu+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Bahia vs Boa Esporte-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.7
Náutico vs Macaé-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.2-0.0+0.2
ABC vs Bahia+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Atlético-GO vs Sampaio Corrêa+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Vitória vs América-MG-0.1+0.2-0.1
Macaé vs Atlético-GO-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.2+0.6
Sampaio Corrêa vs Bragantino-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Bragantino vs Ceará-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.3+0.5
Oeste vs Santa Cruz*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Criciúma+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.3-0.2
Criciúma vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
Mogi Mirim vs ABC+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
76-87YesYes100No8,402*
7518-2-398.9%Yes991No805*
7418-3-297.6Yes9820No1,508*
7317-2-497.0Yes973No2,917*
7217-3-394.4Yes9460No5,615*
7116-2-591.5Yes9280No9,868*
7016-3-487.0Yes87121No17,509*
6916-4-380.8Yes811810No29,525*
6815-3-573.2100.0%7324300No48,036*
6715-4-464.0100.06431500No76,384*
6614-3-652.299.952389100No118,969*
6514-4-540.399.8404215300No178,635*
6414-5-428.399.32843236100No260,540*
6313-4-617.997.7183930112000No372,711*
6213-5-59.693.8103035195100No518,253*
6113-6-44.485.44203427123000No704,152*
6012-5-61.670.721127322071000No930,465*
5912-6-50.450.4041629281551000No1,200,348*
5811-5-70.129.1017203025123100No1,510,804*
5711-6-60.012.5002102330221020000No1,852,510*
5611-7-50.03.700031225292082000No2,217,323*
5510-6-7No0.700141326291972000No2,593,978*
5410-7-6No0.1000151527281761000No2,958,483*
5310-8-5No0.0000151627281761000No3,296,829*
529-7-7No0.00001516282716510000.0%3,579,103*
519-8-6NoNo000161729271541000.03,797,384*
509-9-5NoNo000171929261341000.03,928,019*
498-8-7NoNo0002820302512300000.43,964,004*
488-9-6NoNo000292330231020002.33,907,242*
478-10-5NoNo00031225312071008.63,748,096*
467-9-7NoNo00141529301651021.83,507,573*
457-10-6NoNo00017203127122040.83,198,534*
446-9-8NoNo0002112633216161.42,836,833*
436-10-7NoNo001417323114278.32,454,660*
426-11-6NoNo00029253623589.52,064,839*
415-10-8NoNo00041735331195.61,686,648*
405-11-7NoNo0011030401998.41,338,378*
395-12-6NoNo000522432999.51,033,094*
384-11-8NoNo00215434099.9769,633*
374-12-7NoNo00193852100.0556,520*
364-13-6NoNo0053263100.0390,206*
354-14-5NoNo0032572100.0263,764*
343-13-7NoNo011980Yes172,091*
333-14-6NoNo011386Yes108,019*
323-15-5NoNo0991Yes64,986*
312-14-7NoNo00694Yes37,514*
302-15-6NoNo0496Yes20,546*
292-16-5NoNo298Yes10,698*
281-15-7NoNo199Yes5,280*
271-16-6NoNo199Yes2,554*
261-17-5NoNo0100Yes1,028*
251-18-4NoNo0100Yes434*
18-24NoNo100Yes7,991*
Total:0.8%6.8%1123344556677888775423.1%62,370,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship