How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 +0.3
+4.6
-5.4
+1.2
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 -0.2
-1.6
+0.7
-0.3
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -0.1
*-0.2
+0.1
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.1
*+0.1
+0.2
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -0.1
-0.5
-0.4
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 *+0.0
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 *+0.2
*-0.2
Bahia 1 CRB 1 +0.3
*-0.1
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 +0.3
*-0.2
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.2
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 -0.2
CRB 1 Brusque 1 *+0.2
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 *+0.2
*-0.1
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 *+0.1
*-0.1
Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 -0.2
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 2 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Bahia-0.2+0.1+0.1
+0.5+0.2-0.6
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Gremio vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.7
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Operario-PR vs Tombense+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.5+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
CRB vs Novorizontino*-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Criciuma vs CSA-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Guarani vs Brusque+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Londrina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8319-0-099.8%Yes1000No14,064
8118-1-0YesYes100No14
8018-0-196.3Yes964No27
7917-2-0YesYes100No85
7817-1-197.7Yes982No257
7716-3-095.8Yes964No500*
7616-2-193.9Yes946No1,309
7516-1-291.1Yes919No2,903*
7415-3-187.8Yes88120No5,669*
7315-2-282.5Yes83170No12,400*
7215-1-376.7Yes772310No22,540*
7114-3-270.0Yes702910No41,091*
7014-2-362.0100.0%6235300No73,590*
6913-4-252.9100.05342500No121,473*
6813-3-343.2100.04348800No200,434*
6713-2-433.7100.034521410No317,442*
6612-4-324.799.9255220200No478,294*
6512-3-416.999.7175028500No712,369*
6411-5-310.499.010443510100No1,020,748*
6311-4-45.797.46354116200No1,407,064*
6211-3-52.893.832542256100No1,904,652*
6110-5-41.186.71153833122000No2,489,951*
6010-4-50.474.9082937205000No3,150,289*
5910-3-60.158.504193629112000No3,905,935*
589-5-50.039.4011028352051000No4,676,783*
579-4-60.021.9004183329133000No5,449,059*
569-3-70.09.4001824332382000No6,194,335*
558-5-60.02.900031328311861000No6,816,961*
548-4-7No0.60015173028144100No7,305,325*
538-3-8No0.100172030261230000No7,628,589*
527-5-7No0.0000292230241130000No7,719,669*
517-4-8No0.000021023302292000No7,596,218*
506-6-7NoNo000311242921920000.0%7,278,859*
496-5-8NoNo0000312242920820000.06,745,440*
486-4-9NoNo0001413252920820000.26,087,702*
475-6-8NoNo0001414262918710001.45,323,233*
465-5-9NoNo000151527291751006.44,506,524*
455-4-10NoNo000161729281540018.93,702,905*
444-6-9NoNo00017203126112039.32,937,765*
434-5-10NoNo00002102533227162.32,255,022*
424-4-11NoNo000415313215280.71,669,383*
413-6-10NoNo00017233726691.91,192,145*
403-5-11NoNo00031334371397.2817,550*
393-4-12NoNo001726442399.2539,397*
383-3-13NoNo000317453599.8339,659*
372-5-12NoNo001104148100.0203,913*
362-4-13NoNo0053460100.0117,154*
352-3-14NoNo0022771100.062,914*
341-5-13NoNo011979Yes32,453*
331-4-14NoNo001386Yes15,652*
321-3-15NoNo0991Yes6,761*
310-5-14NoNo694Yes2,680*
300-4-15NoNo397Yes941*
290-3-16NoNo397Yes300*
27-28NoNo100Yes101*
260-0-19NoNo0100Yes14,068
Total:0.8%14.9%135688888776654432117.2%113,122,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship