Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
FridayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
Chapecoense47113-8-21856.8%+3.393.0%+0.55721105321100000000001.9+0.070.0%1at GuaraniAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
America-MGTOeste 1-14412-8-41020.2-1.674.9-1.1202517128643211000000003.4-0.080.0-0.02America Futebol Clube-MG
Sampaio CorreaLBrasil de Pelotas 0-14012-4-8116.4-3.448.7-9.161415141210865432110000005.2-0.650.1+0.08Sampaio Correa Futebol Clube
Juventude37110-7-6123.8+0.433.9+1.24811111110987654321100006.5+0.020.3+0.04NauticoEsporte Clube Juventude
CuiabaAvai37110-7-633.8+0.433.5+1.24811111110987654321100006.5+0.020.3+0.03Cuiaba Esporte Clube
Avaiat Cuiaba36111-3-9-13.1+0.330.1+1.0379101010987654321100006.9+0.010.4+0.011Avai Futebol Clube
Ponte Preta36110-6-7-12.7+0.227.8+1.0369101010998765432100007.10.5+0.06at CSAAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
CSA34110-4-951.2+0.118.2+0.7146789999876543210008.3-0.031.3+0.110Ponte PretaCentro Sportivo Alagoano
CRB3219-5-9-10.6+0.110.0+0.5123467789998876421009.8-0.053.2+0.213at VitoriaClube de Regatas Brasil
Confiancaat Cruzeiro3218-8-710.5+0.18.8+0.50234567899998764210010.1-0.053.6+0.29Associacao Desportiva Confianca
Guarani3118-7-8-10.3+0.06.7+0.40123456789999975310010.7-0.065.1+0.214ChapecoenseGuarani Futebol Clube
Operario-PRWParana 1-0328-8-810.2+0.15.2+2.3012345678991010986310011.0+1.055.3-4.812Operario Ferroviario Esporte Clube
Brasil de PelotasWSampaio Correa 1-0327-11-620.2+0.14.4+1.9011234578991010987421011.3+1.036.4-5.25Gremio Esportivo Brasil
CruzeiroConfianca2819-7-740.1+0.02.6+0.200112345678910111110741012.5-0.0712.4+0.37Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
ParanaLOperario-PR 0-1297-8-9-60.0-0.11.4-1.300011234567910121212952013.1-0.9915.7+5.115Parana Clube
Vitoria2615-11-720.0+0.00.7+0.100001122345791113151394114.2-0.0826.5+0.717CRBEsporte Clube Vitoria
Nautico2114-9-10-100.0+0.00.1+0.000000000112245813192118516.7-0.0463.7+1.016at JuventudeClube Nautico Capibaribe
Figueirense214-9-11-110.00.0+0.000000000011124611182523817.3-0.0373.7+0.918Figueirense Futebol Clube
Botafogo-SP195-4-15-110.00.0+0.000000000000112481424321217.9-0.0182.9+0.619Botafogo Futebol Clube-SP
OesteTAmerica-MG 1-1122-6-16-27NoNo-0.000000000000126177319.6-0.0798.7+0.620Oeste Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/27
Sampaio Correa 0 Brasil de Pelotas 1
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+1.8
+0.4
+0.0
America-MG+0.9
+0.8
+0.1
Sampaio Correa-3.7
-9.5
-0.7
Juventude+0.2
+1.0
Cuiaba+0.2
+1.0
Avai+0.1
+1.0
Ponte Preta+0.2
+0.9
CSA+0.1
+0.7
CRB+0.5
+0.1
Confianca+0.4
+0.2
Guarani+0.3
+0.2
-0.1
Operario-PR+0.2
+0.4
-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas+0.1
+1.9
-5.2
+1.1
Cruzeiro+0.2
+0.4
-0.1
Parana+0.2
+0.4
-0.1
Vitoria+0.7
-0.1
Nautico+1.0
Figueirense+0.9
Botafogo-SP+0.6
Oeste+0.1
Oeste 1 America-MG 1
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+1.5
+0.1
+0.0
America-MG-2.4
-1.9
-0.1
Sampaio Correa+0.3
+0.3
+0.0
Juventude+0.2
+0.3
+0.0
Cuiaba+0.2
+0.3
+0.0
Avai+0.1
+0.1
Ponte Preta+0.1
+0.2
+0.0
CSA+0.1
CRB+0.1
Confianca+0.2
Guarani+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas*-0.1
Cruzeiro-0.1
Parana+0.1
Vitoria*-0.1
Figueirense*-0.1
+0.0
Botafogo-SP+0.0
OesteNo
+0.5
-0.1
Operario-PR 1 Parana 0
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca-0.0
Guarani-0.0
Operario-PR+0.1
+2.0
-5.1
+1.1
Parana-0.1
-1.5
+4.7
-1.0
Nautico+0.2
Botafogo-SP+0.1
Chapecoense vs CuiabaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense67.854.747.2
97.092.789.1
1.62.02.3
America-MG16.421.723.0
75.575.374.0
Cuiaba1.32.96.9
24.530.344.6
0.5*0.30.1
7.46.85.5
Guarani vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense48.154.367.1
89.492.696.7
2.22.01.6
America-MG23.521.516.1
3.43.43.5
Guarani0.70.20.1
10.85.23.7
2.35.57.6
9.611.011.6
America-MG vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense52.458.360.3
92.693.193.2
2.01.91.9
America-MG27.617.814.2
84.373.066.6
2.83.54.0
Cruzeiro1.11.94.6
17.313.26.9
13.312.711.4
Ponte Preta vs Sampaio CorreaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa3.65.310.1
37.645.961.7
6.15.44.3
Ponte Preta4.62.11.3
38.724.918.7
0.1*0.50.8
6.07.48.1
Cuiaba vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba6.23.02.0
45.430.523.7
0.1*0.30.5
5.56.87.5
Avai1.52.45.0
20.727.341.2
0.7*0.40.1
7.87.15.8
Juventude vs NauticoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude6.13.02.1
44.630.525.3
0.00.20.6
5.56.87.3
NauticoNoNo0.0
72.467.052.8
17.216.916.1
Botafogo-SP vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude2.13.06.1
25.230.644.7
0.50.30.1
7.36.75.5
Botafogo-SP0.00.0No
75.385.289.0
17.418.018.3
Avai vs OesteHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai4.92.41.6
40.127.022.0
0.1*0.40.7
5.97.17.7
CSA vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta1.42.14.5
19.124.838.3
0.8*0.50.1
8.17.46.0
CSA2.10.90.5
26.715.711.2
0.41.32.1
7.18.69.3
CRB vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA0.50.92.1
11.715.726.3
2.11.30.4
9.38.67.2
CRB1.00.40.2
15.68.15.6
1.33.35.0
8.610.110.8
Cruzeiro vs ConfiancaHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca0.20.30.9
5.17.013.7
5.83.81.4
11.110.48.9
Cruzeiro4.52.01.2
6.713.217.5
11.412.713.4
Confianca vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca0.90.30.2
13.67.15.2
1.3*3.66.0
8.910.411.0
FigueirenseNoNo0.0
81.876.963.6
17.817.516.7
Vitoria vs CRBHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB0.20.41.0
6.08.115.2
5.2*3.21.1
10.810.18.7
Vitoria1.30.40.2
17.328.434.7
13.314.515.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Operario-PRHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR0.10.10.4
2.63.98.5
8.25.72.2
12.011.39.8
Brasil de Pelotas0.30.10.0
7.33.32.1
2.96.89.7
10.111.512.3
Nautico vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani0.10.20.6
3.85.310.6
8.2*5.11.9
11.611.09.5
Nautico52.466.972.8
16.016.917.3
Parana vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana2.60.90.6
8.216.622.7
12.013.414.0
Vitoria0.30.51.3
35.428.216.6
15.114.513.3
Week of 12/6
Juventude vs ChapecoenseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense47.254.867.7
89.192.897.0
2.32.01.6
America-MG23.121.716.4
74.075.375.5
Juventude6.92.91.3
45.130.624.8
0.1*0.30.5
5.56.87.4
Avai vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense47.454.667.6
89.192.896.9
2.32.01.6
America-MG23.221.716.3
74.175.275.5
Avai5.62.31.0
40.427.021.6
0.1*0.40.7
5.97.17.8
America-MG vs Sampaio CorreaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense53.759.158.5
93.193.292.7
America-MG28.317.913.4
85.373.565.4
2.73.54.0
Sampaio Correa3.05.210.6
37.745.661.7
6.15.44.3
CSA vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense59.958.552.7
*92.993.192.9
1.91.92.0
America-MG14.017.827.8
65.973.584.8
0.00.0No
4.03.52.8
CSA2.30.80.4
26.715.611.3
0.41.32.1
7.28.69.3
Sampaio Correa vs CRBHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa10.05.33.7
61.145.738.2
4.35.46.0
CRB0.20.41.1
5.48.115.8
4.93.41.3
10.810.18.6
Cuiaba vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba6.12.92.1
44.230.424.9
0.10.30.6
5.56.87.4
Vitoria0.20.41.3
34.428.517.4
15.014.513.3
Juventude vs OesteHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude6.13.02.1
44.630.725.2
0.1*0.30.5
5.56.87.3
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SPHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba6.13.02.1
44.130.325.0
0.10.30.6
5.56.87.4
Botafogo-SP89.085.375.2
18.318.017.4
Operario-PR vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai1.62.44.9
21.627.240.4
0.70.40.1
7.87.15.8
Operario-PR0.40.10.1
8.73.92.4
2.35.88.1
9.811.312.0
Botafogo-SP vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta1.42.14.4
20.024.637.6
0.90.40.1
8.07.46.1
Botafogo-SP75.285.389.0
17.418.018.3
Ponte Preta vs ParanaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta4.42.11.4
37.624.719.9
0.10.40.9
6.17.48.0
Parana0.50.92.7
21.617.09.0
14.013.412.0
Confianca vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA0.50.92.1
11.715.726.3
2.11.30.4
9.38.67.2
Confianca0.90.30.2
13.97.14.8
1.53.95.6
8.910.411.1
CRB vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB1.00.40.2
15.38.15.9
1.23.35.1
8.610.110.8
Cruzeiro1.21.94.5
17.513.26.7
13.412.711.4
Guarani vs Operario-PRHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani0.60.20.1
10.75.33.6
2.25.47.7
9.511.011.7
Operario-PR0.10.10.4
2.63.98.5
8.25.72.3
12.011.39.8
Oeste vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani0.10.20.6
3.85.210.6
7.65.42.3
11.611.09.6
Vitoria vs ConfiancaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca0.20.30.9
5.27.113.6
5.93.71.3
11.010.38.9
Vitoria1.30.40.2
17.228.334.8
13.314.515.0
Cruzeiro vs Brasil de PelotasHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas0.00.10.3
2.13.37.3
9.96.72.8
12.311.510.1
Cruzeiro4.51.91.2
6.613.117.7
11.312.713.4
Nautico vs Brasil de PelotasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas0.00.10.3
2.23.37.3
10.3*6.42.6
12.211.510.1
Nautico0.0NoNo
52.367.072.9
16.016.917.3
Parana vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana2.60.90.6
8.116.422.9
12.013.414.0
FigueirenseNoNo0.0
82.676.862.8
17.817.516.7
Figueirense vs NauticoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico74.066.451.6
17.316.916.0
Figueirense0.0NoNo
62.676.683.0
16.717.517.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.