Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI7/9
BragantinoWAmerica-MG 2-0196-1-11121.3%+4.655.5%+7.3211411976554332221111005.2+0.831.9%-1.62at ParanaClube Atletico Bragantino
Botafogo-SPLFigueirense 1-2165-1-2511.6-5.239.3-8.712109887665544333221117.0-0.924.8+1.39Brasil de PelotasBotafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Londrina165-1-2211.2-0.939.1-1.511109887665544333221117.0-0.134.9-0.03at Operario-PRLondrina Esporte Clube
Ponte Preta154-3-158.7-0.733.1-1.4998877666554443322117.8-0.136.7-0.01OesteAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Sport RecifeWCRB 1-0154-3-148.7+2.033.1+5.9998877666554443322117.8+0.996.7-3.75at Sao BentoSport Club do Recife
Atletico-GOWCuiaba 1-0144-2-227.1+1.728.9+5.4777777666555444332218.4+1.018.3-4.37Vila NovaAtletico Clube Goianiense
ParanaWOperario-PR 1-0133-4-115.3+1.323.7+4.8566666666665554443329.2+1.0411.1-5.26BragantinoParana Clube
FigueirenseWBotafogo-SP 2-1133-4-115.1+1.223.6+4.7566666666665554443329.2+1.0311.2-5.24at America-MGFigueirense Futebol Clube
CoritibaWGuarani 1-0123-3-224.2+1.120.3+4.2455666666666555544329.8+1.0413.5-5.88at CriciumaCoritiba Football Club
OesteWVitoria 3-0112-5-143.1+0.816.3+3.63445555666666665554310.6+1.0617.1-6.811at Ponte PretaOeste Futebol Clube
CRBLSport Recife 0-1103-1-4-12.6-1.714.4-5.73344555566666666655411.0-1.0519.4+4.213GuaraniClube de Regatas Brasil
Vila NovaWSao Bento 1-0102-4-202.3+0.613.4+3.02344555556666666665411.3+1.0320.6-7.310at Atletico-GOVila Nova Futebol Clube
Brasil de PelotasLCriciuma 0-193-0-5-32.0-1.411.9-5.12334445555666666666511.7-1.0422.9+4.618at Botafogo-SPGremio Esportivo Brasil
CriciumaWBrasil de Pelotas 1-092-3-3-21.8+0.511.2+2.62334445555666666666511.9+1.0224.2-7.816CoritibaCriciuma Esporte Clube
CuiabaLAtletico-GO 0-182-2-4-31.4-1.09.1-4.31233344555566677777712.5-1.0228.1+5.412at VitoriaCuiaba Esporte Clube
Sao BentoLVila Nova 0-172-1-5-41.1-0.87.4-3.71223334445566677888913.1-1.0032.3+5.814Sport RecifeEsporte Clube Sao Bento
Operario-PRLParana 0-172-1-5-41.1-0.87.4-3.81223334445566677888913.1-1.0032.3+5.815LondrinaOperario Ferroviario Esporte Clube
America-MGLBragantino 0-251-2-5-40.5-0.54.4-2.61112223334455678810111414.4-0.9443.0+6.817FigueirenseAmerica Futebol Clube-MG
GuaraniLCoritiba 0-151-2-5-50.6-0.54.4-2.61112223344455678810111414.4-0.9343.0+6.720at CRBGuarani Futebol Clube
VitoriaLOeste 0-341-1-6-110.4-0.43.4-2.20111222334455678910121715.0-0.9148.1+7.119CuiabaEsporte Clube Vitoria

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/9
Parana vs BragantinoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino16.319.627.4
48.053.564.2
2.82.11.0
6.05.44.4
Botafogo-SP11.911.911.0
*39.339.739.1
Londrina11.611.610.7
*39.139.438.9
Ponte Preta8.98.98.2
33.233.432.8
Sport Recife8.98.98.2
*33.133.532.9
Atletico-GO7.37.36.7
*29.029.328.7
8.4*8.38.3
Parana7.84.63.2
30.821.817.9
7.311.814.5
8.19.410.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de PelotasHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino20.721.621.7
55.055.855.7
Botafogo-SP15.510.38.4
47.737.132.3
2.75.16.7
6.07.27.8
Londrina10.911.511.4
38.739.439.3
4.8*4.95.0
Ponte Preta8.38.88.9
32.733.433.3
6.66.66.8
Sport Recife8.48.88.9
32.833.433.3
6.6*6.76.8
Atletico-GO6.87.27.3
28.629.229.1
8.2*8.38.5
Parana5.15.45.4
23.424.023.9
10.9*11.011.3
Coritiba4.04.34.3
20.020.520.4
13.4*13.413.7
Brasil de Pelotas1.11.73.1
8.310.616.4
28.324.316.5
12.611.910.5
Criciuma1.81.91.9
10.911.311.3
23.924.024.5
Sao Bento7.37.57.5
32.0*32.232.6
Operario-PR7.37.57.5
32.132.132.7
America-MG4.34.4*4.4
42.642.843.4
Guarani42.742.843.4
Vitoria3.33.53.4
47.847.948.5
Operario-PR vs LondrinaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino21.821.620.5
55.955.854.9
Botafogo-SP11.911.811.1
39.639.738.7
4.94.74.7
Londrina8.19.915.2
32.336.747.4
6.85.22.7
7.97.26.0
Ponte Preta8.98.88.3
33.433.432.6
6.86.66.6
Sport Recife8.98.88.3
33.433.432.7
6.8*6.66.6
Atletico-GO7.37.26.8
29.329.228.5
8.5*8.38.2
Parana5.45.45.1
23.923.923.3
11.3*11.010.9
Figueirense5.35.24.9
23.823.923.2
11.411.111.0
Coritiba4.34.34.0
20.520.519.9
13.813.413.3
CRB2.7*2.62.5
14.614.614.2
19.719.319.1
Vila Nova2.42.42.2
13.613.713.1
21.020.420.3
Brasil de Pelotas2.12.11.9
12.112.111.7
23.322.722.6
Criciuma1.91.91.8
11.311.210.9
24.624.023.9
Cuiaba1.51.51.3
9.39.28.9
28.5*28.027.7
Sao Bento7.57.57.2
32.832.131.9
Operario-PR1.70.80.6
10.66.44.8
24.834.038.8
12.013.414.0
America-MG4.44.54.3
43.542.842.6
Guarani4.54.54.3
43.542.842.6
Vitoria48.647.947.8
Ponte Preta vs OesteHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino20.921.621.5
55.255.8*55.6
Botafogo-SP11.311.711.7
39.039.7*39.4
Londrina11.011.411.4
38.839.439.2
Ponte Preta11.97.66.1
41.030.926.6
4.07.19.1
6.78.08.7
Sport Recife8.58.88.8
32.833.5*33.2
Atletico-GO6.97.37.2
28.729.2*29.0
Figueirense5.05.25.2
23.423.9*23.6
*11.111.011.3
Oeste1.92.64.6
11.714.721.8
21.818.111.8
11.610.99.5
Sao Bento vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino21.721.520.7
55.855.855.0
Botafogo-SP11.811.711.2
39.639.638.8
4.94.74.7
Londrina11.511.410.9
39.539.438.6
5.0*4.84.8
Ponte Preta8.88.88.4
33.433.432.6
6.8*6.66.6
Sport Recife6.17.611.9
26.730.941.0
9.27.13.9
8.78.06.7
Atletico-GO7.27.26.9
29.229.228.6
8.5*8.38.2
Parana5.45.45.1
23.923.923.3
11.311.011.0
Figueirense5.35.25.0
23.823.923.2
11.411.111.0
Brasil de Pelotas2.02.01.9
12.012.111.7
23.222.722.6
Criciuma1.9*1.91.8
11.311.310.9
24.524.123.9
Cuiaba9.29.29.0
28.527.927.9
Sao Bento1.70.90.6
10.66.44.8
24.734.138.7
12.013.414.0
Operario-PR7.57.57.3
32.832.132.0
America-MG4.44.54.2
43.442.742.6
Guarani4.54.54.3
43.542.842.7
Vitoria48.547.947.8
Atletico-GO vs Vila NovaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino20.921.621.5
55.155.855.6
Botafogo-SP11.311.711.7
39.039.739.4
Londrina11.111.411.3
38.839.5*39.2
Ponte Preta8.58.88.7
32.833.4*33.2
Sport Recife8.58.88.7
32.833.533.2
Atletico-GO9.86.24.9
36.426.822.8
5.18.911.3
7.38.69.3
Vila Nova1.41.93.6
9.511.918.3
25.821.814.6
12.211.510.1
America-MG vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino21.521.420.9
55.855.755.0
Botafogo-SP11.7*11.611.3
39.639.538.9
4.94.74.7
Londrina11.411.311.0
39.439.438.6
5.04.84.8
Ponte Preta8.88.78.5
33.333.432.7
6.8*6.66.6
Sport Recife8.8*8.78.5
33.433.332.7
6.86.66.6
Atletico-GO7.27.26.9
29.229.228.5
8.58.28.2
Figueirense3.54.47.3
18.321.730.2
14.911.87.1
10.19.58.1
Criciuma11.311.310.9
24.524.024.0
Cuiaba9.2*9.29.0
28.527.927.9
Sao Bento7.57.57.2
32.732.132.1
Operario-PR7.57.57.3
32.732.132.1
America-MG0.90.40.3
6.53.72.7
34.545.050.1
13.414.715.2
Guarani4.54.54.3
43.542.842.7
Vitoria48.547.947.8
Criciuma vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina11.311.311.1
39.239.438.8
Coritiba2.73.56.0
15.318.426.4
17.614.38.8
10.810.18.7
Criciuma2.81.51.1
15.49.87.7
17.525.629.9
10.712.212.8
Guarani43.342.7*42.9
CRB vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB3.92.21.6
19.312.910.5
13.320.524.7
9.911.312.0
Sao Bento32.232.032.6
Operario-PR7.37.57.5
32.232.032.6
America-MG*42.942.743.2
Guarani0.30.40.9
2.83.76.5
50.345.134.3
15.214.713.4
Vitoria48.047.848.4
Vitoria vs CuiabaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba0.81.12.2
6.38.012.7
34.629.620.7
13.412.811.4
Sao Bento32.531.9*32.3
America-MG43.242.5*43.0
Guarani43.242.6*43.0
Vitoria0.60.30.2
5.12.82.1
39.250.255.6
14.015.215.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.