How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Bragantino+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Avaí vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Goiás-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tupi vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paraná vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Joinville-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs CRB-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Goiás vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceará vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciúma vs Tupi-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
87-114YesYes100No101,767*
8626-4-8100.0%Yes1000No4,446*
8526-5-7100.0Yes1000No7,418*
8426-6-6100.0Yes1000No12,639*
8325-5-899.9Yes1000No20,646*
8225-6-799.9Yes1000No33,427*
8125-7-699.8Yes1000No53,594*
8024-6-899.7Yes1000No83,791*
7924-7-799.6Yes1000No128,501*
7823-6-999.3Yes991No194,711*
7723-7-899.0Yes9910No288,171*
7623-8-798.4Yes9820No423,039*
7522-7-997.5Yes9820No609,634*
7422-8-896.3Yes96400No860,464*
7322-9-794.5Yes95500No1,203,866*
7221-8-992.0Yes92800No1,652,206*
7121-9-888.6Yes891100No2,227,449*
7020-8-1083.9100.0%8415100No2,966,513*
6920-9-977.9100.078202000No3,890,988*
6820-10-870.4100.070263000No5,015,977*
6719-9-1061.5100.062326000No6,377,597*
6619-10-951.399.95138101000No7,981,169*
6519-11-840.499.840421530000No9,841,804*
6418-10-1029.599.330422251000No11,955,880*
6318-11-919.698.02039291020000No14,305,251*
6217-10-1111.694.812333417510000No16,866,046*
6117-11-105.988.162334251020000No19,577,761*
6017-12-92.576.3214293017510000No22,405,566*
5916-11-110.858.817203125123100000No25,257,504*
5816-12-100.238.102112430219200000No28,056,557*
5716-13-90.019.5014142728187200000No30,695,813*
5615-12-110.07.30016172726155100000No33,063,365*
5515-13-100.01.80002718282514510000No35,112,614*
5415-14-90.00.30000281928241341000000.0%36,716,668*
5314-13-11No0.0000028202824134100000.037,826,392*
5214-14-10No0.0000029202824124100000.038,376,710*
5114-15-9No0.00000029202824124100000.038,353,431*
5013-14-11No0.0000002920282412410000.137,735,373*
4913-15-10NoNo000002921282312310000.636,556,810*
4812-14-12NoNo0000003102229231130003.234,870,736*
4712-15-11NoNo00001311232921920011.232,745,716*
4612-16-10NoNo0000141326291971026.830,257,772*
4511-15-12NoNo000016172928154047.727,531,575*
4411-16-11NoNo00002821322510168.224,632,257*
4311-17-10NoNo0000313283319483.521,680,132*
4210-16-12NoNo000016203529992.718,778,218*
4110-17-11NoNo000031231371697.215,976,586*
4010-18-10NoNo0001724422699.013,381,873*
399-17-12NoNo0000317423799.710,996,709*
389-18-11NoNo00111394999.98,893,498*
379-19-10NoNo00063360100.07,055,738*
368-18-12NoNo00032770100.05,505,833*
358-19-11NoNo0022078100.04,208,102*
348-20-10NoNo0011585100.03,162,602*
337-19-12NoNo0001089100.02,330,103*
327-20-11NoNo00793Yes1,681,585*
317-21-10NoNo00595Yes1,186,490*
306-20-12NoNo00397Yes822,081*
296-21-11NoNo00298Yes558,336*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes370,022*
275-21-12NoNo0199Yes239,834*
265-22-11NoNo00100Yes152,167*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes94,043*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes56,519*
234-23-11NoNo0100Yes33,447*
224-24-10NoNo0100Yes18,995*
214-25-9NoNo0100Yes10,663*
0-20NoNo100Yes107,770*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%774,180,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship