How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3 -0.7
-5.0
+5.9
-0.9
Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2 -0.3
-1.6
+1.7
-0.3
Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.3
Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0 +0.1
+0.3
Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 +0.1
*-0.1
Gremio 2 Coritiba 0 -0.1
-0.2
Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.2
*-0.1
Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.1
-0.2
Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2 +0.2
Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 -0.2
*-0.1
Botafogo 3 Vasco da Gama 1 *-0.1
Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0 *-0.1
+0.1
Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0 *+0.1
+0.2
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 *-0.1
+0.2
Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 *+0.1
+0.3
Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4 +0.2
Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.4-0.2+0.5
-4.1-1.6+5.1
+6.5+1.8-7.7
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Gremio vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Botafogo vs Avai-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.2-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Bahia vs Flamengo+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.3+0.3
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Atletico-PR vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.3+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-96YesYes100No28,202*
8324-3-299.0%Yes991No97*
8223-2-4YesYes100No202*
8123-3-399.1Yes991No448*
8022-2-599.4Yes991No896*
7922-3-499.4Yes991No1,709*
7822-4-398.1Yes982No3,138*
7721-3-597.3Yes973No5,820*
7621-4-495.7Yes9640No9,878*
7521-5-394.1Yes9460No17,056*
7420-4-591.5Yes9180No28,513*
7320-5-488.1Yes881200No46,290*
7219-4-683.5Yes841610No73,948*
7119-5-577.9Yes7821100No114,956*
7019-6-471.0Yes7126300No176,621*
6918-5-662.4Yes6232500No261,643*
6818-6-553.3Yes53388100No383,645*
6718-7-443.2Yes434213200No548,481*
6617-6-632.9100.0%3344193000No769,616*
6517-7-523.2100.023432671000No1,058,068*
6416-6-714.8100.0153833122000No1,423,724*
6316-7-68.399.9830361951000No1,880,127*
6216-8-54.099.74203527112000No2,435,040*
6115-7-71.698.921229321961000No3,098,546*
6015-8-60.596.2051932271330000No3,858,974*
5915-9-50.189.20210253122920000No4,720,006*
5814-8-70.074.80041427291861000No5,664,211*
5714-9-60.053.000161829271551000No6,670,222*
5614-10-50.029.20002820292513410000No7,707,979*
5513-9-7No11.5000292129231131000No8,741,435*
5413-10-6No3.0000310222922113000000.0%9,733,659*
5312-9-8No0.5000031123292210300000.010,630,075*
5212-10-7No0.0000131123292110200000.011,401,140*
5112-11-6No0.000013122329219200000.012,001,401*
5011-10-8No0.000001412242920820000.312,379,424*
4911-11-7NoNo0001413252819720001.812,552,263*
4811-12-6NoNo000151527281761007.212,476,881*
4710-11-8NoNo0000161728271541019.612,162,942*
4610-12-7NoNo000028213025112038.711,637,121*
4510-13-6NoNo00003112532217159.910,913,781*
449-12-8NoNo0001517313014277.710,029,851*
439-13-7NoNo00029243524689.39,047,551*
429-14-6NoNo000041634341295.67,985,667*
418-13-8NoNo0001928402098.46,909,563*
408-14-7NoNo000521433199.55,854,754*
398-15-6NoNo000214424299.94,859,102*
387-14-8NoNo000193754100.03,936,946*
377-15-7NoNo00053164100.03,129,265*
367-16-6NoNo0032473100.02,428,660*
356-15-8NoNo0011880100.01,842,019*
346-16-7NoNo011386Yes1,363,505*
336-17-6NoNo00990Yes985,189*
325-16-8NoNo00694Yes692,425*
315-17-7NoNo00496Yes475,822*
305-18-6NoNo0397Yes317,905*
294-17-8NoNo0298Yes206,804*
284-18-7NoNo0199Yes129,534*
274-19-6NoNo0199Yes79,270*
263-18-8NoNo0100Yes47,050*
253-19-7NoNo0100Yes26,957*
243-20-6NoNo0100Yes14,759*
233-21-5NoNo0100Yes7,802*
222-20-7NoNo0100Yes4,061*
212-21-6NoNo100Yes1,964*
202-22-5NoNo0100Yes938*
9-19NoNo100Yes28,779*
Total:0.9%14.0%1223344455566677788831.5%226,024,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship