How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR vs Londrina-3.1-1.3+3.9
-6.8-2.4+8.3
+2.0+0.3-2.1
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Parana vs Bragantino+0.3+0.4-0.6
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.4*+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
CRB vs Guarani-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Londrina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
83-106YesYes100No1,844*
8220-6-499.9%Yes1000No882*
8120-5-599.7Yes1000No1,408*
8020-4-699.4Yes991No2,201*
7919-6-599.1Yes991No3,341*
7819-5-699.0Yes991No4,919*
7718-7-598.2Yes982No7,177*
7618-6-697.4Yes9730No10,386*
7518-5-795.8Yes9640No14,631*
7417-7-694.0Yes9460No20,114*
7317-6-791.2Yes91900No26,876*
7217-5-887.6Yes881200No36,012*
7116-7-782.9Yes831610No46,358*
7016-6-876.6Yes772120No59,368*
6916-5-969.2100.0%6927300No74,379*
6815-7-860.5100.06133600No91,771*
6715-6-950.299.9503910100No110,427*
6614-8-839.699.8404315200No130,524*
6514-7-929.199.42943225100No151,543*
6414-6-1019.598.320402910200No173,230*
6313-8-911.795.6123434164100No194,039*
6213-7-106.189.8624352482000No213,023*
6113-6-112.679.33153131164100No230,369*
6012-8-100.962.917233224102000No244,894*
5912-7-110.243.003132730197100No255,237*
5812-6-120.023.60161729271551000No261,095*
5711-8-110.09.80028203024123100No262,476*
5611-7-12No2.8002102329221030000No258,571*
5511-6-13No0.5000312242921920000No250,819*
5410-8-12No0.100141325281982000No237,576*
5310-7-13No0.00014142528197200000.0%222,567*
5210-6-14NoNo001514262818720000.0203,246*
519-8-13NoNo00151526281771000.0183,177*
509-7-14NoNo00151526281761000.1160,967*
499-6-15NoNo000161627271651001.0138,517*
488-8-14NoNo00017182826144105.0117,312*
478-7-15NoNo000282029251230014.996,875*
468-6-16NoNo00031024302292032.578,848*
457-8-15NoNo00014142830185053.462,614*
447-7-16NoNo001719312811272.748,420*
437-6-17NoNo00211273520586.336,937*
426-8-16NoNo0151835311094.127,322*
416-7-17NoNo021130391897.819,870*
406-6-18NoNo001623432899.213,893*
395-8-17NoNo00216433999.89,865*
385-7-18NoNo0110385199.96,518*
375-6-19NoNo063261Yes4,207*
364-8-18NoNo032572Yes2,667*
354-7-19NoNo011980Yes1,763*
344-6-20NoNo11485Yes1,008*
333-8-19NoNo1990Yes575*
323-7-20NoNo595Yes320*
313-6-21NoNo595Yes168*
302-8-20NoNo199Yes90*
293-4-23NoNo595Yes40*
16-28NoNo100Yes644*
Total:11.2%39.1%11109887665544333221114.9%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship