Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPITuesday
FortalezaLAtletico-GO 0-1299-2-41123.6%-7.060.8%-7.82416121086544322111100004.6-0.650.7%+0.26Fortaleza Esporte Clube
CSA288-4-3817.9+0.653.2-0.61814121087654433221110005.3-0.041.1-0.04Centro Sportivo Alagoano
Vila Nova267-5-3510.5+0.440.2-0.5111110988766544332211006.6-0.042.6+0.01Brasil de PelotasVila Nova Futebol Clube
Avai257-4-4108.9+0.335.5-0.5999988776554433221107.1-0.053.3-0.08Atletico-GOAvai Futebol Clube
Atletico-GOWFortaleza 1-0257-4-438.6+2.935.2+7.8999988776554433221107.1+1.103.4-2.77at AvaiAtletico Clube Goianiense
Ponte PretaWSao Bento 2-0247-3-546.8+2.430.6+7.2788887776655443321107.7+1.144.6-3.45Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Coritiba236-5-424.9+0.224.3-0.4567777777666554332118.6-0.056.7-0.09Coritiba Football Club
Guarani236-5-444.7+0.224.2-0.4567777777665554332118.6-0.056.8+0.03FigueirenseGuarani Futebol Clube
Figueirense226-4-533.7+0.120.5-0.4456667777666655433219.2-0.058.6-0.012at GuaraniFigueirense Futebol Clube
Goias216-3-6-22.8+0.116.9-0.3345566667666665543219.9-0.0411.0-0.010Goias Esporte Clube
Oeste215-6-4-12.5+0.115.5-0.32445566667766665443110.2-0.0512.0-0.02Oeste Futebol Clube
CRB185-3-7-61.0+0.08.1-0.21223445556677777776312.1-0.0422.1-0.111Clube de Regatas Brasil
Juventude1713-8-3-11.1+0.08.2-0.21223344556677777776312.2-0.0423.1-0.014at Sampaio CorreaEsporte Clube Juventude
Paysandu174-5-6-50.7+0.05.9-0.11122334455667788887412.9-0.0327.9-0.116Paysandu Sport Club
Londrina174-5-6-50.7+0.05.8-0.11122334455667788887413.0-0.0328.0-0.115Londrina Esporte Clube
Sao BentoLPonte Preta 0-2173-8-4-20.6-0.45.3-3.01122334455667788988513.2-1.0229.5+6.418Esporte Clube Sao Bento
Sampaio Correa1514-3-7-20.6+0.05.5-0.11122334455667788898613.2-0.0330.5-0.013JuventudeSampaio Correa Futebol Clube
Brasil de Pelotas143-5-7-60.2+0.02.3-0.100111223344567891012131114.9-0.0245.2-0.119at Vila NovaGremio Esportivo Brasil
Criciuma133-4-8-50.1+0.01.7-0.100111122334456791012151315.4-0.0250.6-0.017Criciuma Esporte Clube
Boa Esporte71-4-10-150.00.2-0.00000000011112345711194618.282.3+0.020Boa Esporte Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/13
Fortaleza 0 Atletico-GO 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-6.7
-7.5
+0.3
-0.6
CSA+0.9
Vila Nova+0.6
-0.2
Avai+0.5
*-0.1
Atletico-GO+3.1
+8.4
-2.7
+1.1
Ponte Preta+0.3
Coritiba+0.3
Guarani+0.3
Figueirense+0.2
CSA 1 Sampaio Correa 0
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-1.1
-0.5
CSA+4.7
+9.5
-1.3
+1.0
Vila Nova-0.5
-0.6
Avai-0.5
-0.7
Atletico-GO-0.3
-0.5
Ponte Preta-0.3
-0.5
-0.2
Coritiba-0.3
-0.6
Guarani-0.3
-0.5
Figueirense-0.2
-0.4
-0.2
Goias-0.3
-0.3
Oeste-0.4
-0.3
CRB-0.5
Juventude-0.3
-0.4
Paysandu-0.2
-0.4
Londrina-0.4
Sao Bento-0.2
-0.3
Sampaio Correa-0.6
-3.3
+6.1
-1.0
Brasil de Pelotas-0.5
Criciuma-0.5
Boa Esporte-0.3
Sao Bento 0 Ponte Preta 2
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-0.5
-0.5
CSA-0.2
-0.4
Vila Nova-0.2
-0.4
Avai-0.4
Atletico-GO-0.4
Ponte Preta+2.1
+7.4
-3.5
+1.2
Coritiba-0.3
Guarani-0.3
Figueirense-0.3
Goias-0.3
CRB-0.2
Juventude-0.2
Paysandu-0.2
Londrina-0.2
Sao Bento-0.5
-3.1
+6.3
-1.0
Sampaio Correa-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas-0.3
Criciuma-0.3
Goias 2 Criciuma 1
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA-0.4
Vila Nova-0.4
Avai-0.3
Goias+1.0
+5.0
-6.3
+1.2
CRB*-0.1
Juventude-0.2
Paysandu-0.2
Londrina-0.2
Sampaio Correa-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas-0.2
Criciuma-0.2
-1.4
+8.1
-0.9
Brasil de Pelotas 1 Juventude 1
6:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova+0.2
Atletico-GO+0.2
CRB-0.3
Juventude-0.3
-1.4
+1.2
-0.3
Paysandu-0.3
Londrina-0.4
Sao Bento-0.3
Sampaio Correa-0.4
Brasil de Pelotas-0.7
+2.3
-0.3
Criciuma-0.4
Boa Esporte-0.2
Boa Esporte 0 CRB 1
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB+0.4
+2.8
-8.6
+1.1
Paysandu+0.2
Londrina+0.2
Sampaio Correa+0.2
Brasil de Pelotas+0.3
Criciuma+0.2
Boa Esporte-0.2
+6.4
-0.5
Avai vs Atletico-GOIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai12.87.75.8
45.033.027.6
1.63.64.9
6.07.48.0
Atletico-GO5.57.412.4
27.332.744.8
5.03.71.7
8.17.46.0
Vila Nova vs Brasil de PelotasHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova14.79.17.3
49.637.632.6
1.12.74.0
5.56.87.4
Brasil de Pelotas0.10.10.4
1.21.83.8
53.047.835.7
15.715.213.9
Guarani vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani7.13.92.9
32.221.917.8
3.77.29.5
7.48.99.6
Figueirense2.23.05.7
14.618.327.8
11.89.24.9
10.39.58.0
Sampaio Correa vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude0.60.81.8
5.36.911.9
29.824.415.7
13.212.511.0
Sampaio Correa1.10.50.3
8.24.53.3
22.032.337.9
12.113.514.2
Week of 7/20
CSA vs FortalezaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza16.721.631.6
52.458.770.6
1.00.70.2
5.34.73.7
CSA25.016.212.0
63.350.844.5
0.51.21.7
4.35.56.1
Fortaleza vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza31.021.617.3
70.658.652.5
0.20.71.1
3.74.75.3
Avai5.47.713.2
27.633.045.0
4.93.61.7
8.07.46.0
Atletico-GO vs CSAHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA12.716.124.3
44.550.863.3
1.71.20.5
6.15.44.3
Atletico-GO12.77.45.3
44.832.727.2
1.73.75.0
6.07.48.1
Figueirense vs Vila NovaHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova7.19.214.8
32.137.750.0
3.92.71.2
7.56.85.5
Figueirense5.83.12.1
27.918.314.5
5.09.211.8
8.09.510.2
Ponte Preta vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta9.85.84.4
39.328.123.5
2.34.96.7
6.68.08.7
Juventude0.60.81.8
5.17.012.0
29.324.616.0
13.212.511.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta4.55.79.8
23.827.939.0
6.74.92.3
8.68.06.6
Boa Esporte0.30.10.1
75.984.387.4
17.718.418.7
Goias vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba3.04.17.3
17.922.032.3
9.47.13.6
9.68.97.4
Goias4.42.31.6
23.415.011.7
6.611.814.8
8.710.210.9
Coritiba vs Sao BentoHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba7.24.03.1
32.022.018.1
3.57.19.6
7.48.99.6
Sao Bento0.30.41.0
3.14.48.1
36.731.321.2
14.113.512.0
Paysandu vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani3.03.97.0
18.121.832.0
9.77.13.6
9.68.97.4
Paysandu1.20.50.3
8.94.83.5
19.829.934.8
11.813.313.9
Sampaio Correa vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias1.72.24.3
12.014.923.1
15.111.76.4
10.910.28.7
Sampaio Correa1.10.50.3
8.34.53.3
22.232.437.6
12.113.514.2
Londrina vs OesteHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste1.42.03.8
10.813.621.4
16.512.77.1
11.210.59.0
Londrina1.10.50.3
8.84.83.5
19.829.935.0
11.813.313.9
Oeste vs PaysanduHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste3.81.91.4
21.413.610.8
7.112.816.5
8.910.511.2
Paysandu0.30.51.1
3.54.88.9
35.029.719.7
13.913.311.8
Juventude vs CRBHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB0.50.81.7
5.26.811.9
28.523.514.8
13.112.410.9
Juventude1.80.80.6
11.97.05.2
15.824.329.7
11.012.513.2
CRB vs CriciumaHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB1.70.80.5
11.86.95.2
14.723.428.7
10.912.413.1
Criciuma0.10.10.3
0.91.32.8
59.153.140.5
16.215.714.5
Sao Bento vs Sampaio CorreaHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento1.00.40.3
8.04.33.2
20.831.137.2
12.013.414.1
Sampaio Correa0.30.51.1
3.44.58.2
38.032.321.9
14.213.512.1
Criciuma vs LondrinaHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina0.30.51.1
3.64.78.7
35.429.619.5
13.913.311.8
Criciuma0.30.10.1
2.81.30.9
40.553.059.2
14.515.716.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Boa EsporteHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas0.40.10.1
3.71.81.3
35.347.553.5
13.915.215.8
Boa Esporte0.10.10.3
87.884.275.5
18.718.417.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.