How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 +2.9
+10.4
-0.8
+0.9
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -1.7
*+0.2
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 -1.1
-2.5
-0.2
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.5
*+0.2
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -0.3
-1.1
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 +0.3
+0.5
+0.0
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 +0.2
Bahia 1 CRB 1 *+0.2
*+0.2
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 +0.5
+0.0
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.4
Tombense 1 Criciuma 0 -0.3
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 *+0.3
CRB 1 Brusque 1 *+0.3
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 *+0.2
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Ponte Preta+3.2-1.1-2.5
+10.4-2.5-8.8
-0.4-0.0+0.4
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Chapecoense vs Gremio-2.5-1.1+3.2
-8.8-2.5+10.4
+0.4-0.0-0.4
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Cruzeiro vs Bahia-1.4+0.6+1.0
+0.8+0.3-1.1
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.4+0.2-0.5
+1.0+0.4-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.7+0.6+0.4
Operario-PR vs Tombense+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7+0.5-0.9
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.9+0.4+0.7
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.6-0.4
CRB vs Novorizontino*-0.0+0.5-0.3
Criciuma vs CSA-0.5+0.3+0.3
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.1+0.2-0.2
Guarani vs Brusque+0.2+0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
85-90YesYes100No14,412*
8416-3-099.6%Yes1000No512*
8316-2-199.5Yes991No1,338
8216-1-299.4Yes991No2,878*
8115-3-199.1Yes991No5,742*
8015-2-298.2Yes982No12,233*
7915-1-397.4Yes973No22,415*
7814-3-295.9Yes9640No41,306*
7714-2-393.9Yes9460No73,764*
7613-4-291.3Yes9190No120,786*
7513-3-388.0Yes88120No200,882*
7413-2-483.4Yes831600No316,950*
7312-4-378.1Yes782100No478,655*
7212-3-471.5Yes722710No712,278*
7111-5-364.1100.0%6434200No1,021,208*
7011-4-455.7100.05641400No1,408,323*
6911-3-546.7100.04747600No1,905,002*
6810-5-437.5100.038521010No2,486,804*
6710-4-528.7100.0295416100No3,156,919*
6610-3-620.599.9215423300No3,905,162*
659-5-513.799.71450305000No4,676,333*
649-4-68.399.184338101000No5,447,443*
639-3-74.597.643442172000No6,197,553*
628-5-62.194.122443255000No6,818,863*
618-4-70.887.11143834112000No7,307,130*
608-3-80.375.2072938205000No7,626,449*
597-5-70.158.303193729112000No7,716,241*
587-4-80.038.701928352061000No7,597,302*
576-6-70.020.9004173229143000No7,274,307*
566-5-80.08.60018233324102000No6,749,604*
556-4-9No2.50021126312071000No6,085,619*
545-6-8No0.500041428291861000No5,322,347*
535-5-9No0.10001516282816510000No4,510,360*
525-4-10No0.000161728271551000No3,697,060*
514-6-9No0.000016182827155100No2,941,972*
504-5-10NoNo001618282614410000.0%2,253,928*
494-4-11NoNo0001718282614410000.11,668,189*
483-6-10NoNo000171829261441000.61,191,354*
473-5-11NoNo000271929261330003.8817,552*
463-4-12NoNo00282130251120013.7538,209*
453-3-13NoNo0021024312381032.5339,907*
442-5-12NoNo0003132732195056.2204,086*
432-4-13NoNo001518323013276.6116,627*
422-3-14NoNo0019253623589.864,063*
411-5-13NoNo0031535351196.432,201*
401-4-14NoNo01828422098.815,388*
391-3-15NoNo0319463199.86,686*
381-2-16NoNo01114444100.02,726*
370-4-15NoNo053757Yes1,006*
360-3-16NoNo32969Yes315*
350-2-17NoNo12672Yes87
340-1-18NoNo1189Yes18
330-0-19NoNo01090Yes14,066
Total:7.2%53.2%7161614119754322111000000.5%113,122,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship