How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Bragantino+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Paysandu vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
América-MG vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Criciúma vs ABC-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Vitória vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
ABC vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Macaé vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Mogi Mirim-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Paraná vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mogi Mirim vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Náutico vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs CRB-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Boa Esporte vs Náutico-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Ceará vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Macaé vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Macaé-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Vitória-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
82-114YesYes100No5,719*
8125-6-799.9%Yes1000No1,767*
8024-8-699.7Yes1000No2,711*
7924-7-799.6Yes1000No4,134*
7823-9-699.4Yes991No6,262*
7723-8-798.9Yes991No9,317*
7623-7-898.5Yes991No13,722*
7522-9-797.5Yes9720No19,638*
7422-8-896.6Yes9730No27,824*
7322-7-994.6Yes9550No38,998*
7221-9-892.4Yes9270No53,350*
7121-8-988.7Yes891100No72,051*
7020-10-883.9100.0%8415100No96,256*
6920-9-978.2100.07820200No125,490*
6820-8-1070.4100.07026300No162,374*
6719-10-961.6100.06232600No206,550*
6619-9-1051.499.9513810100No258,860*
6519-8-1140.499.84041153000No318,199*
6418-10-1029.599.32942225100No386,897*
6318-9-1119.698.0203929102000No462,796*
6217-11-1011.694.81233341741000No545,137*
6117-10-115.988.162334251020000No632,861*
6017-9-122.576.221429301751000No723,892*
5916-11-110.858.8172031251231000No817,765*
5816-10-120.238.10211243021920000No907,567*
5716-9-130.019.501415262818720000No994,664*
5615-11-120.07.3001617272615510000No1,070,892*
5515-10-130.01.8000271828251451000No1,138,055*
5415-9-14No0.3000281928241341000No1,188,282*
5314-11-13No0.0000282028241341000No1,224,391*
5214-10-14No0.000002920282412410000.0%1,243,613*
5114-9-15NoNo0002920282412410000.01,241,734*
5013-11-14NoNo00002920282412410000.11,224,966*
4913-10-15NoNo0000292128231231000.61,184,713*
4812-12-14NoNo00003102229231130003.21,129,167*
4712-11-15NoNo0001311232921920011.21,061,410*
4612-10-16NoNo00141326291971026.8979,549*
4511-12-15NoNo00016172928154047.7889,847*
4411-11-16NoNo0002822322510168.2797,405*
4311-10-17NoNo000313283319483.6702,438*
4210-12-16NoNo000016203529992.7607,272*
4110-11-17NoNo00031231371697.2517,061*
4010-10-18NoNo001724422699.1433,261*
399-12-17NoNo00317433799.7355,638*
389-11-18NoNo00111394999.9288,599*
379-10-19NoNo00063360100.0227,846*
368-12-18NoNo0032770100.0177,994*
358-11-19NoNo0022078100.0136,504*
348-10-20NoNo011485Yes102,179*
337-12-19NoNo001089Yes74,881*
327-11-20NoNo0793Yes54,255*
317-10-21NoNo0595Yes38,523*
306-12-20NoNo0397Yes26,580*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes17,771*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes11,884*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes7,858*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes5,006*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes3,001*
0-24NoNo100Yes7,264*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%25,064,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship