Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Portuguesa8123-12-344YesYes1001.0No1Associacao Portuguesa de Desportos
Nautico6417-13-810NoYes1002.0+0.38No2Clube Nautico Capibaribe
Ponte Preta6317-12-918NoYes1003.0-0.38No3Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Sport Recife6117-10-1118NoYes+57.61004.0+1.06No6Sport Club do Recife
Vitoria6017-9-1213NoNo-15.21005.0+0.89No9Esporte Clube Vitoria
Bragantino5816-10-1212NoNo-31.21006.0-0.70No4Clube Atletico Bragantino
Boa Esporte5716-9-134NoNo-9.11007.0-0.40No8Boa Esporte Clube
Americana5615-11-12-5NoNo-2.11008.0-0.85No7Americana Futebol
Gremio Barueri5315-8-15-5NoNo1009.0+1.00No12Gremio Barueri Futebol Ltda
ABC5313-14-11-1NoNo10010.0+2.89No-0.85ABC Futebol Clube
Goias5216-4-18-6NoNo10011.0-1.24No15Goias Esporte Clube
Guarani5215-7-163NoNo10012.0+1.38No-1.314Guarani Futebol Clube
Parana5214-10-144NoNo10013.0+0.73No-2.211Parana Clube
Criciuma5113-12-130NoNo10014.0-2.76No13Criciuma Esporte Clube
Sao Caetano5112-15-116NoNo10015.0+0.24No-23.910Associacao Desportiva Sao Caetano
ASA4813-9-16-10NoNo10016.0-1.30No-12.317Agremiacao Sportiva Arapiraquense
Icasa4711-14-13-3NoNo10017.0-0.94Yes+40.516Associacao Desportiva Recreativa Cultural Icasa
Vila Nova327-11-20-19NoNo10018.0Yes18Vila Nova Futebol Clube
Salgueiro268-5-25-31NoNo10019.0Yes19Salgueiro Atletico Clube
Duque de Caxias172-11-25-52NoNo10020.0Yes20Duque de Caxias Futebol Clube

O Salgueiro foi punido pelo STJD com a perda de 3 pontos, por utilizar de forma irregular, o meio-campo Josa, na partida contra a Portuguesa em 7/10/2011.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/11
Bragantino 4 Goias 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria-6.2
Bragantino+25.9
+1.1
Gremio BarueriNo
ABCNo
GoiasNo
-1.3
Guarani*No
ParanaNo
Vitoria 3 Criciuma 1
4:20 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria+23.2
+1.2
Bragantino-6.4
Gremio BarueriNo
ABCNo
ParanaNo
CriciumaNo
-1.2
Sport Recife 4 Americana 0
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+12.0
+1.5
Americana-10.9
-1.2
Ponte Preta 1 Boa Esporte 2
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta-7.1
-0.4
Boa Esporte+3.2
No
+1.4
Sao Caetano 0 Nautico 0
4:20 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma*No
Sao Caetano+4.2
-0.4
ASA-1.5
Gremio Barueri 1 ABC 3
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio BarueriNo
+1.3
-1.3
ABC-2.3
+1.5
Parana 3 Guarani 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani*No
+3.4
-1.3
Parana-3.7
+1.5
ASA 2 Duque de Caxias 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Caetano+10.4
-0.2
ASA-25.4
+0.8
Icasa+7.2
-0.2
Icasa 1 Salgueiro 0
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Caetano+5.8
-0.2
ASA+10.8
-0.2
Icasa-20.3
+0.9
Week of 11/19
Bragantino 0 ASA 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
NauticoYes
Ponte Preta+6.8
+0.2
Sport Recife+6.1
+0.2
Vitoria+9.6
+0.2
Bragantino-25.1
-0.7
Guarani+5.6
-0.2
Sao Caetano+9.4
-0.2
ASA-23.9
+1.2
Icasa+5.8
-0.2
Vitoria 1 Sao Caetano 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
NauticoYes
Ponte Preta+7.4
+0.2
Vitoria-23.4
-0.7
Bragantino+10.4
+0.2
Guarani+5.7
-0.2
Sao Caetano-30.4
+1.1
ASA+11.5
-0.2
Icasa+9.8
-0.2
Ponte Preta 4 ABC 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta+20.5
+0.7
Vitoria-9.2
-0.2
Bragantino-6.7
-0.2
ABC-1.2
Sport Recife 3 Parana 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+17.7
+1.1
Vitoria-6.1
-0.2
Bragantino-6.5
-0.2
Parana-1.2
Boa Esporte 2 Nautico 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico-0.3
-0.2
Boa Esporte+3.9
+1.2
Americana 2 Vila Nova 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Americana+1.6
+1.2
Salgueiro 1 Guarani 4
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani-9.8
+1.3
Criciuma 1 Gremio Barueri 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio Barueri-4.4
+1.6
Criciuma-1.2
Goias 0 Icasa 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias-0.3
Icasa+1.9
-0.5
Week of 11/25
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+48.3
+1.0
VitoriaNo
-0.3
Bragantino-21.9
-0.3
Boa EsporteNo
-0.2
AmericanaNo
Parana 1 Bragantino 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+10.7
+0.3
Vitoria+10.0
+0.3
Bragantino-29.6
-1.0
Boa Esporte+5.6
Americana+3.4
+0.2
ABC+0.5
-0.3
Guarani+0.8
-0.3
ParanaNo
+1.6
ASA 1 Vitoria 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife-8.0
-0.3
Vitoria+23.2
+1.1
Boa EsporteNo
-0.3
AmericanaNo
-0.2
ABCNo
+0.2
GuaraniNo
+0.2
ParanaNo
+0.2
ASA+11.2
-1.3
Duque de Caxias 2 Boa Esporte 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+4.9
+0.2
Boa EsporteNo
-0.7
Americana+1.3
ABC 3 Americana 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
AmericanaNo
-0.9
ABCNo
+1.9
Icasa 0 Portuguesa 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ABCNo
GuaraniNo
ParanaNo
Sao CaetanoNo
+0.3
ASANo
+0.2
IcasaYes
-0.9
Sao Caetano 1 Criciuma 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ABC+1.3
-0.2
Guarani+2.1
-0.2
Parana+3.6
-0.2
Criciuma-1.3
Sao CaetanoNo
+1.7
ASA+11.0
Icasa+5.9
-0.3
Guarani 2 Goias 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ABC+0.5
GuaraniNo
+1.6
Gremio Barueri 2 Salgueiro 1
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio Barueri+1.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.