How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bahia 3 CRB 2 -0.5
-3.6
+4.2
-1.0
CRB 2 Botafogo 1 +0.4
+3.1
-6.6
+1.2
Botafogo 4 Atlético-GO 0 -0.1
-0.4
-0.4
Sampaio Corrêa 3 Mogi Mirim 1 -0.1
-0.4
-0.4
Bragantino 2 Vitória 1 +0.1
+0.1
Náutico 1 Boa Esporte 0 -0.1
-0.3
-0.4
Criciúma 1 Náutico 0 +0.2
+0.3
Ceará 0 Paysandu 0 +0.1
-0.2
Macaé 1 Sampaio Corrêa 1 +0.2
-0.1
Paraná 3 Santa Cruz 2 +0.2
+0.4
América-MG 1 Luverdense 2 +0.2
+0.6
-0.1
Paysandu 2 Bragantino 0 -0.1
-0.1
Mogi Mirim 1 Bahia 1 +0.1
-0.1
Santa Cruz 2 América-MG 1 *+0.1
Luverdense 1 ABC 1 *+0.1
-0.3
Oeste 1 Macaé 2 +0.2
Atlético-GO 3 Ceará 2 +0.1
Boa Esporte 1 Paraná 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 9/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs CRB-0.2-0.1+0.3
-2.0-1.0+2.7
+5.8+0.8-6.4
-1.0-0.3+1.2
CRB vs Ceará+0.3-0.1-0.2
+2.7-1.0-2.0
-6.3+0.7+5.8
+1.2-0.3-0.9
Botafogo vs Paraná-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Bahia vs Macaé-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4-0.1+0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Paraná vs Bahia+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Paysandu vs Boa Esporte-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.7-0.2+0.9
Vitória vs Botafogo-0.1+0.1-0.0
Criciúma vs Vitória+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Náutico vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Paysandu*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Bragantino vs ABC-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.6-0.2+0.8
Ceará vs Náutico+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6-0.2-0.5
ABC vs Santa Cruz+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.8-0.3-0.6
América-MG vs Bragantino-0.1+0.1-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Criciúma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Luverdense vs Atlético-GO-0.2-0.3+0.5
Macaé vs Luverdense+0.1-0.1+0.1
Mogi Mirim vs Oeste+0.1-0.3+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Mogi Mirim+0.4-0.4-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
7616-0-099.7%Yes1000No7,717
7415-0-1YesYes100No65
7315-1-097.0Yes973No99
7214-0-297.7Yes982No354
7114-1-195.1Yes955No1,007
7013-0-390.4Yes9090No1,963*
6913-1-286.1Yes86131No5,184
6813-2-178.4Yes782020No10,238*
6712-1-368.8100.0%6928300No20,439*
6612-2-256.4100.056358100No39,919*
6511-1-443.099.9434114200No69,164*
6411-2-329.299.42943225100No122,613*
6311-3-217.597.8173931112000No203,641*
6210-2-48.793.392935206100No317,562*
6110-3-33.582.93183329133000No489,354*
6010-4-21.065.01823322392000No717,394*
599-3-40.242.203122731197100No1,010,300*
589-4-30.020.60141628291651000No1,387,595*
578-3-50.07.10016182927144100No1,818,128*
568-4-40.01.600017203026123000No2,308,528*
558-5-3No0.200028223124102000No2,839,586*
547-4-5No0.000021023312392000No3,353,483*
537-5-4No0.00003112532217100No3,842,492*
527-6-3NoNo0003132831185100No2,294,421
6-4-6NoNo0003122732196100No1,967,725*
516-5-5NoNo001415303015400000.0%4,548,022*
506-6-4NoNo00161932281230000.04,695,667*
496-7-3NoNo001823332481000.12,544,535*
5-5-6NoNo00018223325920000.12,142,789
485-6-5NoNo00021127332061000.74,500,227*
475-7-4NoNo00041631301430003.44,182,569*
464-6-6NoNo00017223426910010.63,737,805*
454-7-5NoNo00021128341950024.33,216,160*
444-8-4NoNo0004183430122043.42,659,380*
433-7-6NoNo00192636225063.52,116,670*
423-8-5NoNo000316353212180.11,607,897*
413-9-4NoNo0018273822490.81,169,521*
402-8-6NoNo0003183832896.5814,154*
392-9-5NoNo0011032411698.9535,066*
382-10-4NoNo00424462699.7335,138*
372-11-3NoNo00215453899.9197,163*
361-10-5NoNo0193951100.0108,897*
351-11-4NoNo0043263100.056,105*
341-12-3NoNo022474Yes26,405*
330-11-5NoNo011683Yes11,506*
320-12-4NoNo01090Yes4,402*
310-13-3NoNo793Yes1,414*
300-14-2NoNo496Yes383
290-15-1NoNo199Yes70
280-16-0NoNo199Yes7,724
Total:0.3%4.1%011223456789101098642113.3%62,048,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship