Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedSerie A2
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.Change%ChangeRPIMonday
Palmeiras206-2-17100.0%+0.198101.0+0.02No1Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Corinthians165-1-3697.0-1.48116301.2-0.05No7Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
SantosSanto Andre1414-2-2590.7+0.06823811.40.0%2Santos Futebol Clube
Sao PauloTFerroviaria 0-0113-2-4064.9-3.6353023122.1-0.105.6-0.310Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Ponte Pretaat Mirassol1012-4-2060.5+1.2342723172.2+0.049.7+0.45Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Sao Bento133-4-2258.5+13.415729122.5+0.190.4+0.19Esporte Clube Sao Bento
Botafogo1113-2-3-155.9+0.0183834102.43.7+0.24LinenseBotafogo Futebol Clube-SP
BragantinoWNovorizontino 2-1123-3-3050.9+17.58434462.5+0.312.7-11.48Clube Atletico Bragantino
Ituano1112-5-1249.7-14.511394462.5-0.174.0+0.46Red BullItuano Futebol Clube
Red Bull1112-5-1246.2-0.0133340142.54.3+0.43at ItuanoRed Bull Futebol e Entretenimento Ltda
Sao Caetano103-1-5-744.9+1.8192630252.6+0.0512.2+0.414Associacao Desportiva Sao Caetano
Santo Andreat Santos811-5-2-229.7+0.6121824463.0+0.0129.4+1.411Esporte Clube Santo Andre
NovorizontinoLBragantino 1-2113-2-4-228.1-11.802842303.0-0.195.8+2.915Gremio Esportivo Novorizontino
FerroviariaTSao Paulo 0-0102-4-3-113.5-1.81429583.4-0.0217.3+2.712Associacao Ferroviaria de Esportes
MirassolPonte Preta711-4-3-47.2+0.01617763.741.9+1.613Mirassol Futebol Clube
Linense511-2-5-72.4-1.50210883.9-0.1063.0+1.216at BotafogoClube Atletico Linense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/21
Bragantino 2 Novorizontino 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-1.5
-0.1
Sao Paulo+0.5
Ponte Preta+0.4
Sao Bento+10.8
+0.1
Botafogo+0.4
Bragantino+17.8
-11.7
+0.3
Ituano-14.7
+0.5
-0.2
Red Bull+0.4
Sao Caetano+0.5
Santo Andre+1.6
Novorizontino-14.9
+3.6
-0.3
Ferroviaria+4.0
+0.5
+0.1
Mirassol+1.8
Linense-1.6
+1.4
-0.1
Sao Caetano 1 Sao Bento 0
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-5.7
+1.0
-0.1
Ponte Preta-6.8
+1.5
-0.1
Sao Bento-15.1
+0.2
-0.2
Botafogo+0.5
Bragantino+1.4
Ituano+0.8
Red Bull+0.8
Sao Caetano+17.4
-19.2
+0.5
Santo Andre-4.9
+3.2
-0.2
Novorizontino+10.3
+0.7
+0.1
Ferroviaria+4.7
+2.1
+0.1
Mirassol+3.4
Linense+3.5
Ituano 2 Sao Paulo 1
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-2.4
-0.1
Sao Paulo-10.2
+2.7
-0.3
Ponte Preta+3.1
+0.5
+0.1
Botafogo+0.3
Bragantino-12.7
+0.7
-0.2
Ituano+18.0
-9.8
+0.4
Sao Caetano+3.2
+1.2
+0.1
Santo Andre+3.8
+1.0
+0.1
Ferroviaria+0.8
Mirassol+1.3
Linense-2.8
+1.1
-0.1
Sao Paulo 0 Ferroviaria 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-3.5
-0.9
-0.1
Ponte Preta+1.2
+0.0
Sao Bento+2.8
+0.0
Botafogo-0.2
Sao Caetano+1.7
-0.2
+0.0
Santo Andre+0.5
-0.2
+0.0
Novorizontino+2.6
-0.2
+0.1
Ferroviaria-5.5
+2.0
-0.1
Linense-0.3
Corinthians 2 Palmeiras 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.2
Corinthians+6.3
No
+0.2
Bragantino-3.1
-0.1
Ituano-2.4
-0.1
Linense-0.8
Ituano vs Red BullIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:30 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Corinthians95.097.698.5
1.31.21.1
Santos94.291.986.5
1.31.41.5
Botafogo66.858.743.3
2.22.32.5
Bragantino34.256.064.3
2.72.42.3
Ituano69.643.933.6
0.03.18.6
2.12.62.7
Red Bull29.741.465.6
9.13.50.1
2.92.62.1
Mirassol9.38.04.5
41.842.2*41.8
3.63.73.8
Mirassol vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo70.466.558.3
6.65.14.9
2.02.12.3
Ponte Preta43.356.280.5
19.58.80.4
2.72.31.7
Botafogo52.757.658.1
4.33.23.4
2.52.32.3
Red Bull43.447.448.1
5.34.13.5
2.72.52.5
Sao Caetano52.046.037.1
13.912.010.7
2.52.62.8
Santo Andre34.331.224.1
31.628.627.8
2.93.03.2
Mirassol14.63.52.1
18.947.661.3
3.43.83.9
Santos vs Santo AndreHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santos98.090.083.9
NoNo0.0
1.21.51.6
Sao Paulo70.366.558.4
4.35.46.9
2.02.12.3
Ponte Preta65.063.154.4
8.59.211.3
2.12.22.4
Botafogo53.056.158.8
3.0*3.74.3
2.52.32.3
Red Bull42.846.549.3
3.54.15.3
2.62.52.4
Sao Caetano50.047.038.5
10.312.014.3
2.52.62.8
Santo Andre14.723.348.6
45.832.311.3
3.43.22.5
Mirassol6.27.48.0
39.441.344.8
Linense59.9*62.966.2
Botafogo vs LinenseHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santos87.091.893.8
1.61.41.3
Botafogo75.250.440.1
0.02.28.2
2.02.52.7
Red Bull33.649.456.8
3.64.15.2
2.72.52.4
Santo Andre26.728.732.6
Mirassol4.28.49.4
39.940.844.6
3.83.63.6
Linense0.31.15.4
79.770.241.8
4.03.93.7
Week of 3/4
Red Bull vs Sao BentoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
PalmeirasInIn100.0
Santos86.691.894.2
1.51.41.3
Sao Bento40.653.479.5
1.00.1No
2.82.62.2
Botafogo43.358.666.8
3.9*3.73.4
2.52.32.2
Red Bull65.641.529.7
0.13.79.0
2.12.62.9
Novorizontino39.332.414.2
6.15.95.5
2.93.03.2
Ferroviaria20.114.36.4
17.717.416.8
3.33.43.6
Mirassol4.58.19.3
42.542.041.2
3.83.73.6
Ponte Preta vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo58.366.570.4
5.95.65.2
2.32.12.0
Ponte Preta80.556.243.3
0.710.518.2
1.72.32.7
Bragantino34.643.571.8
6.11.4No
2.72.62.1
Ituano62.955.632.9
4.3*4.03.7
2.32.42.6
Sao Caetano37.246.052.0
13.1*12.311.3
2.82.62.5
Santo Andre24.031.334.3
30.629.328.4
3.23.02.9
Novorizontino vs ItuanoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras100.0InIn
Corinthians98.597.695.0
1.11.21.3
Sao Bento43.864.869.1
2.72.42.4
Bragantino64.356.134.2
2.32.42.7
Ituano33.643.969.6
8.63.10.0
2.72.62.1
Novorizontino47.819.114.0
0.04.412.5
2.63.23.3
Ferroviaria8.416.116.9
3.63.43.3
Santo Andre vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santos93.891.887.1
1.31.41.6
Sao Paulo58.466.570.3
6.5*5.64.6
2.32.12.0
Ponte Preta54.463.165.0
11.09.48.7
2.42.22.1
Botafogo40.050.475.3
8.32.20.0
2.72.52.0
Red Bull56.849.433.5
5.14.23.6
2.42.52.7
Sao Caetano38.547.149.9
14.112.010.4
2.82.62.5
Santo Andre48.623.314.7
10.832.546.1
2.53.23.4
Mirassol9.58.34.1
44.541.439.7
3.63.63.8
Linense vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo47.758.386.2
12.92.70.0
2.52.31.6
Ponte Preta66.262.553.6
10.79.48.9
2.12.22.4
Sao Caetano51.048.536.5
14.611.010.6
2.52.52.8
Santo Andre35.130.723.7
32.029.027.2
2.93.03.2
Linense5.41.10.3
41.370.480.0
3.73.94.0
Palmeiras vs Sao CaetanoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
PalmeirasInIn100.0
Sao Paulo71.568.655.9
4.75.46.6
2.02.02.3
Ponte Preta67.462.552.4
8.8*9.710.6
2.12.22.4
Sao Caetano26.038.068.2
23.712.60.4
3.12.82.1
Santo Andre35.130.823.5
27.429.731.3
2.93.03.2
Ferroviaria vs MirassolHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento50.261.664.8
2.72.52.4
Botafogo58.057.652.7
*3.73.14.0
2.32.32.5
Red Bull48.247.343.4
4.04.14.7
2.52.52.7
Novorizontino23.830.331.0
5.65.16.5
3.22.92.9
Ferroviaria26.18.14.3
0.817.034.0
3.13.63.7
Mirassol2.13.514.5
62.547.417.8
3.93.83.4
Santos vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Corinthians94.197.199.8
1.41.21.1
Santos98.090.084.0
NoNo0.0
1.21.51.6
Botafogo53.056.258.7
2.52.32.3
Ituano51.449.548.3
2.42.52.5
Red Bull42.946.449.3
2.62.52.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.