How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras 1 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.5
-5.8
+4.9
-1.0
Sport Recife 1 Sao Paulo 3 -0.1
*-0.1
-0.4
+0.0
Flamengo 1 Cruzeiro 0 -0.1
+0.1
-0.2
Gremio 4 Vitoria 0 -0.3
-0.4
Atletico-MG 3 Santos 1 -0.5
-0.3
Fluminense 0 Internacional 3 -0.2
-0.3
Chapecoense 2 Corinthians 1 +0.3
+0.4
Parana 1 Botafogo 1 +0.1
-0.3
Bahia 1 America-MG 0 +0.2
Ceara 0 Atletico-PR 0 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG vs Vasco da Gama-0.2-0.1+0.2
-4.6-1.8+5.7
+5.6+1.5-6.5
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Vasco da Gama vs Ceara+0.2-0.1-0.2
+5.3-1.8-4.1
-7.0+1.2+6.3
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Santos vs Vasco da Gama-0.2-0.1+0.2
-4.2-1.8+5.3
+6.3+1.2-7.0
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Parana vs Sao Paulo+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.5-0.1+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Vitoria-0.5-0.2+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atletico-PR vs Flamengo+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Internacional vs Parana-0.3*+0.1+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.7
Bahia vs Internacional*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4*-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Gremio vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.3*-0.0
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Corinthians vs Gremio-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Botafogo vs Atletico-MG+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.4*-0.1-0.3
Vitoria vs Palmeiras+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.6-0.2-0.4
Palmeiras vs Botafogo-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3*-0.1+0.4
Fluminense vs Corinthians+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Bahia-0.2+0.3*+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
America-MG vs Fluminense*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Chapecoense vs Atletico-PR-0.1+0.1*+0.1
*-0.1-0.3+0.2
Santos vs Sport Recife*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.4*+0.0
Sport Recife vs America-MG*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vasco da Gama finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
77-85YesYes100No564*
7618-3-185.7%Yes8614No21*
7518-2-289.7Yes9010No39*
7417-4-191.5Yes919No94*
7317-3-280.9Yes81191No199*
7217-2-381.0Yes811810No347*
7116-4-271.3Yes712620No691*
7016-3-364.5Yes653140No1,204*
6916-2-451.5Yes523891No2,011*
6815-4-339.6Yes40451420No3,313*
6715-3-430.2Yes304620400No5,402*
6614-5-321.4Yes214327810No8,399*
6514-4-413.5Yes1437351220No12,633*
6414-3-57.3100.0%7293821500No18,826*
6313-5-43.799.942037281010No26,769*
6213-4-51.499.6112313417400No37,747*
6113-3-60.598.6062236269100No50,763*
6012-5-50.195.60213313317400No67,836*
5912-4-60.088.80162234269200No86,311*
5811-6-50.076.2002122933185100No109,182*
5711-5-6No57.301519332812300No134,345*
5611-4-7No35.90192533227100No160,348*
5510-6-6No17.4003142931175100No187,119*
5410-5-7No6.30161931271330000No214,205*
5310-4-8No1.7002823312310200No238,263*
529-6-7No0.30003112630218200No258,302*
519-5-8No0.00014142729186100No273,564*
509-4-9No0.000151628281651000.0%283,294*
498-6-8NoNo00171829261441000.1285,388*
488-5-9NoNo00282029251230000.5281,127*
478-4-10NoNo0002102230231020002.7269,733*
467-6-9NoNo00031225302182009.7252,573*
457-5-10NoNo0141427291861024.1230,000*
447-4-11NoNo0016183028143045.1203,535*
436-6-10NoNo00292333248166.6176,386*
426-5-11NoNo000313293317383.0147,913*
416-4-12NoNo00016213628892.9120,662*
405-6-11NoNo0021232381697.595,863*
395-5-12NoNo001624432699.374,148*
385-4-13NoNo00216433999.855,285*
374-6-12NoNo00193852100.039,859*
364-5-13NoNo0053164100.027,823*
354-4-14NoNo022474Yes18,983*
343-6-13NoNo011782Yes12,417*
333-5-14NoNo01188Yes7,809*
323-4-15NoNo0793Yes4,696*
312-6-14NoNo0495Yes2,799*
302-5-15NoNo397Yes1,497*
292-4-16NoNo199Yes795*
281-6-15NoNo199Yes395*
271-5-16NoNo298Yes167*
19-26NoNo100Yes676*
Total:0.3%12.9%0112355677777776655319.4%4,492,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship