How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani 2 Fortaleza 3 -0.5
Goias 3 CSA 0 +0.2
+0.1
+0.1
Juventude 0 Figueirense 0 +0.1
+0.3
Criciuma 1 Atletico-GO 1 +0.4
-0.1
Coritiba 0 Sampaio Correa 0 +0.2
-0.1
Sao Bento 1 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.2
-0.1
Boa Esporte 1 Londrina 0 +0.2
CRB 0 Oeste 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma+1.7-0.7-1.3
+8.3-2.6-6.7
-3.0+0.3+2.8
+1.3-0.3-1.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6+0.3-0.7
+0.3-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-1.3-0.7+1.7
-6.6-2.6+8.2
+2.9+0.3-3.1
-1.1-0.3+1.2
CRB vs Fortaleza+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Fortaleza vs Boa Esporte-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
CSA vs Sao Bento-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Oeste vs CSA+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.4-0.6
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Juventude-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Boa Esporte vs Figueirense+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.7
+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Vila Nova+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.2-0.7
+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.6+0.3+0.5
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Goias vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Guarani vs Atletico-GO+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.5-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Coritiba-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.4*+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Guarani+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.5-0.2
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Oeste vs Juventude-0.1+0.2*+0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Londrina vs Paysandu+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Paysandu+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
80-83YesYes100No8,535*
7916-2-099.2%Yes991No118
7816-1-199.2Yes991No369
7715-3-099.4Yes991No661*
7615-2-198.8Yes991No1,864
7515-1-297.5Yes982No3,710*
7414-3-196.7Yes9730No7,416*
7314-2-295.0Yes9550No15,317*
7214-1-392.0Yes9280No27,093*
7113-3-288.4Yes88110No47,416*
7013-2-383.9Yes841600No83,976*
6912-4-277.4Yes772210No134,894*
6812-3-370.1Yes702820No216,721*
6712-2-460.7100.0%6135400No333,392*
6611-4-350.2100.05042700No487,525*
6511-3-439.4100.0394712100No701,330*
6411-2-528.299.8284920300No974,981*
6310-4-418.399.21846287100No1,299,445*
6210-3-510.597.5103836132000No1,704,174*
619-5-45.093.052738226100No2,147,818*
609-4-52.083.42163531133000No2,625,614*
599-3-60.667.21825342382000No3,132,331*
588-5-50.145.5031429311751000No3,610,084*
578-4-60.024.2015183127144100No4,039,138*
568-3-70.09.30018213125113000No4,408,257*
557-5-6No2.300210233023102000No4,650,251*
547-4-7No0.300031124302292000No4,764,806*
537-3-8No0.000031124302192000No4,749,080*
526-5-7No0.000031124302182000No4,578,444*
516-4-8NoNo000311243021820000.0%4,283,657*
506-3-9NoNo000311243021820000.03,894,154*
495-5-8NoNo000312253020820000.23,418,382*
485-4-9NoNo00031226302071001.52,903,888*
475-3-10NoNo00141427301861006.92,390,004*
464-5-9NoNo000151629291641020.31,895,526*
454-4-10NoNo0017193127122041.41,451,462*
444-3-11NoNo000292433237164.11,073,693*
433-5-10NoNo0000314313316381.9760,020*
423-4-11NoNo0016223727792.5515,864*
413-3-12NoNo00021333371497.4338,132*
402-5-11NoNo001626432499.2209,432*
392-4-12NoNo00317443699.8123,772*
382-3-13NoNo01104049100.069,521*
371-5-12NoNo0053461100.036,732*
361-4-13NoNo032572Yes17,980*
351-3-14NoNo011881Yes8,350*
341-2-15NoNo11287Yes3,381*
330-4-14NoNo892Yes1,265*
320-3-15NoNo595Yes448*
310-2-16NoNo397Yes119
300-1-17NoNo100Yes22
290-0-18NoNo0199Yes8,476
Total:3.0%22.7%367788777766544322105.6%68,159,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship