How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Oeste+3.2-1.0-2.6
+7.9-2.2-6.5
-2.7+0.4+2.5
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Parana vs Bragantino+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3*+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Criciuma vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.3-0.2
CRB vs Guarani-0.2+0.2*+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
84-105YesYes100No1,055*
8321-5-499.7%Yes1000No346*
8221-4-5YesYes100No579*
8120-6-499.8Yes1000No936*
8020-5-599.3Yes991No1,390*
7920-4-699.2Yes991No2,241*
7819-6-598.9Yes991No3,379*
7719-5-698.0Yes982No4,992*
7619-4-796.9Yes9730No7,258*
7518-6-695.4Yes9550No10,395*
7418-5-793.6Yes9460No14,869*
7317-7-690.9Yes91900No20,220*
7217-6-786.8Yes871300No27,317*
7117-5-882.1Yes821710No35,642*
7016-7-775.4Yes752220No46,642*
6916-6-867.4100.0%6729400No59,547*
6816-5-958.4100.05835710No74,314*
6715-7-848.199.9484011100No90,895*
6615-6-937.399.8374317300No109,954*
6514-8-826.999.2274324610No130,393*
6414-7-917.697.9183930112000No150,984*
6314-6-1010.494.5103235185100No172,240*
6213-8-95.187.95223526102000No193,922*
6113-7-102.276.12132931185100No213,203*
6013-6-110.759.016203226123000No230,751*
5912-8-100.238.7021125302182000No244,595*
5812-7-110.020.3014152828176100No254,746*
5712-6-120.07.80016182926144100No260,742*
5611-8-11No2.10028202924123100No262,406*
5511-7-12No0.4000210222923113000No259,944*
5411-6-13No0.0000311232922102000No250,864*
5310-8-12No0.000131124292192000No238,693*
5210-7-13NoNo001312242920820000.0%222,179*
5110-6-14NoNo00141325282082000.0203,362*
509-8-13NoNo00141325281972000.2182,658*
499-7-14NoNo000151526281861001.3160,903*
489-6-15NoNo00161728271651005.9138,692*
478-8-14NoNo00271929261330016.9116,967*
468-7-15NoNo00029223124102035.197,310*
458-6-16NoNo0014132731196156.079,238*
447-8-15NoNo001618322913274.762,478*
437-7-16NoNo000210263422587.648,792*
427-6-17NoNo00151835321094.737,090*
416-8-16NoNo0021029401898.127,469*
406-7-17NoNo01622432899.419,795*
396-6-18NoNo00215424099.714,002*
385-8-17NoNo00193852100.09,536*
375-7-18NoNo0053263100.06,426*
365-6-19NoNo032671Yes4,335*
354-8-18NoNo11980Yes2,700*
344-7-19NoNo11485Yes1,666*
334-6-20NoNo0991Yes1,014*
323-8-19NoNo694Yes575*
313-7-20NoNo496Yes326*
303-6-21NoNo298Yes170*
15-29NoNo100Yes783*
Total:8.7%33.1%998877666554443322116.7%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship