"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Chapecoense7320-13-521Yes+51.1Yes1001.0+0.51No1Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
America-MG7320-13-520No-51.1Yes1002.0-0.51No2America Futebol Clube-MG
Juventude6117-10-1110NoYes+38.21003.0+1.33No3Esporte Clube Juventude
Cuiaba6117-10-118NoYes1004.0-0.86No4Cuiaba Esporte Clube
CSA5816-10-1213NoNo-29.21005.0+0.11No8Centro Sportivo Alagoano
Sampaio Correa5717-6-1511NoNo1006.0+1.18No12Sampaio Correa Futebol Clube
Ponte Preta5716-9-135NoNo1007.0+0.71No7Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Operario-PR5715-12-116NoNo1008.0+0.11No5Operario Ferroviario Esporte Clube
Avai5516-7-15-4NoNo-9.01009.0-2.58No10Avai Futebol Clube
CRB5215-7-162NoNo10010.0+0.89No11Clube de Regatas Brasil
Cruzeiro4914-13-117NoNo10011.0+0.82No6Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Brasil de Pelotas4911-16-11-2NoNo10012.0-0.53No9Gremio Esportivo Brasil
Guarani4813-9-16-7NoNo10013.0-0.65No13Guarani Futebol Clube
Vitoria4811-15-120NoNo10014.0+1.00No14Esporte Clube Vitoria
Confianca4612-10-16-8NoNo10015.0-1.29No15Associacao Desportiva Confianca
Nautico4410-14-14-7NoNo10016.0-0.24No16Clube Nautico Capibaribe
Figueirense399-12-17-14NoNo10017.0+0.14Yes17Figueirense Futebol Clube
Parana379-10-19-17NoNo10018.0+0.09Yes18Parana Clube
Botafogo-SP348-10-20-13NoNo10019.0-0.24Yes19Botafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Oeste297-8-23-31NoNo10020.0Yes20Oeste Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/15
Chapecoense 1 Ponte Preta 0
5:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+23.4
+0.2
America-MG-23.4
-0.2
Ponte Preta-5.4
-1.0
Vitoria 0 Chapecoense 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense-7.8
America-MG+7.8
Vitoria+6.2
-0.3
Figueirense-2.4
Brasil de Pelotas 0 America-MG 0
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+7.2
America-MG-7.2
Brasil de PelotasNo
-0.4
America-MG 1 Botafogo-SP 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+5.6
America-MG-5.6
CuiabaNo
Botafogo-SP+3.6
-0.2
Botafogo-SP 1 CSA 3
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude-11.7
-0.2
CSA+21.4
+0.8
CRBNo
Brasil de PelotasNo
Botafogo-SP+5.3
-0.4
Juventude 1 Cruzeiro 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude+20.0
+0.8
CSA-9.4
-0.2
CruzeiroNo
+0.5
-1.1
ConfiancaNo
Avai 5 Juventude 2
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude-19.8
-0.6
CSA+8.2
Sampaio Correa+0.3
-0.2
Avai+4.4
+1.4
Guarani+0.5
CSA 1 Avai 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude+3.9
CSA-5.1
Avai-3.3
-0.3
Parana 0 Cuiaba 2
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba+5.7
+0.2
Parana+13.3
-0.5
Ponte Preta 2 Nautico 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta+4.1
+1.3
Nautico+15.1
-0.6
Figueirense-5.9
+0.2
Cruzeiro 2 Operario-PR 1
9:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CruzeiroNo
+0.9
Figueirense 3 Brasil de Pelotas 0
5:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas-1.5
-1.2
Vitoria+6.5
Figueirense-19.2
+0.7
OesteYes
Confianca 0 Sampaio Correa 1
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa+0.8
+1.4
Confianca+0.1
-1.0
Sampaio Correa 2 Parana 1
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio CorreaNo
+1.4
Guarani*No
-0.2
Vitoria-5.1
Parana+16.2
-0.6
Guarani 1 Vitoria 2
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
GuaraniNo
-1.1
Vitoria-20.8
+0.7
Nautico+6.6
-0.2
Figueirense+9.4
-0.2
CRB 5 Figueirense 1
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRBNo
+1.4
Brasil de PelotasNo
-0.2
Vitoria-7.2
+0.2
Nautico-6.2
+0.2
Figueirense+19.8
-0.6
Nautico 4 Oeste 1
7:15 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria+6.0
-0.2
Nautico-19.4
+0.6
Figueirense+9.2
-0.2
Week of 1/22
Operario-PR 2 Chapecoense 0
5:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense-24.4
-0.2
America-MG+24.4
+0.2
Confianca 0 America-MG 0
4:15 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+4.3
America-MG-4.3
Juventude 2 Figueirense 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude+25.0
+0.7
Cuiaba-0.5
CSA-19.5
-0.2
Sampaio CorreaNo
Ponte PretaNo
Operario-PRNo
Vitoria-11.1
Nautico-8.4
Figueirense+20.7
-0.5
CSA 1 Brasil de Pelotas 1
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude+7.8
CuiabaYes
CSA-9.7
Sampaio Correa+0.3
Ponte Preta-0.1
Operario-PRNo
Avai+2.0
Brasil de Pelotas-0.2
Avai 2 Guarani 1
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai+5.6
+1.2
Guarani-1.2
Cuiaba 1 Sampaio Correa 3
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba-0.5
Sampaio Correa+2.5
+1.3
Cruzeiro 0 Nautico 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
NauticoNo
Vitoria 1 Botafogo-SP 0
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
VitoriaNo
+0.5
FigueirenseYes
Oeste 1 Parana 0
7:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ParanaYes
-0.4
Ponte Preta 3 CRB 1
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB-1.1
Week of 1/29
Chapecoense 3 Confianca 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+31.5
+0.3
America-MG-31.5
-0.3
America-MG 2 Avai 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense-30.5
-0.3
America-MG+30.5
+0.3
Juventude+5.5
AvaiNo
-1.0
Guarani 0 Juventude 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
JuventudeYes
+0.7
CSANo
-0.3
AvaiNo
Nautico 1 CSA 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude+0.2
CSA-5.6
Avai+5.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.