How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Nautico+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.6
+1.1-0.3-0.9
CSA vs Ponte Preta-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
87-114YesYes100No8,292*
8627-5-699.9%Yes1000No676*
8526-7-5YesYes100No1,012*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No1,790*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No2,828*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No4,595*
8125-6-799.8Yes1000No6,874*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No10,694*
7924-7-799.4Yes991No15,811*
7824-6-898.8Yes991No23,467*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No33,960*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No48,561*
7523-6-996.1Yes96400No68,533*
7422-8-894.3100.0%94600No94,812*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No129,096*
7222-6-1088.3Yes881100No173,150*
7121-8-983.7Yes841510No230,404*
7021-7-1077.6100.07821200No298,946*
6920-9-970.3100.07026300No382,740*
6820-8-1061.6100.0623260000No485,806*
6720-7-1151.499.9513810100No603,869*
6619-9-1040.799.84142153000No742,242*
6519-8-1130.099.330432251000No899,688*
6419-7-1220.298.1204029102000No1,072,872*
6318-9-1112.195.21233341641000No1,262,093*
6218-8-126.389.1624352492000No1,460,723*
6118-7-132.778.131530301651000No1,671,412*
6017-9-120.961.5172231241130000No1,880,681*
5917-8-130.241.50312263019720000No2,088,713*
5816-10-120.022.40151628271651000No2,287,611*
5716-9-130.09.000271928251341000No2,465,689*
5616-8-140.02.5000292129231231000No2,622,091*
5515-10-13No0.40003102228221031000No2,748,808*
5415-9-14No0.10013112328211030000No2,840,162*
5315-8-15No0.000013112328219300000.0%2,892,684*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.02,899,040*
5114-9-15NoNo0001412242820920000.02,868,516*
5014-8-16NoNo0001413242820820000.32,796,507*
4913-10-15NoNo0001414252819720001.72,680,647*
4813-9-16NoNo000151527281761007.12,538,159*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441019.22,362,550*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213025112038.12,169,384*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122631217159.01,959,910*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.81,745,364*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253524688.71,529,979*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.21,316,592*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.21,117,337*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.4935,731*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.8766,072*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.0618,622*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.0489,066*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.0382,065*
359-8-21NoNo0011880100.0293,668*
348-10-20NoNo011386Yes221,344*
338-9-21NoNo001090Yes163,191*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes118,516*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes84,369*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes58,773*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes40,006*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes27,078*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes17,547*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes11,335*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes7,001*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes4,304*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes2,633*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes1,508*
0-21NoNo100Yes9,241*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%59,797,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship