"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro 2 Sport Recife 0 -0.3
-8.8
+2.9
-1.0
Corinthians 0 Vitoria 1 +0.1
-0.1
+0.4
Gremio 0 Atletico-PR 0 +0.4
Coritiba 0 Santos 0 +0.3
*-0.1
Flamengo 2 Atletico-GO 0 -0.9
-0.1
-0.1
Palmeiras 0 Chapecoense 2 +0.3
+0.3
Ponte Preta 2 Botafogo 1 +0.2
+0.2
Avai 1 Sao Paulo 1 *+0.1
-0.2
Bahia 3 Vasco da Gama 0 *+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs Corinthians+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Atletico-MG-0.2+0.4-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Sport Recife-0.2-0.1+0.3
-7.7-3.0+9.6
+3.9+0.8-4.4
-1.0-0.3+1.3
Corinthians vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Cruzeiro vs Santos-0.2+0.4*-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo-0.7+0.4+0.5
-0.4-0.1+0.4
Flamengo vs Atletico-PR-0.3+0.5*-0.1
Bahia vs Botafogo*+0.0+0.4-0.3
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Avai vs Chapecoense+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Atletico-MG-0.1+0.5-0.2
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8017-0-096.3%Yes964No1,039
7816-1-0YesYes100No5
7716-0-175.0Yes7525No8
7615-2-077.4Yes7723No31
7515-1-182.5Yes8317No103
7414-3-078.0Yes7822No182*
7314-2-167.9Yes68320No474
7214-1-260.2Yes60382No944*
7113-3-150.7Yes51472No1,777*
7013-2-241.9Yes425350No3,819*
6913-1-333.6Yes345880No6,257*
6812-3-225.4Yes25601410No11,153*
6712-2-317.0Yes17612110No19,078*
6611-4-211.4Yes115729400No29,432*
6511-3-36.9Yes74936700No45,937*
6411-2-43.7Yes439431210No68,485*
6310-4-31.6100.0%2294621300No97,309*
6210-3-40.7100.01184330710No134,974*
6110-2-50.299.8010363714200No181,158*
609-4-40.099.1052539247100No234,452*
599-3-50.096.602143432143000No296,307*
588-5-40.089.70062335259200No360,476*
578-4-5No75.002122932186100No421,643*
568-3-6No52.7004173128144100No484,636*
557-5-5No28.40017203125123000No535,907*
547-4-6No10.70029223023113000No572,558*
537-3-7No2.6000210233022103000No598,145*
526-5-6No0.3000310232922102000No601,404*
516-4-7No0.00003102329221020000.0%585,956*
506-3-8No0.00003102329221030000.0555,629*
495-5-7NoNo0003102229221020000.3507,292*
485-4-8NoNo000310233022920002.3446,723*
475-3-9NoNo00031124302181009.7383,863*
464-5-8NoNo00031326311961026.0315,555*
454-4-9NoNo0014163030153049.2250,136*
444-3-10NoNo00162134279171.7191,677*
433-5-9NoNo00211283620387.2140,503*
423-4-10NoNo004183832795.398,734*
413-3-11NoNo0011032431498.566,845*
402-5-10NoNo00423482499.743,090*
392-4-11NoNo00214493699.926,128*
382-3-12NoNo184448Yes15,133*
371-5-11NoNo043758Yes8,174*
361-4-12NoNo12969Yes4,187*
351-3-13NoNo12475Yes1,903*
341-2-14NoNo01585Yes825*
330-4-13NoNo01288Yes291*
320-3-14NoNo892Yes119*
310-2-15NoNo991Yes22
300-1-16NoNo100Yes4
290-0-17NoNo199Yes1,038
Total:0.3%26.9%024677777776665443219.3%8,351,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship