How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense 1 Sport Recife 2 -0.1
-0.9
+0.0
Parana 0 Cuiaba 0 +0.1
Londrina 2 Coritiba 1 +0.8
-0.1
Vitoria 0 Guarani 1 +0.2
Operario-PR 2 Ponte Preta 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vila Nova vs Botafogo-SP+0.1-0.0-0.1
+1.0-0.4-0.8
-11.1+2.8+9.4
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Bragantino vs Londrina-0.6*-0.1+0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs America-MG-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5*-0.1+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.0-0.1
+1.2-0.4-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Guarani vs Parana+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Cuiaba vs Oeste-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.6-0.2+0.8
Coritiba vs CRB-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Figueirense-0.3-0.5+0.6
Sao Bento vs Vitoria+0.1-0.6+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs CRB+0.1-0.0-0.0
+1.0-0.4-0.8
-11.1+2.8+9.3
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Figueirense vs Bragantino+1.2-0.4-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.0-0.1
+1.2-0.3-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Londrina vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Operario-PR*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Parana vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Cuiaba vs Coritiba+0.2*-0.1-0.2
America-MG vs Brasil de Pelotas*-0.0-0.2+0.1
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.2-0.7+0.2
Oeste vs Sao Bento+0.1-0.5+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7216-0-095.4%Yes9540No959
7015-1-092.3Yes928No13
6915-0-184.6Yes8515No26
6814-2-085.1Yes8515No67
6714-1-170.8Yes71272No202
6613-3-055.4Yes553581No406*
6513-2-142.899.9%43441220No997
6413-1-231.899.832481830No2,035*
6312-3-119.398.9194330710No3,360*
6212-2-210.797.211353715200No7,000*
6112-1-34.991.45243825710No11,819*
6011-3-21.679.3213323316400No19,422*
5911-2-30.560.60621342611200No32,568*
5810-4-20.136.3021025322282000No48,836*
5710-3-30.016.4003132830186100No72,536*
5610-2-4No5.1015162928165100No106,067*
559-4-3No1.00016172927154100No142,987*
549-3-4No0.10016182926144100No191,766*
539-2-5No0.00017192926134100No248,870*
528-4-4NoNo0017192926133100No306,687*
518-3-5NoNo00171930261330000.0%372,274*
507-5-4NoNo00017193026133000.0224,499*
8-2-6NoNo000282130251130000.0209,626
497-4-5NoNo00282131251130000.3485,909*
487-3-6NoNo00029233124920002.1531,675*
476-5-5NoNo00021024322281009.6294,876
7-2-7NoNo00031126312171008.3265,421*
466-4-6NoNo00031328311851024.6389,920
7-1-8NoNo0031428311851023.6181,036*
456-3-7NoNo0015173129133045.7352,934
5-6-5NoNo0015163130143047.5212,926*
445-5-6NoNo000172233269169.5294,846
6-2-8NoNo00182333258167.2242,977*
435-4-7NoNo00312293418384.9494,761*
425-3-8NoNo0015203630894.0440,690*
414-5-7NoNo0021131391798.0377,345*
404-4-8NoNo001523432899.5311,284*
394-3-9NoNo00214424199.9247,542*
383-5-8NoNo0183755100.0188,722*
373-4-9NoNo0042868100.0138,032*
363-3-10NoNo0022078100.096,230*
352-5-9NoNo011485Yes64,468*
342-4-10NoNo0991Yes40,819*
332-3-11NoNo0595Yes24,496*
321-5-10NoNo0397Yes13,906*
311-4-11NoNo199Yes7,352*
301-3-12NoNo199Yes3,606*
291-2-13NoNo0100Yes1,625*
280-4-12NoNo0100Yes646*
24-27NoNo100Yes1,254*
Total:0.1%1.3%00011122345678910101111941.2%7,708,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship