"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife-2.5-1.1+3.2
-6.4-2.2+7.8
+2.5+0.4-2.8
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Parana vs Bragantino+0.3+0.3-0.5
*-0.0+0.4-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3*+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Criciuma vs Coritiba*+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
CRB vs Guarani-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
83-105YesYes100No1,394*
8221-4-599.7%Yes1000No664*
8120-6-499.9Yes1000No904*
8020-5-599.8Yes1000No1,380*
7920-4-699.0Yes991No2,251*
7819-6-598.8Yes991No3,343*
7719-5-697.8Yes982No5,098*
7619-4-796.8Yes9730No7,405*
7518-6-695.5Yes9640No10,438*
7418-5-793.0Yes9370No14,787*
7317-7-690.2Yes90100No20,193*
7217-6-786.8Yes871300No27,195*
7117-5-881.3Yes811810No35,937*
7016-7-775.5Yes762220No46,689*
6916-6-867.4100.0%6728400No59,652*
6816-5-958.4100.05835700No74,534*
6715-7-848.099.948401110No91,585*
6615-6-937.199.7374317300No109,770*
6514-8-827.099.32743246100No130,365*
6414-7-917.697.9183930112000No151,019*
6314-6-1010.494.7103235185100No173,180*
6213-8-95.188.05223526102000No193,367*
6113-7-102.176.221329311751000No212,909*
6013-6-110.758.916203226123000No230,451*
5912-8-100.238.6021125302182000No245,464*
5812-7-110.020.20141527281761000No255,058*
5712-6-120.07.70016182926144100No261,188*
5611-8-110.02.0000282029241241000No263,034*
5511-7-12No0.3000210222923113000No259,006*
5411-6-13No0.0000311232922103000No250,961*
5310-8-12No0.000131123292192000No237,684*
5210-7-13NoNo001312242921920000.0%221,645*
5110-6-14NoNo00141224292082000.0203,286*
509-8-13NoNo00141325291972000.2182,186*
499-7-14NoNo00151526281861001.4160,574*
489-6-15NoNo00161627271651005.9138,714*
478-8-14NoNo00171929261340017.1117,270*
468-7-15NoNo00029223124102035.196,910*
458-6-16NoNo0014132731196156.179,001*
447-8-15NoNo0001619312912274.362,845*
437-7-16NoNo000210263522587.548,640*
427-6-17NoNo0151835321094.636,927*
416-8-16NoNo0021130391898.027,042*
406-7-17NoNo01623432899.320,092*
396-6-18NoNo0316423999.814,114*
385-8-17NoNo0110395099.99,618*
375-7-18NoNo0063361100.06,505*
365-6-19NoNo032572Yes4,256*
354-8-18NoNo012078Yes2,761*
344-7-19NoNo11485Yes1,639*
334-6-20NoNo11188Yes1,051*
323-8-19NoNo694Yes626*
313-7-20NoNo496Yes342*
303-6-21NoNo397Yes199*
292-8-20NoNo199Yes92*
282-7-21NoNo298Yes47*
272-6-22NoNo100Yes23*
262-5-23NoNo892Yes12*
150-0-30NoNo100Yes598
Total:8.7%33.1%998877666554443322116.7%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship