How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Guarani+1.2-0.4-1.0
+4.9-1.6-3.9
-6.1+1.1+5.4
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Parana vs Bragantino+0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.2*+0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.2*+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Criciuma vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2*-0.1
Vitoria vs Cuiaba*+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
79-100YesYes100No1,045*
7821-5-498.4%Yes982No322*
7721-4-598.7Yes991No542*
7620-6-496.7Yes973No929*
7520-5-596.1Yes9640No1,471*
7420-4-695.1Yes9550No2,080*
7319-6-592.2Yes9280No3,319*
7219-5-689.2Yes89101No4,897*
7119-4-783.9Yes841510No7,387*
7018-6-678.0Yes782020No10,341*
6918-5-770.4100.0%7026300No14,644*
6817-7-662.4100.06232600No19,986*
6717-6-752.499.95238910No27,265*
6617-5-841.299.8414215200No36,073*
6516-7-730.399.43043215100No46,443*
6416-6-820.498.32040289200No59,232*
6316-5-912.295.6123434164000No74,556*
6215-7-86.390.162535248200No91,764*
6115-6-92.879.53153130154100No110,150*
6014-8-80.964.018233224102000No130,726*
5914-7-90.343.703132730197100No151,996*
5814-6-100.024.2016182927145100No172,475*
5713-8-90.010.20028212924123100No193,483*
5613-7-100.02.9000310232922103000No213,339*
5513-6-11No0.50013122429208200No230,690*
5412-8-10No0.100141325281982000No243,872*
5312-7-11No0.000141426281871000No254,472*
5212-6-12NoNo001515262817610000.0%261,467*
5111-8-11NoNo00151627271761000.0262,769*
5011-7-12NoNo00161627271651000.1259,500*
4911-6-13NoNo000171828261441000.8251,554*
4810-8-12NoNo000281929251240004.1237,463*
4710-7-13NoNo000292230231020012.7222,068*
4610-6-14NoNo00131225302071028.8202,963*
459-8-13NoNo0015162929164049.3182,466*
449-7-14NoNo002822322610169.0160,591*
439-6-15NoNo00313283318483.7139,122*
428-8-14NoNo0016213628892.5117,419*
418-7-15NoNo00031332371597.096,956*
408-6-16NoNo01726422498.978,610*
397-8-15NoNo00318433599.762,513*
387-7-16NoNo0212404799.948,494*
377-6-17NoNo00173558100.037,011*
366-8-16NoNo042868Yes27,631*
356-7-17NoNo022276Yes19,854*
346-6-18NoNo011683Yes14,091*
335-8-17NoNo01288Yes9,753*
325-7-18NoNo0892Yes6,520*
315-6-19NoNo0595Yes4,385*
304-8-18NoNo496Yes2,700*
294-7-19NoNo397Yes1,676*
284-6-20NoNo199Yes978*
273-8-19NoNo199Yes621*
263-7-20NoNo0100Yes296*
253-6-21NoNo199Yes166*
10-24NoNo100Yes784*
Total:2.6%14.4%3344555566666666655419.4%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship