How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Bragantino+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.7-1.6-4.5
-5.5+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Paraná vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avaí vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Joinville-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Tupi vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Goiás-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs CRB-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.7
+4.7+1.1-5.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bahia vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceará vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciúma vs Tupi-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goiás vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Náutico vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
93-114YesYes100No31,217*
9229-4-596.7%Yes973No30*
86-91YesYes100No3,138*
8526-5-7100.0Yes1000No2,365*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No4,012*
8325-5-899.9Yes1000No6,729*
8225-6-799.9Yes1000No10,887*
8125-7-699.8Yes1000No17,221*
8024-6-899.8Yes1000No27,130*
7924-7-799.6Yes1000No41,149*
7823-6-999.4Yes9910No63,059*
7723-7-899.0Yes9910No93,470*
7623-8-798.4Yes9820No136,717*
7522-7-997.6Yes9820No197,085*
7422-8-896.3Yes9640No278,979*
7322-9-794.5Yes95500No389,231*
7221-8-992.0Yes92800No535,970*
7121-9-888.6Yes891100No722,787*
7020-8-1083.9Yes841510No960,437*
6920-9-977.9100.0%78202000No1,259,696*
6820-10-870.4100.070263000No1,624,338*
6719-9-1061.5100.061326000No2,066,061*
6619-10-951.399.9513810100No2,586,146*
6519-11-840.499.84042153000No3,189,613*
6418-10-1029.599.33042225100No3,871,692*
6318-11-919.698.0203929102000No4,636,388*
6217-10-1111.694.81233341741000No5,458,238*
6117-11-105.988.162334251020000No6,344,442*
6017-12-92.576.3214293017510000No7,253,041*
5916-11-110.858.81720312512310000No8,181,859*
5816-12-100.238.10211243021920000No9,084,599*
5716-13-90.019.501415262818720000No9,944,980*
5615-12-110.07.30016172726155100000No10,713,308*
5515-13-100.01.80002718282514510000No11,375,445*
5415-14-90.00.300002819282413410000No11,897,754*
5314-13-11No0.000028202824134100000.0%12,253,274*
5214-14-10No0.000002920282412410000.012,428,802*
5114-15-9No0.0000029202824124100000.012,423,620*
5013-14-11No0.0000002920282412410000.112,222,666*
4913-15-10NoNo00002921282312310000.611,846,430*
4812-14-12NoNo00003102229231130003.211,296,244*
4712-15-11NoNo0001311232921920011.210,608,305*
4612-16-10NoNo0000141326291971026.89,802,431*
4511-15-12NoNo00016172928154047.88,917,342*
4411-16-11NoNo00002821322510168.27,977,845*
4311-17-10NoNo0000313283319483.57,023,893*
4210-16-12NoNo00016203529992.76,081,879*
4110-17-11NoNo00031231371697.25,178,510*
4010-18-10NoNo0001724422699.14,331,279*
399-17-12NoNo000317423799.73,561,044*
389-18-11NoNo00111394999.92,878,076*
379-19-10NoNo00063360100.02,287,836*
368-18-12NoNo0032770100.01,782,218*
358-19-11NoNo0022078100.01,363,189*
348-20-10NoNo011584Yes1,023,384*
337-19-12NoNo001089Yes752,673*
327-20-11NoNo00793Yes544,818*
317-21-10NoNo00595Yes384,814*
306-20-12NoNo0397Yes265,692*
296-21-11NoNo0298Yes181,208*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes119,810*
275-21-12NoNo199Yes77,649*
265-22-11NoNo0100Yes49,439*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes30,362*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes18,471*
234-23-11NoNo0100Yes10,789*
224-24-10NoNo0100Yes6,036*
0-21NoNo100Yes38,199*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%250,777,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship