How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Guarani-0.3-0.1+0.4
-1.6-0.7+2.1
+7.3+2.1-8.7
-0.8-0.3+1.0
Parana vs Bragantino*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.4
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Criciuma vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.3*-0.1
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.2-0.4*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
79-95YesYes100No624*
7823-4-390.0%Yes9010No20*
7723-3-4YesYes100No32*
7622-5-396.5Yes973No86*
7522-4-497.7Yes982No132*
7422-3-596.8Yes973No189*
7321-5-494.3Yes9451No348*
7221-4-588.7Yes89110No522*
7120-6-484.6Yes85141No913*
7020-5-579.3Yes79192No1,396*
6920-4-672.4Yes722520No2,243*
6819-6-564.6Yes653050No3,402*
6719-5-654.0100.0%5437910No5,107*
6619-4-743.399.943411320No7,389*
6518-6-632.799.5334221410No10,647*
6418-5-722.098.8224128810No14,877*
6317-7-613.596.3133533153000No20,248*
6217-6-77.291.272635237100No27,277*
6117-5-83.181.63173230144100No36,086*
6016-7-71.265.7192432239200No46,801*
5916-6-80.345.5031428291861000No59,324*
5816-5-90.025.4016182926144100No75,287*
5715-7-80.010.60029213024113100No91,527*
5615-6-9No3.00031123292193000No110,223*
5514-8-8No0.600131224292092000No130,323*
5414-7-9No0.100141325281972000No150,777*
5314-6-10No0.000141426281872000No173,511*
5213-8-9No0.000015142628187100No193,650*
5113-7-10NoNo00151526271761000.0%213,580*
5013-6-11NoNo000151627271761000.1230,256*
4912-8-10NoNo00161728271551001.0244,783*
4812-7-11NoNo00271829261441004.6254,965*
4712-6-12NoNo000292130241130014.4261,150*
4611-8-11NoNo00031124302281031.5262,909*
4511-7-12NoNo0014152830175052.4258,062*
4411-6-13NoNo0001720322711271.7251,099*
4310-8-12NoNo00311273420485.7238,301*
4210-7-13NoNo0015193530993.8221,893*
4110-6-14NoNo0021231381797.6202,837*
409-8-13NoNo01624432699.2183,070*
399-7-14NoNo00317433799.8160,546*
389-6-15NoNo00110394999.9138,330*
378-8-14NoNo0063460100.0117,303*
368-7-15NoNo0032769100.096,901*
358-6-16NoNo0022177100.078,681*
347-8-15NoNo011584Yes62,350*
337-7-16NoNo001189Yes48,117*
327-6-17NoNo0793Yes36,844*
316-8-16NoNo0595Yes27,323*
306-7-17NoNo0397Yes19,986*
296-6-18NoNo0298Yes14,061*
285-8-17NoNo199Yes9,749*
275-7-18NoNo199Yes6,364*
265-6-19NoNo1100Yes4,200*
254-8-18NoNo0100Yes2,796*
244-7-19NoNo0100Yes1,683*
234-6-20NoNo0100Yes958*
5-22NoNo100Yes1,862*
Total:0.6%4.4%1112223344455678810111443.0%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship