How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa 0 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.1
+0.7
+0.1
Oeste 1 America-MG 1 +0.1
Cuiaba 2 Avai 1 -0.3
-0.0
Cruzeiro 1 Confianca 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
CSA vs Ponte Preta+0.9-0.3-0.7
+8.4-2.4-6.8
-0.8+0.0+0.8
+1.2-0.3-1.0
CRB vs CSA-0.7-0.3+0.9
-6.4-2.4+8.0
+0.8+0.0-0.8
-1.0-0.2+1.2
Guarani vs Chapecoense+0.3+0.1-0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Chapecoense vs Cuiaba-0.3+0.1+0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Cruzeiro-0.2+0.0+0.1
-0.8+0.2+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.6-0.4
Botafogo-SP vs Juventude+0.7+0.3-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Nautico-0.9+0.3+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Avai vs Oeste-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Confianca vs Figueirense-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs CRB+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nautico vs Guarani+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA vs America-MG+1.0-0.4-0.8
+8.4-2.6-6.8
-0.8+0.0+0.8
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Confianca vs CSA-0.7-0.3+0.9
-6.6-2.4+8.1
+0.8+0.0-0.8
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Avai vs Chapecoense+0.3+0.1-0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Chapecoense+0.3+0.1-0.3
-0.6+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.5-0.3
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP-0.1+0.0+0.1
-1.0+0.3+0.9
-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cuiaba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.0+0.1
-1.0+0.3+0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.8+0.5+0.5
Juventude vs Oeste-0.9+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Ponte Preta+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Parana-0.7+0.3+0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Avai+0.3+0.4-0.5
Vitoria vs Confianca+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CRB vs Cruzeiro-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Oeste vs Guarani+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.2-0.0
Nautico vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.2
Parana vs Figueirense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Figueirense vs Nautico+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the CSA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7915-0-098.9%Yes991No563,211
7714-1-097.0Yes9730No21,577
7614-0-195.2Yes9550No33,449
7513-2-092.9Yes9370No93,710
7413-1-189.7Yes90100No298,041
7312-3-085.5Yes851400No492,433*
7212-2-180.0Yes802000No1,223,369
7112-1-273.1100.0%7326100No2,420,219*
7011-3-165.0100.06533200No4,106,118*
6911-2-255.4100.05540400No8,006,424*
6811-1-345.0100.045478000No13,103,080*
6710-3-234.5100.0345113100No20,753,210*
6610-2-324.399.92452213000No33,641,781*
659-4-215.599.51548306100No48,653,289*
649-3-38.898.394037122000No69,735,608*
639-2-44.295.0429412150000No98,013,653*
628-4-31.787.72183830112000No127,574,474*
618-3-40.574.91929362051000No164,332,184*
608-2-50.155.803183429122000No204,710,782*
597-4-40.034.6018253423710000No240,856,759*
587-3-50.016.80031430311751000No279,007,578*
577-2-60.06.000151932281230000No161,299,548
6-5-40.05.700151832281330000No149,745,275*
566-4-50.01.500018233224920000No225,057,722
7-1-70.01.3000182232251020000No105,677,327*
556-3-6No0.200021126322171000No237,600,480
5-6-4No0.200021025322282000No106,865,604*
545-5-5No0.0000031327311861000No170,514,335
6-2-7No0.0000031328311861000No174,144,641*
535-4-6No0.0000141629291641000No330,007,777*
525-3-7No0.00001618312813300000.0%308,213,268*
514-5-6No0.00000172132261120000.0142,097,038
5-2-8NoNo000172132261120000.0133,867,718*
504-4-7NoNo000029243223810000.0236,381,401*
494-3-8NoNo000031228321951000.0196,546,139*
483-5-7NoNo000141631311430000.2156,153,632*
473-4-8NoNo0001722342691001.2118,178,951*
463-3-9NoNo00021128351940004.586,361,633*
452-5-8NoNo000041735311110012.359,903,856*
442-4-9NoNo0001827382140025.839,214,989*
432-3-10NoNo0003163732101043.824,583,404*
422-2-11NoNo00182939203062.214,462,209*
411-4-10NoNo00031940307077.87,872,001*
401-3-11NoNo00110343915188.74,033,983*
391-2-12NoNo005254424195.01,897,361*
380-4-11NoNo02164336498.1785,021*
370-3-12NoNo0193747799.4291,501*
360-2-13NoNo0429551299.994,171
350-1-14NoNo02206019100.021,050
340-0-15NoNo01125928100.0563,176
Total:1.2%17.7%146789999887543210001.2%4,510,076,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship