How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo 4 Bahia 1 *No
-3.4
+4.1
-0.8
Bahia 2 Corinthians 0 +3.4
-13.3
+1.5
Atletico-GO 0 Vasco da Gama 1 -0.6
-0.2
-0.1
Chapecoense 0 Flamengo 1 -0.3
-0.7
+0.0
Avai 1 Botafogo 1 +0.3
-0.2
Atletico-MG 2 Chapecoense 3 +0.2
+0.7
-0.0
Coritiba 1 Cruzeiro 0 +0.2
+0.9
Sport Recife 1 Atletico-MG 1 +0.1
-0.2
Vitoria 2 Atletico-PR 3 -0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Palmeiras 2 Ponte Preta 0 -0.1
-0.6
+0.0
Atletico-GO 1 Palmeiras 3 -0.1
-0.5
+0.0
Fluminense 3 Sao Paulo 1 -0.1
-0.0
Sport Recife 1 Santos 1 +0.0
Fluminense 1 Avai 0 -0.1
-0.0
Coritiba 0 Gremio 1 -0.8
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia vs Vitoria+1.7-0.9-1.4
-8.8+1.5+9.4
+1.1-0.3-1.1
Botafogo vs Corinthians-0.5*+0.0+0.3
Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.9-0.2+1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo+0.3+0.1-0.3
+1.1-0.1-0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atletico-PR vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs Fluminense+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Santos vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.4
Ponte Preta vs Avai+0.4-0.9+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
629-0-0No99.9%11234371520No11,897
608-1-0No97.701932391620No35,574
598-0-1No93.3004214127600No57,753
587-2-0No80.801932391720No93,805
577-1-1No65.6003214128600No302,241
567-0-2No46.30111353914100No243,406
6-3-0No40.901832411710No143,755
556-2-1No24.6003214328400No693,295
546-1-2No11.800111363912100No1,110,685
5-4-0No8.9018334313200No141,437
535-3-1No3.30032145255000No906,162
6-0-3No4.2004244324500No593,540
525-2-2No0.901113736132000No2,175,986
4-5-0No0.5018363815200No92,579
515-1-3No0.20042238278100No2,321,123
4-4-1No0.10032138289100No739,432
504-3-2No0.000192836205100No2,366,604
5-0-4No0.0019293520510No927,370
3-6-0No0.00092936205100No40,050
494-2-3No0.00031532321530000.0%3,775,789
3-5-1No0.000213313316400No385,002
484-1-4NoNo0051833291220000.03,010,703
3-4-2NoNo004173330133000.01,551,770*
473-3-3NoNo016213427102000.13,274,512
4-0-5NoNo001622342692000.1960,946
2-6-1NoNo016213427102000.1125,908
463-2-4NoNo001824342481001.23,909,645
2-5-2NoNo001723342591001.4603,227*
453-1-5NoNo0021027342161006.32,490,958
2-4-3NoNo001925352261007.21,592,150
1-7-1NoNo0192635216106.623,555
442-3-4NoNo0021229341840022.62,538,097
3-0-6NoNo0021331341730020.2661,004
1-6-2NoNo0021129351940023.3129,889*
432-2-5NoNo0003163433132046.62,422,727
1-5-3NoNo003143334142049.5416,268*
422-1-6NoNo00152239276071.81,283,527
1-4-4NoNo0042039297075.0834,499*
411-3-5NoNo0018304118190.71,042,032
2-0-7NoNo00110324016189.2291,135
0-6-3NoNo018294219191.444,620
401-2-6NoNo002184432497.5829,007
0-5-4NoNo002164334597.9106,548
391-1-7NoNo00836461099.6375,228
0-4-5NoNo00634481199.7168,891
380-3-6NoNo02225621100.0178,008
1-0-8NoNo02235619100.074,391
370-2-7NoNo00115633100.0121,953
360-1-8NoNo054945Yes47,323
350-0-9NoNo24058Yes14,154
Total:No2.0%00000147911111111109753115.3%46,280,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship