How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama 2 Bahia 1 -2.5
-5.9
+3.1
-0.9
Atletico-MG 1 Fluminense 2 -0.2
-0.2
Atletico-PR 0 Gremio 2 -0.2
-0.3
-0.1
Santos 1 Coritiba 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Chapecoense 1 Palmeiras 0 +0.1
+0.1
Sport Recife 1 Cruzeiro 1 +0.1
+0.2
*-0.1
Atletico-GO 0 Flamengo 3 -0.1
-0.1
Botafogo 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Vitoria 0 Corinthians 1 -0.1
Sao Paulo 2 Avai 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Bahia-1.3-0.5+1.8
-4.4-1.5+5.8
+4.1+0.8-5.0
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Sport Recife vs Gremio+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Corinthians+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Chapecoense vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Santos vs Cruzeiro+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vitoria vs Coritiba+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Atletico-MG vs Ponte Preta+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-111YesYes100No36,819*
8526-6-499.9%Yes1000No3,647*
8425-5-699.9Yes1000No5,903*
8325-6-599.8Yes1000No9,659*
8224-5-799.7Yes1000No15,693*
8124-6-699.5Yes9910No25,068*
8024-7-599.1Yes991No39,280*
7923-6-798.8Yes9910No59,637*
7823-7-698.2Yes98200No89,463*
7723-8-597.3Yes9730No132,621*
7622-7-796.0Yes9640No192,663*
7522-8-694.1Yes9460No274,792*
7421-7-891.6Yes92800No386,105*
7321-8-788.3Yes881100No532,854*
7221-9-683.9100.0%8415100No725,488*
7120-8-878.1100.07820200No972,282*
7020-9-771.2100.071263000No1,280,360*
6920-10-662.9100.063315000No1,660,367*
6819-9-853.5100.053379100No2,115,801*
6719-10-743.499.9434113200No2,657,268*
6618-9-933.099.63343204000No3,289,495*
6518-10-823.398.823422681000No4,004,208*
6418-11-715.096.81537321330000No4,807,248*
6317-10-98.592.7929352061000No5,672,737*
6217-11-84.284.742033271230000No6,601,922*
6117-12-71.771.9211273220710000No7,556,710*
6016-11-90.654.3151830271441000No8,531,160*
5916-12-80.134.802102330221020000No9,472,876*
5816-13-70.017.9004142629187200000No10,376,996*
5715-12-90.06.9001617282715510000No11,188,712*
5615-13-80.01.90002819282513410000No11,862,536*
5515-14-7No0.30002921292311310000No12,405,915*
5414-13-9No0.00003112229221030000No12,775,923*
5314-14-8No0.000013122328219200000.0%12,948,328*
5213-13-10No0.000014132428208200000.012,927,771*
5113-14-9NoNo00014142528197200000.012,704,298*
5013-15-8NoNo0001515262817610000.212,288,223*
4912-14-10NoNo00001616272716510001.111,703,947*
4812-15-9NoNo0000271928261441004.610,970,832*
4712-16-8NoNo0000292130241130013.610,124,991*
4611-15-10NoNo000131225302071029.29,187,199*
4511-16-9NoNo00015162929164049.08,204,202*
4411-17-8NoNo000282232259168.07,205,769*
4310-16-10NoNo0000313293318382.56,223,348*
4210-17-9NoNo00017223527791.75,285,990*
4110-18-8NoNo00031433361496.54,415,225*
409-17-10NoNo0001827412298.73,618,482*
399-18-9NoNo000420433299.62,915,879*
389-19-8NoNo000213414399.92,308,850*
378-18-10NoNo00183754100.01,796,269*
368-19-9NoNo0053164100.01,368,311*
358-20-8NoNo0032572100.01,023,598*
347-19-10NoNo0011980100.0751,626*
337-20-9NoNo011485Yes541,912*
327-21-8NoNo001090Yes380,791*
316-20-10NoNo0793Yes261,933*
306-21-9NoNo0595Yes178,185*
296-22-8NoNo0397Yes117,317*
285-21-10NoNo0298Yes75,627*
275-22-9NoNo0199Yes47,616*
265-23-8NoNo0199Yes29,408*
255-24-7NoNo0100Yes17,447*
244-23-9NoNo0100Yes10,289*
234-24-8NoNo0100Yes5,812*
224-25-7NoNo0100Yes3,215*
213-24-9NoNo0100Yes1,650*
3-20NoNo100Yes33,932*
Total:4.2%19.4%4555555555555555544316.7%259,440,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship