How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB 0 Ceará 3 -2.1
-5.3
+4.0
-0.9
Vasco da Gama 1 Tupi 0 -0.1
-0.2
Goiás 1 Londrina 1 *+0.1
*+0.2
Paraná 0 Bahia 0 +0.1
+0.2
*-0.1
Paysandu 1 Oeste 1 +0.1
+0.3
Atlético-GO 1 Brasil de Pelotas 0 *-0.1
*-0.1
Avaí 2 Sampaio Corrêa 0 *-0.1
Joinville 0 Criciúma 0 +0.2
*-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Oeste vs CRB-1.6-0.7+2.1
-4.7-1.7+5.9
+4.6+1.0-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Ceará vs Atlético-GO+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Bahia vs Joinville-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Luverdense vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciúma vs Goiás-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Náutico+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tupi vs Paysandu-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Criciúma+2.1-0.6-1.6
+6.0-1.6-4.8
-5.3+1.0+4.5
+1.2-0.3-0.9
Vila Nova vs CRB-1.6-0.6+2.1
-4.7-1.6+6.0
+4.6+1.0-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.2
Oeste vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2*-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Luverdense vs Atlético-GO+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Paysandu vs Luverdense+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Avaí vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Ceará vs Goiás-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goiás vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bahia vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciúma vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Náutico vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Tupi vs Joinville-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Joinville vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Londrina vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.1
Paraná vs Oeste-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Bragantino-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Bragantino vs Tupi-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
91-111YesYes100No173,246*
9027-3-699.8%Yes1000No469*
8927-4-599.9Yes1000No872*
87-88YesYes100No4,729*
8626-5-5100.0Yes1000No5,497*
8525-4-799.9Yes1000No9,586*
8425-5-6100.0Yes1000No16,739*
8325-6-599.9Yes1000No28,333*
8224-5-799.9Yes1000No47,657*
8124-6-699.8Yes1000No76,988*
8023-5-899.7Yes1000No123,368*
7923-6-799.6Yes10000No194,916*
7823-7-699.4Yes9910No299,608*
7722-6-899.0Yes9910No453,663*
7622-7-798.5Yes9910No676,486*
7521-6-997.7Yes98200No988,812*
7421-7-896.5Yes96300No1,420,173*
7321-8-794.8Yes95500No2,012,279*
7220-7-992.3Yes92700No2,802,328*
7120-8-889.0100.0%8911000No3,829,272*
7020-9-784.5100.08415100No5,157,305*
6919-8-978.6100.07920200No6,830,010*
6819-9-871.2100.071263000No8,894,559*
6718-8-1062.4100.062325000No11,404,304*
6618-9-952.299.9523791000No14,388,192*
6518-10-841.399.841411520000No17,857,870*
6417-9-1030.499.430432151000No21,835,672*
6317-10-920.398.12040281020000No26,264,042*
6217-11-812.195.21233341641000No31,111,475*
6116-10-106.288.962435249200000No36,260,383*
6016-11-92.677.4315303016510000No41,598,604*
5916-12-80.960.31721312511300000No46,987,376*
5815-11-100.239.60312253020820000No52,257,301*
5715-12-90.020.60151527281761000000No57,183,041*
5614-11-110.07.80016182826155100000No61,621,373*
5514-12-100.02.00002819282513410000No65,354,467*
5414-13-90.00.300002920282412410000No68,223,106*
5313-12-11No0.0000029202823124100000.0%70,064,720*
5213-13-10No0.0000029212823124100000.070,827,691*
5113-14-9No0.0000029212823123100000.070,453,880*
5012-13-11No0.0000003921282311310000.168,961,476*
4912-14-10NoNo0000031021282311300000.566,401,423*
4812-15-9NoNo000003102229221030002.962,875,771*
4711-14-11NoNo00001312242921820010.558,550,144*
4611-15-10NoNo0000141426291861025.753,640,508*
4511-16-9NoNo000016172928154046.548,293,500*
4410-15-11NoNo0000292232259167.242,743,046*
4310-16-10NoNo00000313283318482.937,177,965*
4210-17-9NoNo000016213528892.431,760,230*
419-16-11NoNo000031332371697.026,660,086*
409-17-10NoNo0001725422599.021,967,356*
399-18-9NoNo000317433799.717,777,206*
388-17-11NoNo000111394899.914,111,944*
378-18-10NoNo00163460100.010,991,249*
368-19-9NoNo00032769100.08,389,509*
357-18-11NoNo0022178100.06,279,106*
347-19-10NoNo0011584100.04,604,551*
337-20-9NoNo0001089100.03,306,901*
326-19-11NoNo00793Yes2,318,737*
316-20-10NoNo00595Yes1,594,438*
306-21-9NoNo0397Yes1,071,482*
295-20-11NoNo0298Yes703,377*
285-21-10NoNo0199Yes449,103*
275-22-9NoNo0199Yes280,979*
264-21-11NoNo0100Yes170,275*
254-22-10NoNo0100Yes101,177*
244-23-9NoNo0100Yes58,081*
233-22-11NoNo0100Yes31,945*
223-23-10NoNo0100Yes17,641*
213-24-9NoNo0100Yes9,199*
203-25-8NoNo0100Yes4,619*
3-19NoNo100Yes176,904*
Total:5.0%20.6%5555555555555555555418.2%1,389,220,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship