How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
America-MG 3 Sport Recife 0 -1.6
-5.7
+4.7
-0.9
Vitoria 2 Flamengo 2 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Internacional 2 Bahia 0 *-0.1
Botafogo 1 Palmeiras 1 +0.3
Atletico-PR 5 Chapecoense 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Botafogo+1.5-0.5-1.2
+6.3-1.8-5.1
-6.2+1.3+5.3
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Flamengo vs America-MG+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Santos+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Parana vs Corinthians+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Gremio vs Atletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Vitoria-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
90-111YesYes100No166,940*
8928-5-499.9%Yes1000No850*
8828-4-5YesYes100No1,633*
8727-6-4100.0Yes1000No2,938*
8627-5-599.9Yes1000No5,249*
8527-4-6100.0Yes1000No9,305*
8426-6-599.9Yes1000No15,432*
8326-5-699.9Yes1000No26,127*
8225-7-599.8Yes1000No42,733*
8125-6-699.7Yes1000No68,623*
8025-5-799.6Yes10000No109,488*
7924-7-699.3Yes9910No169,137*
7824-6-799.0Yes9910No259,982*
7723-8-698.4Yes9820No390,172*
7623-7-797.5Yes9820No577,180*
7523-6-896.3Yes9640No838,842*
7422-8-794.5Yes95500No1,203,924*
7322-7-892.0Yes92800No1,691,195*
7222-6-988.6Yes8911000No2,340,784*
7121-8-884.1Yes8415100No3,191,403*
7021-7-978.3Yes7820200No4,282,428*
6921-6-1070.9Yes71263000No5,662,417*
6820-8-962.2Yes62326000No7,373,011*
6720-7-1052.2100.0%523791000No9,445,739*
6619-9-941.5100.04141152000No11,924,208*
6519-8-1030.7100.031432151000No14,817,839*
6419-7-1120.8100.0214028920000No18,149,038*
6318-9-1012.6100.013343316410000No21,903,624*
6218-8-116.699.87253523820000No26,048,136*
6118-7-122.999.1316313016510000No30,508,692*
6017-9-111.097.01823312410300000No35,208,954*
5917-8-120.391.103132629197200000No40,032,853*
5817-7-130.078.501617282715510000No44,879,918*
5716-9-120.058.10028202925134100000No49,534,550*
5616-8-130.033.900021022292311310000No53,889,879*
5515-10-120.014.3000031123282110300000No57,762,953*
5415-9-13No4.0000131223282192000000.0%61,015,508*
5315-8-14No0.70000141224282092000000.063,469,389*
5214-10-13No0.1000014122428209200000.065,075,004*
5114-9-14No0.000014132428208200000.065,718,066*
5014-8-15No0.000001413252819820000.265,373,550*
4913-10-14No0.000001514262818710001.664,069,077*
4813-9-15NoNo0000161627271661006.661,813,518*
4713-8-16NoNo0000271829261441018.458,739,136*
4612-10-15NoNo0000029213024102037.054,970,525*
4512-9-16NoNo000013122631206158.150,649,702*
4412-8-17NoNo00001517312914276.145,930,231*
4311-10-16NoNo000029253523688.341,000,007*
4211-9-17NoNo000141734331195.036,013,039*
4111-8-18NoNo00021029402098.131,118,739*
4010-10-17NoNo0001522433099.426,456,451*
3910-9-18NoNo000215424199.822,104,806*
3810-8-19NoNo00193753100.018,173,104*
379-10-18NoNo00053163100.014,682,040*
369-9-19NoNo00032572100.011,650,499*
359-8-20NoNo0011980100.09,086,975*
348-10-19NoNo0011486100.06,956,929*
338-9-20NoNo001090Yes5,234,544*
328-8-21NoNo00793Yes3,860,842*
317-10-20NoNo00496Yes2,793,067*
307-9-21NoNo00397Yes1,982,107*
297-8-22NoNo0298Yes1,375,554*
286-10-21NoNo0199Yes936,554*
276-9-22NoNo0199Yes623,729*
266-8-23NoNo0100Yes406,513*
255-10-22NoNo0100Yes258,705*
245-9-23NoNo0100Yes161,605*
235-8-24NoNo0100Yes97,051*
224-10-23NoNo0100Yes57,794*
214-9-24NoNo0100Yes33,367*
204-8-25NoNo0100Yes18,544*
194-7-26NoNo0100Yes10,118*
0-18NoNo100Yes176,395*
Total:3.5%24.4%3444445555555556666724.6%1,334,628,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship