Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedSerie A2
4/20PGW-D-LGD%Change1234Avg.Change%ChangeRPIWednesday
Corinthians185-3-1599.8%+0.1964001.0+0.04No3Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Sao Paulo1916-1-11499.7+0.295501.1+0.05No1Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Bragantino206-2-1897.2-0.97423301.3-0.09No2Red Bull Bragantino
NovorizontinoWSanto Andre 2-01424-2-1673.2+14.821522152.1+0.310.0%-0.24Gremio Esportivo Novorizontino
Mirassol832-2-2072.6-6.142302341.9-0.112.7+0.26BotafogoMirassol Futebol Clube
Santos922-3-2-566.7-7.933342942.1-0.132.9+0.211Santos Futebol Clube
FerroviariaLGuarani 1-21023-1-3262.5-9.43593432.4-0.150.8+0.48Associacao Ferroviaria de Esportes
GuaraniWFerroviaria 2-1822-2-3-356.4+15.424323672.3+0.335.3-10.07Guarani Futebol Clube
Santo AndreLNovorizontino 0-2631-3-2-250.5-11.534731192.7-0.2210.0+4.59Esporte Clube Santo Andre
Ponte Preta732-1-3036.2+8.523554102.7+0.095.4+0.15Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Botafogo621-3-3-630.1+6.512939313.0+0.0919.3+0.813at MirassolBotafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Palmeiras932-3-1420.0-8.741746343.1-0.121.5+0.112Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Inter de Limeira331-0-5-819.6+4.801930503.3+0.0833.0+0.810ItuanoAssociacao Atletica Internacional
Ituano732-1-309.6-5.21930603.5-0.105.3+0.314at Inter de LimeiraItuano Futebol Clube
Sao Caetano220-2-5-124.3-1.41312843.8-0.0964.1+1.215Associacao Desportiva Sao Caetano
Sao Bento510-5-3-31.6+0.6212873.8+0.0249.5+1.516Esporte Clube Sao Bento

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/17
Novorizontino 2 Santo Andre 0
8:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.0
Bragantino-1.0
-0.1
Novorizontino+15.3
No
+0.3
Guarani-0.3
Santo Andre-12.1
+4.1
-0.2
Ponte Preta-0.2
Botafogo+7.1
-0.5
+0.1
Palmeiras-9.0
-0.1
Inter de Limeira+4.9
-0.7
+0.1
Ituano-5.3
-0.1
Sao Caetano-0.8
Sao Bento-1.0
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.2
+0.0
Mirassol-6.6
+0.3
-0.1
Santos-8.2
+0.3
-0.1
Ferroviaria-10.3
+0.5
-0.2
Guarani+16.3
-10.1
+0.4
Santo Andre+0.4
Ponte Preta+9.4
+0.4
+0.1
Botafogo+1.4
Inter de Limeira+1.6
Ituano+0.5
Sao Caetano-1.5
+2.0
-0.1
Sao Bento+0.6
+2.5
Novorizontino 3 Ferroviaria 1
10:15 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.5
+0.1
Bragantino-4.3
-0.1
Novorizontino+15.4
-1.9
+0.4
Ferroviaria-9.7
+0.3
-0.2
Guarani+0.2
Ponte Preta+8.6
+0.1
Botafogo+0.2
Palmeiras-6.0
-0.1
Inter de Limeira+0.2
Ituano-5.1
-0.1
Sao Caetano+0.3
Sao Bento+0.5
+0.3
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Bragantino+11.2
No
+0.3
Novorizontino-3.8
-0.1
Mirassol-6.5
+1.6
-0.2
Santos+2.6
-0.2
+0.1
Guarani+2.8
-0.2
+0.1
Botafogo-0.2
Palmeiras-3.8
-0.1
Inter de Limeira-0.2
Ituano-3.6
-0.1
Sao Caetano+1.2
-0.3
Sao Bento-0.3
Bragantino 2 Ponte Preta 0
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.5
Bragantino+5.8
+0.2
Novorizontino-2.1
-0.1
Ferroviaria+9.9
+0.1
Guarani-0.3
Santo Andre-0.2
Ponte Preta-10.9
+2.7
-0.2
Botafogo-0.4
Palmeiras-2.3
-0.1
Inter de Limeira-0.4
Ituano-1.4
Sao Caetano-0.5
Sao Bento+0.5
-0.5
+0.0
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1
10:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Mirassol+0.8
-0.5
+0.0
Santos+1.0
-0.5
+0.0
Ferroviaria+0.5
Guarani+0.9
-1.7
+0.0
Santo Andre-0.8
Ponte Preta+0.3
-0.4
+0.0
Botafogo-1.8
Palmeiras-0.3
Inter de Limeira-2.0
Ituano-0.6
Sao Caetano-2.6
+4.7
-0.1
Sao Bento-0.8
+4.1
-0.0
Novorizontino vs GuaraniIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino86.569.761.9
No0.00.0
1.82.22.4
Mirassol78.474.565.7
1.81.82.0
Santos74.068.858.0
1.92.02.2
Guarani42.052.273.5
9.75.60.6
2.62.41.9
Palmeiras12.222.326.4
3.23.13.0
Novorizontino vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino86.569.761.9
No0.00.0
1.82.22.4
Mirassol77.474.166.9
1.81.82.0
Santos53.562.982.2
5.72.80.1
2.32.11.7
Guarani63.558.448.0
2.12.22.4
Palmeiras12.222.326.4
3.23.13.0
Guarani vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino79.576.964.5
2.02.12.2
Mirassol65.774.578.4
2.01.81.8
Santos58.068.874.0
2.22.01.9
Guarani73.552.242.0
0.65.59.8
1.92.42.6
Palmeiras11.214.832.2
3.11.40.1
3.33.22.8
Mirassol vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
10:15 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Mirassol86.069.861.0
0.12.45.5
1.62.02.2
Santos61.167.971.5
2.52.83.3
2.22.01.9
Guarani49.857.962.1
4.75.15.9
2.42.22.1
Santo Andre58.253.840.6
9.29.811.1
2.52.62.8
Botafogo18.425.544.7
30.422.06.6
3.33.12.7
Sao Caetano vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ferroviaria73.467.048.7
2.32.32.5
Ponte Preta24.531.450.9
10.64.60.6
2.92.82.5
Sao Caetano8.62.51.1
44.970.479.4
3.63.93.9
Santos vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Mirassol66.974.177.4
2.01.81.8
Santos82.262.953.5
0.12.85.7
1.72.12.3
Guarani48.058.463.5
2.42.22.1
Inter de Limeira vs ItuanoHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santo Andre44.052.655.5
11.49.88.9
2.82.62.5
Inter de Limeira30.915.810.6
17.136.346.8
3.03.43.5
Ituano4.06.916.9
10.35.00.6
3.73.63.3
Sao Paulo vs Santo AndreHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santo Andre37.346.266.3
16.911.02.6
2.92.72.4
Botafogo37.832.920.7
18.419.220.4
2.93.03.1
Inter de Limeira25.021.013.3
31.833.034.3
3.23.33.4
Sao Bento vs Inter de LimeiraHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santo Andre55.552.644.0
11.19.09.6
2.52.62.8
Inter de Limeira10.615.830.9
51.234.513.9
3.53.43.0
Sao Bento3.50.80.3
24.355.371.1
3.73.93.9
Week of 4/25
Santo Andre vs GuaraniIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Mirassol78.474.565.7
1.81.82.0
Santos74.068.857.9
1.92.02.2
Guarani42.052.273.5
10.15.20.5
2.62.41.9
Santo Andre66.346.237.3
2.310.817.3
2.42.72.9
Botafogo20.732.937.8
19.819.219.0
3.13.02.9
Inter de Limeira13.321.025.0
33.6*33.032.4
3.43.33.2
Ferroviaria vs Santo AndreHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ferroviaria76.858.950.4
0.00.51.9
2.22.42.5
Santo Andre37.346.266.3
16.911.02.6
2.92.72.4
Ponte Preta23.139.647.1
5.05.35.7
2.92.72.6
Botafogo37.832.920.7
18.419.220.3
2.93.03.1
Inter de Limeira25.021.013.3
31.933.034.1
3.23.33.4
Ponte Preta vs MirassolHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Mirassol61.069.886.0
5.32.60.2
2.22.01.6
Santos71.567.961.1
1.92.02.2
Ferroviaria48.767.073.4
2.52.32.3
Guarani62.157.949.8
2.12.22.4
Ponte Preta50.931.424.5
1.05.69.7
2.52.82.9
Ponte Preta vs Inter de LimeiraHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ferroviaria48.767.073.4
2.52.32.3
Santo Andre55.552.644.0
9.09.811.2
2.52.62.8
Ponte Preta50.931.424.5
0.75.010.3
2.52.82.9
Inter de Limeira10.615.830.9
46.836.317.1
3.53.43.0
Palmeiras vs MirassolHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino64.576.979.5
2.22.12.0
Mirassol61.069.886.0
5.2*2.70.2
2.22.01.6
Santos71.467.961.1
1.92.02.2
Guarani62.157.949.8
2.12.22.4
Palmeiras32.214.811.2
0.11.43.1
2.83.23.3
Palmeiras vs Inter de LimeiraHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino64.576.979.5
2.22.12.0
Santo Andre55.552.644.0
8.89.811.5
2.52.62.8
Palmeiras32.214.811.2
0.01.23.3
2.83.23.3
Inter de Limeira10.615.830.9
46.336.417.6
3.53.43.0
Botafogo vs Sao CaetanoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Santo Andre40.653.758.2
9.59.311.0
2.82.62.5
Botafogo44.725.518.4
5.020.033.2
2.73.13.3
Sao Caetano1.12.58.6
81.070.743.2
3.93.93.6
Bragantino vs FerroviariaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Bragantino99.797.194.8
1.11.31.4
Ferroviaria50.458.976.8
1.80.60.0
2.52.42.2
Ponte Preta47.139.623.1
2.62.72.9
Santos vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Mirassol66.974.177.4
2.01.81.8
Santos82.262.953.5
0.12.85.7
1.72.12.3
Guarani48.058.463.5
2.42.22.1
Sao Bento vs NovorizontinoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino61.969.786.5
0.00.0No
2.42.21.8
Palmeiras26.422.312.2
2.11.31.1
3.03.13.2
Sao Bento3.50.80.3
28.756.166.2
3.73.93.9
Sao Caetano vs ItuanoHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ituano4.06.916.9
10.64.60.6
3.73.63.3
Sao Caetano8.62.51.1
44.970.479.4
3.63.93.9
Ituano vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ituano16.96.94.0
1.05.69.5
3.33.63.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.