"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPITuesday
Bragantino42112-6-42045.0%-0.385.4%-0.2452112853221100000000002.5-0.010.0%+0.02LondrinaClube Atletico Bragantino
Atletico-GO38110-8-4915.5-0.160.0-0.31518151297654321110000004.5-0.020.2-0.03at CriciumaAtletico Clube Goianiense
Sport Recife3819-11-21114.7-0.158.5-0.315171512108654322110000004.6-0.020.3-0.01America-MGSport Club do Recife
Coritiba3419-7-685.1-0.032.3-0.358910109887654332111007.0-0.021.8-0.06CRBCoritiba Football Club
Operario-PRWPonte Preta 2-13510-5-8-44.4+1.730.1+8.747910109987654332110007.1+1.261.6-2.37Operario Ferroviario Esporte Clube
CRB33110-3-924.1-0.028.1-0.3478999987665432211007.4-0.012.3-0.08at CoritibaClube de Regatas Brasil
Parana3318-9-5-13.2-0.024.2-0.3367899888765443211008.0-0.023.1-0.04at GuaraniParana Clube
Botafogo-SP3219-5-8-12.7-0.021.5-0.2356788888776543321108.4-0.023.8-0.09at Vila NovaBotafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Cuiaba3218-8-642.4-0.019.9-0.3246788888776544321108.6-0.024.3+0.05OesteCuiaba Esporte Clube
Ponte PretaLOperario-PR 1-2318-7-820.9-0.910.2-6.01234567788887765432110.4-1.098.9+2.910Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
America-MG2917-8-7-20.7-0.08.5-0.21234456778888766543111.0-0.0112.3+0.012at Sport RecifeAmerica Futebol Clube-MG
Londrina2818-4-10-20.5-0.07.0-0.11123456677888776543211.4-0.0114.6-0.013at BragantinoLondrina Esporte Clube
Brasil de Pelotas2818-4-10-60.5-0.06.9-0.10123455677888876543211.5-0.0114.8-0.015FigueirenseGremio Esportivo Brasil
Oeste2615-11-610.1-0.02.6-0.10011223455678899987513.5-0.0128.5-0.011at CuiabaOeste Futebol Clube
Vitoria2416-6-10-80.1-0.01.5-0.000011223345678910101010814.639.0-0.117at Sao BentoEsporte Clube Vitoria
Vila Nova2415-9-8-50.11.3-0.000011122345678910101111914.941.2-0.114Botafogo-SPVila Nova Futebol Clube
Criciuma2315-8-9-70.00.8-0.0000011123345678101112131315.547.8-0.016Atletico-GOCriciuma Esporte Clube
Guarani2216-4-12-80.0-0.00.6-0.0000011122344678101113141515.852.2-0.120ParanaGuarani Futebol Clube
Figueirense2214-10-8-50.00.5-0.000000111223456891113151716.256.6-0.119at Brasil de PelotasFigueirense Futebol Clube
Sao Bento2015-5-12-80.00.2-0.000000011122345681013172617.066.8-0.118VitoriaEsporte Clube Sao Bento

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/14
Figueirense 1 Sport Recife 2
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino-1.9
-0.6
Atletico-GO-0.8
-1.2
Sport Recife+4.6
+10.9
-0.6
+1.0
Coritiba-0.3
-1.2
Operario-PR-0.2
-0.9
-0.2
CRB-0.3
-1.1
Parana-0.2
-1.0
-0.2
Botafogo-SP-0.2
-0.9
-0.2
Cuiaba-0.2
-0.9
-0.2
Ponte Preta-0.7
-0.3
America-MG-0.4
-0.5
Londrina-0.4
-0.6
Brasil de Pelotas-0.4
-0.6
Oeste-0.2
-0.8
Vitoria-1.0
Vila Nova-0.9
Criciuma-0.9
Guarani-1.0
Figueirense-0.7
+9.2
-0.9
Sao Bento-0.9
Londrina 2 Coritiba 1
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino+1.0
+0.4
Atletico-GO+0.5
+0.7
Sport Recife+0.4
+0.8
Coritiba-3.1
-9.0
+0.8
-0.9
Operario-PR+0.5
+0.2
CRB+0.6
Parana+0.2
+0.7
Botafogo-SP+0.5
+0.2
Cuiaba+0.2
+0.6
+0.2
Ponte Preta+0.4
+0.2
America-MG+0.3
+0.4
Londrina+0.3
+2.9
-8.2
+1.2
Brasil de Pelotas+0.2
+0.5
Oeste+0.8
Vitoria+0.8
Vila Nova+0.8
Criciuma+0.9
Guarani+0.7
Figueirense+0.8
Sao Bento+0.7
Operario-PR 2 Ponte Preta 1
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino-0.3
-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.3
Sport Recife-0.3
Coritiba-0.3
Operario-PR+1.7
+8.8
-2.3
+1.3
CRB-0.3
Parana-0.3
Botafogo-SP-0.2
Cuiaba-0.3
Ponte Preta-0.9
-6.0
+3.0
-1.1
Parana 0 Cuiaba 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino+0.6
+0.4
Atletico-GO+0.3
+0.7
Sport Recife+0.2
+0.7
Coritiba+0.2
+0.7
Operario-PR+0.5
CRB+0.5
Parana-0.9
-2.8
+0.1
-0.3
Botafogo-SP+0.4
Cuiaba-0.7
-2.6
+0.3
-0.3
Ponte Preta+0.4
America-MG+0.3
Brasil de Pelotas+0.2
Vitoria 0 Guarani 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO+0.2
America-MG+0.2
Londrina+0.2
Brasil de Pelotas+0.2
Oeste+0.2
Vitoria-1.4
+9.1
-1.0
Vila Nova+0.2
Criciuma+0.3
Guarani+0.3
-11.3
+0.9
Figueirense+0.2
Sao Bento+0.2
Bragantino vs LondrinaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino55.442.136.3
91.884.279.7
2.02.63.0
Londrina0.10.31.0
3.85.511.1
20.015.88.4
12.511.810.2
Criciuma vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO10.513.521.7
50.957.370.8
0.40.20.0
5.24.73.7
Criciuma1.60.50.3
36.750.957.1
14.415.816.3
Sport Recife vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife20.712.99.8
69.756.348.7
0.00.20.5
3.84.85.4
America-MG0.20.51.3
4.66.813.4
17.213.36.8
12.111.49.7
Coritiba vs CRBHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba8.04.02.8
43.429.423.0
0.61.92.9
5.87.28.0
CRB2.23.36.6
19.325.438.6
3.72.50.9
8.57.76.2
Guarani vs ParanaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana1.72.55.2
17.121.533.1
5.03.11.1
9.08.26.8
Guarani1.20.40.2
40.755.261.7
14.816.116.7
Vila Nova vs Botafogo-SPHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP1.42.14.4
14.818.829.9
6.13.91.4
9.48.77.1
Vila Nova2.30.90.5
30.144.050.5
13.715.215.8
Cuiaba vs OesteHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba3.91.81.2
28.017.213.4
1.74.56.8
7.38.99.7
Oeste0.00.10.3
1.21.94.5
36.830.519.0
14.513.812.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas0.90.30.2
10.85.63.9
8.015.621.0
10.211.812.6
Figueirense0.20.30.9
66.459.644.8
17.016.515.2
Sao Bento vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria0.61.02.6
49.241.227.3
15.614.913.5
Sao Bento0.40.10.1
55.469.676.3
16.117.317.8
Week of 9/24
Figueirense vs BragantinoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino36.542.055.3
79.984.191.7
3.02.62.0
Figueirense0.90.30.2
45.459.765.7
15.316.517.0
Vitoria vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO10.513.421.8
50.857.370.8
0.40.20.0
5.34.73.7
Vitoria2.61.00.6
28.241.748.0
13.515.015.5
Londrina vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife9.812.820.7
48.956.169.6
0.50.20.0
5.44.83.8
Londrina1.00.30.2
11.25.53.6
8.415.820.1
10.211.812.5
Cuiaba vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba2.84.18.0
23.229.443.2
2.91.90.6
8.07.25.8
Cuiaba4.01.81.2
28.617.312.7
1.94.76.6
7.38.99.7
Botafogo-SP vs Operario-PRHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR2.33.47.0
21.027.141.0
2.71.70.5
8.27.45.9
Botafogo-SP4.52.11.3
30.518.914.0
1.64.05.8
7.18.79.4
Vila Nova vs CRBHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB2.33.36.5
20.325.337.7
3.8*2.40.8
8.57.76.3
Vila Nova2.30.90.5
30.144.050.5
13.715.215.8
Parana vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana5.22.51.7
33.521.616.6
1.23.24.9
6.78.29.0
Ponte Preta0.30.61.6
5.78.315.9
12.99.64.4
11.510.79.0
America-MG vs Brasil de PelotasHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG1.30.50.3
13.16.84.8
6.513.217.6
9.711.312.1
Brasil de Pelotas0.20.30.9
3.85.611.0
20.615.98.2
12.611.810.1
Oeste vs Sao BentoHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste0.30.10.0
4.41.91.3
18.430.137.6
12.313.814.6
Sao Bento0.10.10.4
76.169.855.6
17.817.316.2
Guarani vs CriciumaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma0.30.51.5
58.450.635.5
16.415.814.4
Guarani1.20.40.2
39.754.962.9
14.816.116.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.