How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba 1 Santos 2 +1.6
+9.5
-3.1
+1.1
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 -0.4
-0.3
-0.1
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.4
*-0.1
-0.1
Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 +0.4
*+0.1
+0.1
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0 +0.1
+0.5
*-0.1
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 +0.4
Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.4
+0.1
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 +0.3
-0.1
Botafogo 0 Goias 0 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.4+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Goias vs Sao Paulo+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.8
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.4-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.5-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.3+0.4+0.0
Gremio vs Goias-0.6+0.3+0.4
-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Santos-1.7-0.8+2.2
-9.1-2.5+10.7
+1.6+0.2-1.7
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.2+0.3+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.4+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bahia vs Fortaleza+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.4-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras-0.1+0.5-0.3
Athletico-PR vs Gremio+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Ceara vs Coritiba-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bragantino vs Goias-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Santos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-90YesYes100No539,232*
8519-1-199.9%Yes1000No1,633
8418-3-0100.0Yes1000No3,453*
8318-2-199.9Yes1000No9,984
8218-1-299.9Yes1000No21,572*
8117-3-199.8Yes1000No46,619*
8017-2-299.6Yes1000No102,883*
7916-4-199.2Yes9910No197,031*
7816-3-298.7Yes9910No384,407*
7716-2-397.9Yes9820No719,081*
7615-4-296.6Yes9730No1,261,218*
7515-3-394.8Yes95500No2,197,063*
7415-2-492.2Yes92800No3,659,373*
7314-4-388.4Yes881100No5,856,963*
7214-3-483.6Yes8416100No9,233,035*
7113-5-377.3Yes7721200No13,976,834*
7013-4-469.5Yes69273000No20,545,445*
6913-3-560.5Yes60345000No29,556,201*
6812-5-450.3Yes50409100No41,055,401*
6712-4-539.7100.0%4044152000No55,633,632*
6612-3-629.4100.02945214000No73,582,386*
6511-5-520.1100.02043298100No94,343,249*
6411-4-612.4100.0123735132000No118,141,778*
6310-6-56.8100.0728382150000No144,206,403*
6210-5-63.299.93193729102000No171,155,806*
6110-4-71.399.511130351840000No198,359,640*
609-6-60.498.1052135271020000No224,052,932*
599-5-70.194.0021129331951000No246,352,352*
589-4-80.084.50051833281230000No264,396,298*
578-6-70.067.600192433228200000No276,501,573*
568-5-80.045.0000313283118610000No281,534,292*
558-4-90.023.1000151730281441000No279,599,380*
547-6-8No8.5000172030251230000No270,392,413*
537-5-9No2.1000292230231030000No254,452,536*
527-4-10No0.300003102330229200000.0%233,314,730*
516-6-9No0.000003112429219200000.0208,034,851*
506-5-10No0.000014122529208200000.0180,318,005*
496-4-11No0.000014132529197200000.2151,997,570*
485-6-10NoNo0001414262818710001.4124,355,422*
475-5-11NoNo0000151527281751006.598,696,604*
465-4-12NoNo00000161729271441019.075,982,954*
454-6-11NoNo000028213125112039.256,625,776*
444-5-12NoNo00003112532227161.840,795,195*
434-4-13NoNo0001415303216380.228,414,021*
423-6-12NoNo00017223626791.519,066,175*
413-5-13NoNo000031333371497.012,303,903*
403-4-14NoNo001725432599.17,632,976*
392-6-13NoNo000317433799.84,529,359*
382-5-14NoNo001103950100.02,564,697*
372-4-15NoNo00053262100.01,379,880*
361-6-14NoNo0032572100.0703,315*
351-5-15NoNo011881Yes337,256*
341-4-16NoNo001287Yes150,469*
331-3-17NoNo0892Yes61,979*
320-5-16NoNo0595Yes23,324*
310-4-17NoNo0397Yes7,679*
300-3-18NoNo298Yes2,265*
290-2-19NoNo298Yes515
280-1-20NoNo100Yes82
270-0-21NoNo0100Yes538,500
Total:4.2%47.7%4789109887654432211103.2%4,329,909,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship