How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 10/17 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 +1.1 -12.1 +1.1 Coritiba 1 Santos 2 -0.1 -0.8 +0.0 Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 +0.1 *-0.1 +0.0 Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.7 Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 -0.4 Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.3 +0.0 Fortaleza 2 Palmeiras 0 +0.1 Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 -0.7 +0.0 Botafogo 0 Goias 0 -0.5 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR -0.6-0.0+1.3 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Ceara vs Sao Paulo +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.6-0.0-0.4 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Goias vs Sao Paulo +0.2+0.1-0.1 +0.9-0.1-0.4 Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.4-0.1-0.3 Gremio vs Goias -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.2-0.2+0.5 Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama -0.1+0.1+0.0 -0.2-0.1+0.3 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 10/26 100.0* Libertadores 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Bahia vs Fortaleza +2.2-0.5-1.5 -8.8+1.2+6.2 +1.0-0.2-0.7 Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife -0.4+0.0+0.7 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Sao Paulo vs Botafogo -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.5+0.0+1.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Fluminense vs Santos -0.0+0.1-0.0 Athletico-PR vs Gremio +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.8-0.3-0.5 Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras +0.0+0.1-0.1 +0.1-0.1-0.1 Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.3-0.3+0.6 Ceara vs Coritiba -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.2-0.4+0.6 Bragantino vs Goias +0.5-0.6-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Libertadores 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 82 21 - 0 - 0 98.9 % Yes 99 1 0 No 3,383,884 80 20 - 1 - 0 Yes Yes 100 No 40 79 20 - 0 - 1 98.6 Yes 99 1 No 73 78 19 - 2 - 0 94.6 Yes 95 5 0 No 278 77 19 - 1 - 1 88.0 Yes 88 11 1 No 1,112 76 18 - 3 - 0 79.6 Yes 80 19 1 No 2,393 * 75 18 - 2 - 1 72.5 Yes 72 25 2 0 No 7,678 74 18 - 1 - 2 64.3 Yes 64 32 4 0 No 18,100 * 73 17 - 3 - 1 54.4 Yes 54 38 7 0 0 No 41,151 * 72 17 - 2 - 2 44.3 Yes 44 43 12 1 0 No 99,593 * 71 16 - 4 - 1 33.6 Yes 34 46 18 2 0 No 207,357 * 70 16 - 3 - 2 24.2 Yes 24 46 25 5 0 0 No 431,510 * 69 16 - 2 - 3 16.2 Yes 16 42 32 8 1 0 No 879,553 * 68 15 - 4 - 2 10.0 100.0 % 10 36 38 14 2 0 0 No 1,655,890 * 67 15 - 3 - 3 5.6 100.0 6 28 41 22 3 0 0 0 No 3,117,338 * 66 15 - 2 - 4 2.8 100.0 3 20 40 30 7 0 0 0 No 5,620,246 * 65 14 - 4 - 3 1.2 100.0 1 12 36 37 13 1 0 0 No 9,686,753 * 64 14 - 3 - 4 0.5 99.8 0 7 28 41 20 3 0 0 0 No 16,475,115 * 63 13 - 5 - 3 0.2 99.4 0 3 19 40 29 7 1 0 0 No 26,932,302 * 62 13 - 4 - 4 0.0 98.1 0 1 12 35 37 13 2 0 0 0 No 42,637,306 * 61 13 - 3 - 5 0.0 95.0 0 0 6 27 40 22 5 0 0 0 No 66,165,370 * 60 12 - 5 - 4 0.0 88.7 0 0 3 17 38 31 10 1 0 0 0 No 99,088,033 * 59 12 - 4 - 5 0.0 77.9 0 0 1 9 31 37 18 4 0 0 0 No 144,509,706 * 58 12 - 3 - 6 0.0 62.7 0 0 0 4 21 37 27 9 1 0 0 0 No 205,893,414 * 57 11 - 5 - 5 0.0 44.6 0 0 0 2 12 31 34 17 4 0 0 0 0 No 284,189,141 * 56 11 - 4 - 6 No 27.4 0 0 0 5 21 35 26 9 2 0 0 0 0 No 382,778,565 * 55 11 - 3 - 7 No 13.9 0 0 0 2 12 29 33 18 5 1 0 0 0 No 502,913,183 * 54 10 - 5 - 6 No 5.7 0 0 1 5 19 33 28 12 2 0 0 0 0 No 641,772,132 * 53 10 - 4 - 7 No 1.8 0 0 0 2 10 26 33 21 7 1 0 0 0 0 No 799,409,477 * 52 9 - 6 - 6 No 0.4 0 0 0 4 16 30 30 15 4 1 0 0 0 No 970,837,947 * 51 9 - 5 - 7 No 0.1 0 0 0 1 7 21 32 25 11 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 1,146,559,695 * 50 9 - 4 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 0 2 11 26 32 21 7 1 0 0 0 0 0.0 1,321,543,343 * 49 8 - 6 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 0 1 4 15 29 30 16 5 1 0 0 0 0 0.0 1,484,113,068 * 48 8 - 5 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 1 7 20 31 26 12 3 0 0 0 0 0.0 1,621,438,902 * 47 8 - 4 - 9 No 0.0 0 0 0 0 2 10 24 32 22 8 2 0 0 0 0 0.1 1,727,695,485 * 46 7 - 6 - 8 No No 0 0 0 0 4 14 28 31 18 5 1 0 0 0 0.8 1,792,428,091 * 45 7 - 5 - 9 No No 0 0 0 0 1 6 18 31 28 13 3 0 0 0 3.3 1,808,417,829 * 44 7 - 4 - 10 No No 0 0 0 0 2 9 24 32 23 8 1 0 0 9.9 1,777,220,618 * 43 6 - 6 - 9 No No 0 0 0 0 3 14 29 31 17 5 1 0 22.5 1,698,454,431 * 42 6 - 5 - 10 No No 0 0 0 0 1 6 20 33 27 11 2 0 40.5 1,576,735,097 * 41 6 - 4 - 11 No No 0 0 0 0 2 11 27 34 21 5 0 60.2 1,423,414,628 * 40 5 - 6 - 10 No No 0 0 0 1 5 18 34 30 12 1 77.2 1,247,211,574 * 39 5 - 5 - 11 No No 0 0 0 2 10 28 37 21 4 88.8 1,059,413,022 * 38 5 - 4 - 12 No No 0 0 0 0 4 19 38 31 8 95.3 872,839,496 * 37 4 - 6 - 11 No No 0 0 0 2 11 33 40 14 98.3 696,019,662 * 36 4 - 5 - 12 No No 0 0 0 0 6 25 45 23 99.5 536,277,317 * 35 4 - 4 - 13 No No 0 0 0 2 17 46 34 99.9 399,333,608 * 34 3 - 6 - 12 No No 0 0 0 1 11 43 45 100.0 286,571,335 * 33 3 - 5 - 13 No No 0 0 0 6 37 57 100.0 197,636,396 * 32 3 - 4 - 14 No No 0 0 0 3 30 67 100.0 131,001,744 * 31 2 - 6 - 13 No No 0 0 1 23 76 100.0 83,123,353 * 30 2 - 5 - 14 No No 0 0 1 16 83 100.0 50,269,650 * 29 2 - 4 - 15 No No 0 0 11 88 Yes 28,931,495 * 28 2 - 3 - 16 No No 0 0 8 92 Yes 15,758,239 * 27 1 - 5 - 15 No No 0 0 5 95 Yes 8,049,944 * 26 1 - 4 - 16 No No 0 3 97 Yes 3,844,187 * 25 1 - 3 - 17 No No 0 2 98 Yes 1,700,313 * 24 0 - 5 - 16 No No 0 1 99 Yes 680,827 * 23 0 - 4 - 17 No No 1 99 Yes 244,347 * 22 0 - 3 - 18 No No 0 100 Yes 76,261 * 21 0 - 2 - 19 No No 0 100 Yes 19,247 20 0 - 1 - 20 No No 0 100 Yes 3,278 19 0 - 0 - 21 No No 0 100 Yes 3,384,158 Total: 0.0 % 3.2 % 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 9 8 6 4 26.8 % 27,209,165,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship