How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense 1 Sport Recife 2 -0.3
-1.1
-0.1
Londrina 2 Coritiba 1 +0.1
+0.6
+0.1
Parana 0 Cuiaba 0 +0.1
+0.5
Operario-PR 2 Ponte Preta 1 -0.1
-0.3
Vitoria 0 Guarani 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Coritiba vs CRB-1.9-0.8+2.5
-8.8-2.7+10.5
+1.4+0.1-1.5
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Bragantino vs Londrina-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.9+0.3-1.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs America-MG-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.8+0.4+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Guarani vs Parana+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.7+0.3-0.9
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs Botafogo-SP+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.4-0.8
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cuiaba vs Oeste-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.6+0.3+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Figueirense-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sao Bento vs Vitoria*+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs CRB-1.8-0.8+2.4
-7.8-2.8+9.6
+1.5*+0.0-1.5
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Figueirense vs Bragantino+0.7+0.2-0.8
+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Vitoria vs Atletico-GO+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.9+0.3-1.0
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Londrina vs Sport Recife+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.5+0.4-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cuiaba vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.5-0.4
Parana vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.5+0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Operario-PR*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.6-0.3
America-MG vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.3-0.1
Oeste vs Sao Bento-0.2*+0.1+0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
78-81YesYes100No998*
7714-2-098.6%Yes991No74
7614-1-199.1Yes991No229
7513-3-098.9Yes991No360*
7413-2-198.7Yes991No1,004
7313-1-296.7Yes973No1,989*
7212-3-194.9Yes955No3,470*
7112-2-292.1Yes9280No7,026*
7012-1-388.1Yes88120No11,786*
6911-3-282.3Yes821710No19,657*
6811-2-374.6Yes752320No32,398*
6710-4-265.2Yes653140No48,214*
6610-3-354.4100.0%5438700No72,609*
6510-2-442.5100.042441310No105,107*
649-4-330.499.8304620300No143,544*
639-3-419.899.22043297100No192,336*
629-2-511.297.411363614200No248,458*
618-4-45.392.752539246100No306,578*
608-3-52.082.72153432143000No371,661*
597-5-40.666.8172435248100No212,031
8-2-60.565.5172335248100No223,111*
587-4-50.144.502132932185100No485,682*
577-3-60.023.5005183228133000No533,550*
566-5-50.09.20018223224102000No295,170
7-2-70.08.70017223225102000No266,493*
556-4-6No2.30021025312282000No570,642*
546-3-7No0.30031226301971000No352,790
5-6-5No0.3003122630207200No212,917*
535-5-6No0.000141427301861000No294,262
6-2-8No0.00004132730186100No242,739*
525-4-7No0.000141428291761000No494,600*
515-3-8No0.00001415282917510000.0%440,937*
504-5-7NoNo001516282816510000.0376,796*
494-4-8NoNo00151629281551000.1311,598*
484-3-9NoNo00161729281441000.6246,932*
473-5-8NoNo0016193027133004.0189,739*
463-4-9NoNo00182131251130014.1136,820*
453-3-10NoNo002923322391033.496,111*
442-5-9NoNo0003122732195157.364,252*
432-4-10NoNo01517323014277.940,746*
422-3-11NoNo0018243625690.824,317*
411-5-10NoNo0031433361496.913,929*
401-4-11NoNo01625422699.27,415*
391-3-12NoNo0315443899.83,671*
381-2-13NoNo173756Yes1,621*
370-4-12NoNo042967Yes680*
360-3-13NoNo12079Yes235*
350-2-14NoNo1783Yes60
340-1-15NoNo793Yes15
330-0-16NoNo496Yes961
Total:4.1%28.1%478999987665432211002.3%7,708,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship