How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 0 CRB 1 -2.4
-7.6
+1.7
-1.0
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2 -0.8
-0.7
-0.2
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2 -0.5
-0.8
-0.1
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 2 -0.2
-0.7
-0.1
Parana 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.2
+0.5
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1 +0.1
+0.4
+0.1
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1 +0.1
+0.5
+0.1
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1 +0.1
+0.3
*-0.1
Cuiaba 3 Figueirense 0 -0.1
-0.4
Botafogo-SP 2 Londrina 1 *-0.1
Operario-PR 1 Guarani 0 -0.4
Brasil de Pelotas 2 Sao Bento 1 -0.1
Vitoria 0 America-MG 0 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+2.3-0.8-1.8
+8.5-2.4-7.0
-2.5+0.4+2.3
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta-1.6-0.8+2.1
-6.6-2.4+8.1
+2.4+0.3-2.6
-1.0-0.3+1.2
CRB vs Bragantino+0.3+0.3-0.5
-0.1+0.4-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Bragantino vs Coritiba-0.3+0.4*+0.0
*-0.0+0.4-0.2
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.4+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO*-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Figueirense vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Guarani vs Londrina+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.4+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.1+0.5-0.2
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Parana vs Criciuma-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.4+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
America-MG vs Guarani+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Criciuma vs Oeste*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
79-89YesYes100No932*
7816-4-198.8%Yes991No249*
7716-3-299.6Yes1000No531*
7616-2-398.6Yes991No938*
7515-4-297.3Yes973No1,638*
7415-3-396.0Yes9640No2,903*
7315-2-493.4Yes9360No4,542*
7214-4-390.1Yes90100No7,508*
7114-3-485.7Yes86140No11,724*
7013-5-379.4Yes792010No17,651*
6913-4-471.9Yes722620No26,119*
6813-3-562.8100.0%6333400No37,344*
6712-5-451.7100.052398100No52,318*
6612-4-540.599.9414414200No71,106*
6512-3-629.599.6304521400No92,971*
6411-5-519.198.81942298100No119,122*
6311-4-611.296.411353515300No149,439*
6211-3-75.591.162537248100No182,880*
6110-5-62.380.72153231154000No217,098*
6010-4-70.764.51723332492000No250,513*
599-6-60.243.703132831186100No283,132*
589-5-70.024.0015183028144100No311,178*
579-4-80.09.70018223124113000No334,126*
568-6-70.02.700021124302192000No348,230*
558-5-8No0.50003132630197100No354,641*
548-4-9No0.10014142729186100No352,127*
537-6-8No0.00015162828165100No340,294*
527-5-9NoNo0015172828155100No319,668*
517-4-10NoNo0001618292714410000.0%293,207*
506-6-9NoNo00171929261341000.0260,827*
496-5-10NoNo000282030251230000.4226,073*
486-4-11NoNo00029223023102002.6191,069*
475-6-10NoNo00031124302182009.8156,444*
465-5-11NoNo00141427301861024.8123,742*
455-4-12NoNo0016183028143045.495,287*
444-6-11NoNo00292332249166.470,822*
434-5-12NoNo000313293318383.251,090*
424-4-13NoNo0016213628892.735,654*
413-6-12NoNo0021333371597.524,069*
403-5-13NoNo01626432599.115,353*
393-4-14NoNo0216433899.99,522*
382-6-13NoNo01104049100.05,714*
372-5-14NoNo063262Yes3,230*
362-4-15NoNo032373Yes1,767*
351-6-14NoNo11881Yes877*
341-5-15NoNo11485Yes469*
331-4-16NoNo1288Yes188*
321-3-17NoNo496Yes56*
28-31NoNo100Yes60*
260-0-21NoNo0100Yes678
Total:4.1%24.5%467788877765543322105.1%5,457,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship