How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Bahia-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Atletico-GO vs Bahia-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
America-MG vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
92-114YesYes100No1,041,241*
9129-4-5100.0%Yes1000No5,140*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No9,140*
8928-5-599.9Yes1000No16,647*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No29,536*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No50,831*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No86,681*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No144,624*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No236,140*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No380,522*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No601,423*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No931,585*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No1,424,793*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No2,145,201*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No3,168,493*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No4,607,584*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No6,590,748*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No9,290,456*
7422-8-894.5Yes955000No12,882,954*
7322-7-992.0Yes928000No17,589,418*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No23,669,050*
7121-8-984.1Yes84151000No31,348,769*
7021-7-1078.2Yes78202000No40,904,199*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No52,593,188*
6820-8-1062.1100.0%623260000No66,603,681*
6720-7-1152.2100.0523791000No83,139,348*
6619-9-1041.4100.041411520000No102,255,960*
6519-8-1130.7100.031432151000No123,962,121*
6419-7-1220.8100.02140289200000No148,047,784*
6318-9-1112.6100.013343316410000No174,306,363*
6218-8-126.699.872535238200000No202,313,391*
6117-10-112.999.13153130165100000No231,401,987*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No260,907,922*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No289,976,199*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No317,645,576*
5716-9-130.057.70028202925134100000No343,017,949*
5616-8-140.033.600029212923113100000No365,037,175*
5515-10-130.014.1000031123282210300000No382,914,209*
5415-9-140.04.00000131123282193000000.0%395,818,293*
5315-8-15No0.70000141224282092000000.0403,304,784*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0404,928,377*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0400,616,279*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3390,508,300*
4913-10-15No0.0000001514262818710001.6375,053,055*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.8354,847,905*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.7330,717,529*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.4303,513,644*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.5274,324,307*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.4244,112,085*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029253523688.5213,839,205*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.1184,383,144*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.2156,392,052*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.4130,554,846*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.8107,197,319*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.086,513,169*
379-10-19NoNo000053163100.068,648,134*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.053,539,054*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.041,015,365*
348-10-20NoNo00011486100.030,868,436*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.022,804,347*
328-8-22NoNo000693100.016,530,378*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes11,749,610*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes8,193,345*
297-8-23NoNo00298Yes5,597,612*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes3,744,721*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes2,452,919*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes1,572,143*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes982,794*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes601,571*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes359,058*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes207,535*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes117,807*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes64,618*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes34,607*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes18,018*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes9,004*
0-16NoNo100Yes1,043,723*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%8,328,057,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship