How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Coritiba+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
CRB vs Sao Bento+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
95-114YesYes100No135,112*
9430-4-499.1%Yes991No111*
90-93YesYes100No2,592*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No2,345*
8828-4-6100.0Yes1000No4,001*
8727-6-599.9Yes1000No6,991*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No11,608*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No19,745*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No32,086*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No51,674*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No81,353*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No126,298*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No193,054*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No289,635*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No426,849*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No619,097*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No883,538*
7523-6-996.1Yes96400No1,242,300*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No1,720,242*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No2,343,252*
7222-6-1088.3Yes881100No3,149,023*
7121-8-983.7100.0%8415100No4,164,552*
7021-7-1077.7100.07820200No5,424,522*
6920-9-970.3100.070263000No6,963,258*
6820-8-1061.5100.062326000No8,808,295*
6720-7-1151.499.95138101000No10,975,957*
6619-9-1040.799.84142152000No13,482,811*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No16,321,614*
6419-7-1220.298.12040281020000No19,467,653*
6318-9-1112.195.212333416410000No22,905,634*
6218-8-126.389.16243524920000No26,545,175*
6118-7-132.778.1315303016510000No30,330,613*
6017-9-120.961.61722312411300000No34,160,708*
5917-8-130.241.403122630197200000No37,924,658*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716510000No41,511,688*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No44,781,426*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No47,624,192*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No49,912,792*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%51,576,495*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.052,506,074*
5214-10-14No0.0000014122328219200000.052,679,606*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.052,095,296*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.350,743,622*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.748,722,389*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.046,080,594*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.242,932,607*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213025112038.039,383,519*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.035,598,731*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.831,656,619*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.727,733,653*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141734331295.223,904,685*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.220,288,568*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.416,938,468*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.813,904,227*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.011,232,170*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.08,911,499*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.06,953,806*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.05,330,157*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.04,015,011*
338-9-21NoNo001090Yes2,964,601*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes2,152,274*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes1,533,221*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes1,068,717*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes731,382*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes488,555*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes320,650*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes206,086*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes129,166*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes78,925*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes46,790*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes27,489*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes15,782*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes8,666*
0-19NoNo100Yes144,326*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%1,085,750,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship