Guarani Futebol Clube Title Chances 2022 50/50Tied Chapecoense 0-0, title odds down 0.006 to 0.02% 18 points 3-9-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 7/15 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Serie A | 100.0* | Serie C | 100.0* | Average seed | Guarani 0 Bahia 2 | -0.1 | | -1.1 | | +8.0 | | -0.9 | | Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 | | | -0.3 | | +2.6 | | -0.3 | | Bahia 1 CRB 1 | | | +0.1 | | *+0.2 | | | | Brusque 1 Gremio 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | Ituano 0 Londrina 0 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 | | | | | *-0.3 | | | | Vila Nova 1 CSA 2 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 | | | | | *-0.3 | | | | CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 | | | | | *-0.3 | | *+0.0 | | Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | CRB 1 Brusque 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Ponte Preta 1 Nautico 0 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | Nautico 1 Chapecoense 2 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 7/22 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Serie A | 100.0* | Serie C | 100.0* | Average seed | Sport Recife vs Guarani | | | -0.5-0.3+0.7 | | +8.9+2.8-10.6 | | -0.8-0.3+1.0 | | Guarani vs Brusque | | | +0.7-0.3-0.5 | | -11.1+2.7+9.4 | | +1.0-0.3-0.9 | | Cruzeiro vs Bahia | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.8-0.3-0.7 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Vasco da Gama vs CRB | | | | | -0.4-0.1+0.5 | | | | Gremio vs Ponte Preta | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.6-0.2+0.8 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Chapecoense vs Gremio | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.8-0.2-0.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Operario-PR vs Tombense | | | | | +0.8-0.2-0.6 | | | | CRB vs Novorizontino | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife | | | | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | Criciuma vs CSA | | | | | -0.3-0.4+0.5 | | | | Ituano vs Chapecoense | | | | | +0.3-0.4-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Serie A | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie C | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 91.1 | % | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,064 | | 73 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 75.0 | | Yes | 75 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16 | | 72 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 82.4 | | Yes | 82 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17 | | 71 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 68.4 | | Yes | 68 | 29 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 79 | | 70 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 58.0 | | Yes | 58 | 38 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 257 | | 69 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 55.8 | | Yes | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 466 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 43.1 | | Yes | 43 | 49 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,301 | | 67 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 34.9 | | 100.0 | % | 35 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,888 | * | 66 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 24.1 | | 99.9 | | 24 | 54 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,846 | * | 65 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 16.9 | | 99.7 | | 17 | 51 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,300 | * | 64 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 10.3 | | 99.0 | | 10 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,318 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 5.7 | | 97.4 | | 6 | 35 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,214 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 2.7 | | 93.7 | | 3 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73,635 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 1.2 | | 86.5 | | 1 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,707 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | 73.9 | | 0 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 199,795 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 56.5 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 317,335 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 36.8 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 477,402 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 19.3 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 713,255 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 7.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,018,093 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 2.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,406,343 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,905,968 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,487,575 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,151,222 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 3,902,905 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 4,676,774 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 5,450,289 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.6 | | 6,193,650 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | | 6,816,795 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12.0 | | 7,309,586 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29.2 | | 7,632,251 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 52.0 | | 7,715,759 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 73.2 | | 7,602,724 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 4 | 87.7 | | 7,274,686 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 32 | 9 | 95.4 | | 6,747,942 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 41 | 17 | 98.5 | | 6,084,231 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 46 | 28 | 99.6 | | 5,323,381 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 40 | 99.9 | | 4,507,755 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 52 | 100.0 | | 3,705,071 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 63 | 100.0 | | 2,937,822 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 100.0 | | 2,254,483 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 100.0 | | 1,668,870 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | Yes | 1,191,526 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 818,059 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 537,944 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 96 | Yes | 340,004 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 203,945 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 117,028 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 63,466 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 32,260 | * | 25 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,194 | * | 24 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,897 | * | 18 | -23 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 18,167 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 49.0 | % | 113,122,560 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |