How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-1.0-0.4+1.2
-4.0-1.5+4.9
+5.2+1.2-6.0
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Parana vs Bragantino+0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.2*+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Criciuma vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
CRB vs Guarani-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.2
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.2-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
80-100YesYes100No866*
7921-6-398.9%Yes991No186*
7821-5-499.2Yes991No357*
7721-4-598.3Yes982No542*
7620-6-496.1Yes964No851*
7520-5-596.2Yes964No1,439*
7420-4-693.9Yes9460No2,218*
7319-6-591.2Yes9190No3,341*
7219-5-687.2Yes871210No4,987*
7119-4-781.3Yes811810No7,444*
7018-6-675.8Yes762220No10,416*
6918-5-767.7Yes682940No14,771*
6817-7-658.4100.0%5834710No20,334*
6717-6-747.899.948401110No27,227*
6617-5-836.599.8374317300No36,010*
6516-7-726.399.3264224610No46,069*
6416-6-817.097.617393111200No59,671*
6316-5-99.894.0103135185100No74,151*
6215-7-84.786.9522352610200No91,257*
6115-6-92.174.621229321861000No110,418*
6014-8-80.756.916193126133100No130,382*
5914-7-90.136.702102431229200No151,067*
5814-6-100.018.60141427291861000No172,830*
5713-8-90.07.00016172827155100No193,694*
5613-7-10No1.80028192925134100No213,512*
5513-6-11No0.30029212924113100No230,445*
5412-8-10No0.0000310222923103000No244,451*
5312-7-11NoNo00311232922103000No256,498*
5212-6-12NoNo001311232921920000.0%260,893*
5111-8-11NoNo0001312242920820000.0262,681*
5011-7-12NoNo000141325292082000.2258,769*
4911-6-13NoNo00151426281871001.4251,028*
4810-8-12NoNo00151628281651006.1238,287*
4710-7-13NoNo000171929261330017.2221,760*
4610-6-14NoNo00029223124102035.1203,091*
459-8-13NoNo0014132731196155.9182,132*
449-7-14NoNo001619322912274.2160,973*
439-6-15NoNo00210263521587.3138,577*
428-8-14NoNo00151835311094.6117,081*
418-7-15NoNo0021130391897.996,930*
408-6-16NoNo001623432799.278,583*
397-8-15NoNo00316423999.862,965*
387-7-16NoNo0110385199.948,591*
377-6-17NoNo0063361100.037,275*
366-8-16NoNo0032770100.027,246*
356-7-17NoNo022078Yes19,860*
346-6-18NoNo011584Yes14,059*
335-8-17NoNo01189Yes9,816*
325-7-18NoNo0792Yes6,389*
315-6-19NoNo0595Yes4,217*
304-8-18NoNo397Yes2,735*
294-7-19NoNo298Yes1,691*
284-6-20NoNo199Yes1,002*
273-8-19NoNo199Yes591*
263-7-20NoNo0100Yes318*
253-6-21NoNo100Yes178*
243-5-22NoNo199Yes94*
10-23NoNo100Yes674*
Total:2.3%13.4%2344555556666666665420.6%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship