How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB 0 Londrina 1 -3.8
-9.5
+0.3
-0.8
Paysandu 2 Ceará 0 +0.6
+0.5
Vasco da Gama 1 Sampaio Corrêa 1 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Atlético-GO 1 Oeste 1 +0.2
+0.6
Paraná 0 Brasil de Pelotas 2 -0.2
-0.7
Avaí 0 Bahia 3 -0.1
-0.4
Náutico 0 Criciúma 1 +0.1
*+0.1
Bragantino 2 Vila Nova 2 +0.2
Joinville 1 Luverdense 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Ceará vs CRB-3.7-1.3+4.6
-9.9-2.7+12.0
+0.5+0.0-0.6
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Tupi vs Vasco da Gama+1.2+0.4-1.6
+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.3-0.2
-0.2+0.6-0.3
Londrina vs Goiás-0.2+0.1+0.2
-1.0+0.4+0.7
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Criciúma vs Joinville-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.8+0.3+0.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Bahia vs Paraná-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.4+0.4+0.1
Vila Nova vs Náutico+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.5-0.4
Oeste vs Paysandu+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.4-0.4
Luverdense vs Bragantino-0.3+0.1+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Avaí+0.1+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Oeste+4.1-1.3-3.1
+11.2-2.8-9.1
-0.6*-0.0+0.6
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Vasco da Gama vs Vila Nova-1.5+0.4+1.2
-0.3+0.3+0.1
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.9+0.4-1.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Ceará-0.0+0.4-0.3
-0.3+0.6-0.2
Náutico vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.6-0.5
Goiás vs Criciúma+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.4-0.7
Joinville vs Bahia+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Paysandu vs Tupi-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.7+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Paraná vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Avaí vs Luverdense+0.0+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
81-87YesYes100No18,182*
8015-1-299.8%Yes1000No2,186
7915-2-199.7Yes1000No4,396*
7814-1-399.6Yes1000No9,603*
7714-2-299.3Yes991No19,794*
7613-1-498.8Yes991No36,446*
7513-2-398.1Yes9820No68,614*
7413-3-296.8Yes9730No120,033*
7312-2-495.1Yes9550No200,993*
7212-3-392.5Yes93700No334,619*
7111-2-588.9Yes891100No522,441*
7011-3-483.8Yes841600No789,957*
6911-4-377.4100.0%7721100No1,164,649*
6810-3-569.4100.06928200No1,648,855*
6710-4-459.7100.06036500No2,264,561*
6610-5-349.0100.049428100No3,020,372*
659-4-537.699.9384714200No3,878,277*
649-5-426.599.72747224000No4,852,424*
639-6-316.999.01744308100No5,875,432*
628-5-59.397.093637153000No6,893,642*
618-6-44.492.0425392471000No7,848,396*
607-5-61.781.82143432153000No8,669,801*
597-6-50.565.006233524920000No9,277,861*
587-7-40.143.7021329321851000No9,635,657*
576-6-60.022.9015183128144100No5,205,630
7-8-30.023.3015183128134100No4,489,390*
566-7-50.08.900182131251130000No9,442,594*
556-8-40.02.300021024312292000No8,921,064*
545-7-6No0.400031225302082000No8,141,634*
535-8-5No0.000031326291972000No7,191,519*
525-9-4No0.0000141326291971000No6,137,472*
514-8-6No0.00001414262918710000.0%5,055,691*
504-9-5NoNo0001414272918610000.04,011,788*
494-10-4NoNo001515272917610000.13,065,732*
483-9-6NoNo000151628291651000.72,252,084*
473-10-5NoNo00161830281440004.01,590,560*
463-11-4NoNo00172032261120013.31,070,186*
452-10-6NoNo0021025332371030.9688,478*
442-11-5NoNo0003143032173053.0422,276*
432-12-4NoNo00162035289173.4245,432*
421-11-6NoNo000211293719387.6134,046*
411-12-5NoNo0004203830795.268,595*
401-13-4NoNo021134401398.332,535*
391-14-3NoNo00625462299.514,313*
380-13-5NoNo0218473499.95,624*
370-14-4NoNo1104247Yes1,953*
360-15-3NoNo63559Yes597*
350-16-2NoNo43263Yes115
340-17-1NoNo1684Yes25
330-18-0NoNo01585Yes16,836
Total:8.6%43.8%9121211109865543221100000.8%135,363,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship