How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 -5.4
-7.0
+0.1
-0.5
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 -2.6
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 -1.5
-2.1
*-0.0
-0.1
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -0.9
-0.8
-0.1
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 1 +0.5
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 -0.5
-0.5
Bahia 1 CRB 1 +0.2
+0.4
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 *+0.2
+0.6
+0.0
CRB 1 Brusque 1 +0.5
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.4
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 +0.3
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 +0.3
Tombense 1 Criciuma 0 -0.3
Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 *+0.1
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs CRB+4.8-1.5-3.8
+9.7-1.9-8.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.7-0.1-0.6
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama-3.8-1.5+4.7
-7.8-2.2+9.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.6-0.1+0.7
Cruzeiro vs Bahia-2.2+1.0+1.5
+0.8+0.3-0.9
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.7+0.5-1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Ponte Preta-0.5+0.2+0.4
-1.0+0.5+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Operario-PR vs Tombense+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6+0.4-0.9
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.8+0.3+0.6
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.5-0.4
CRB vs Novorizontino*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.5-0.3
Criciuma vs CSA-0.4+0.2+0.3
Guarani vs Brusque+0.2+0.1-0.3
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.1+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vasco da Gama finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
87-92YesYes100No14,469*
8616-3-099.8%Yes1000No467*
8516-2-199.9Yes1000No1,387
8416-1-299.8Yes1000No2,942*
8315-3-199.6Yes1000No5,807*
8215-2-299.3Yes991No12,307*
8115-1-398.8Yes9910No22,433*
8014-3-298.2Yes982No41,247*
7914-2-397.2Yes9730No74,161*
7813-4-295.9Yes9640No121,669*
7713-3-393.9Yes9460No200,295*
7613-2-491.2Yes9190No317,137*
7512-4-387.9Yes88120No478,391*
7412-3-483.6Yes841600No711,358*
7311-5-378.4Yes782100No1,019,931*
7211-4-472.1Yes722710No1,407,739*
7111-3-564.8Yes653420No1,905,119*
7010-5-456.8100.0%5740300No2,486,023*
6910-4-548.1100.04847500No3,155,210*
6810-3-639.1100.03952800No3,902,715*
679-5-530.3100.0305513100No4,675,249*
669-4-622.199.9225620200No5,454,268*
659-3-715.099.81553274000No6,194,142*
648-5-69.399.3947358100No6,818,337*
638-4-75.198.153841142000No7,305,903*
628-3-82.595.122743224000No7,627,817*
617-5-71.088.91174031101000No7,719,508*
607-4-80.377.80932371840000No7,598,985*
596-6-70.161.304213627102000No7,271,527*
586-5-80.041.501112934195100No6,749,236*
576-4-90.022.70041832281330000No6,086,716*
565-6-80.09.5001823322392000No5,322,555*
555-5-9No2.80031226312071000No4,509,397*
545-4-10No0.500041427291861000No3,697,715*
534-6-9No0.100151628281651000No2,940,520*
524-5-10No0.0000161728271551000No2,256,222*
514-4-11NoNo0016172827155100No1,668,667*
503-6-10NoNo000161728271551000.0%1,192,662*
493-5-11NoNo00161728271551000.1816,824*
483-4-12NoNo000161828271441000.7538,315*
473-3-13NoNo000171829261341004.2339,496*
462-5-12NoNo00282030261230014.6204,593*
452-4-13NoNo002923312492034.1116,971*
442-3-14NoNo003122732205057.563,618*
431-5-13NoNo01517323013277.331,912*
421-4-14NoNo018243625590.215,694*
411-3-15NoNo0031535351196.36,756*
401-2-16NoNo01829422199.12,719*
390-4-15NoNo0419443399.8992*
380-3-16NoNo104743Yes289*
370-2-17NoNo33661Yes74
360-1-18NoNo5050Yes8
350-0-19NoNo012078Yes14,066
Total:12.5%66.7%12221813107543211100000000.2%113,122,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship