How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.6
+5.3
-5.0
+1.2
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 -0.4
-5.3
+3.1
-1.0
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -0.3
-0.2
+0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 *+0.1
*+0.2
*-0.1
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -0.1
-0.6
-0.4
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 *-0.1
*+0.0
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 +0.3
Bahia 1 CRB 1 +0.5
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 -0.2
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 *+0.2
-0.2
*+0.0
Tombense 1 Criciuma 0 -0.2
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.2
CRB 1 Brusque 1 *+0.2
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 *+0.1
*-0.1
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 *-0.2
*+0.1
Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 *-0.1
Vila Nova 1 CSA 2 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife+0.4-0.2-0.3
+5.5-1.7-4.5
-4.3+0.7+3.9
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Cruzeiro vs Bahia-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Gremio vs Ponte Preta-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Operario-PR vs Tombense+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Criciuma vs CSA-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
CRB vs Novorizontino*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Guarani vs Brusque+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sampaio Correa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8219-0-099.7%Yes1000No14,067
8018-1-093.8Yes946No16
7918-0-1YesYes100No17
7817-2-095.9Yes964No74
7717-1-198.7Yes991No239
7616-3-094.8Yes955No484*
7516-2-192.3Yes9280No1,331
7416-1-290.1Yes90100No2,860*
7315-3-184.2Yes84160No5,797*
7215-2-278.3Yes782100No12,299*
7115-1-371.3Yes712810No22,404*
7014-3-263.8Yes643420No40,844*
6914-2-354.9Yes554140No73,570*
6813-4-245.2100.0%4547800No121,235*
6713-3-335.7100.036511310No200,591*
6613-2-426.299.9265219200No316,377*
6512-4-318.199.7185027500No477,523*
6412-3-411.499.11145349100No713,129*
6311-5-36.397.76364015200No1,018,341*
6211-4-43.194.332642235000No1,405,503*
6111-3-51.387.71163832111000No1,905,118*
6010-5-40.476.5093037194000No2,488,907*
5910-4-50.160.504203628102000No3,152,166*
5810-3-60.041.501112934195100No3,902,497*
579-5-50.023.5004193428122000No4,674,941*
569-4-60.010.4001925332271000No5,453,631*
559-3-7No3.40031429311751000No6,191,887*
548-5-6No0.70015183127133100No6,821,794*
538-4-7No0.10018213125113000No7,306,179*
528-3-8No0.000021023302292000No7,628,815*
517-5-7No0.0000031125302182000No7,722,056*
507-4-8NoNo000312252920820000.0%7,600,471*
496-6-7NoNo00014132629197100000.07,278,585*
486-5-8NoNo0001414262918610000.16,751,251*
476-4-9NoNo00001515272817610001.16,083,288*
465-6-8NoNo000161728281551005.25,325,144*
455-5-9NoNo000171930271330016.54,505,367*
445-4-10NoNo00028223224102036.03,699,576*
434-6-9NoNo0003112632206159.12,938,335*
424-5-10NoNo001416323114278.62,251,831*
414-4-11NoNo00018243725590.81,668,876*
403-6-10NoNo00031535361296.81,191,812*
393-5-11NoNo001727432199.0818,192*
383-4-12NoNo00319453399.8537,376*
373-3-13NoNo00111424699.9340,067*
362-5-12NoNo0063559100.0204,580*
352-4-13NoNo0032870100.0117,477*
342-3-14NoNo012079Yes63,132*
331-5-13NoNo011486Yes32,238*
321-4-14NoNo0991Yes15,477*
311-3-15NoNo0694Yes6,675*
300-5-14NoNo0397Yes2,720*
290-4-15NoNo298Yes943*
280-3-16NoNo298Yes301*
26-27NoNo100Yes89*
250-0-19NoNo0100Yes14,065
Total:0.6%11.8%124567888777665443219.5%113,122,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship