How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia 1 Palmeiras 1 -2.3
-0.3
*No
-0.1
Chapecoense 2 Internacional 1 +2.0
+0.1
Santos 0 Sao Paulo 0 +0.8
+0.2
+0.0
Cruzeiro 0 Atletico-MG 0 +0.1
+0.3
+0.0
Corinthians 2 Sport Recife 1 -0.2
Atletico-PR 3 Fluminense 1 +0.2
Botafogo 1 America-MG 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Palmeiras-5.4-2.5+7.0
-2.7-0.4+2.9
+0.0NoNo
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Sao Paulo vs America-MG-2.6+0.8+2.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Internacional+1.8+0.8-2.3
-0.3+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Ceara-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG-0.7+0.5+0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Santos vs Vasco da Gama-0.4+0.2+0.3
Cruzeiro vs Santos-0.2+0.4-0.1
Chapecoense vs Fluminense+0.1+0.1-0.2
Atletico-PR vs Parana-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-86YesYes100No14,133*
8312-0-199.9%Yes1000No3,870
8211-2-099.9Yes1000No9,593
8111-1-199.7Yes1000No30,409
8011-0-299.4Yes991No45,687*
7910-2-198.9Yes9910No105,680
7810-1-297.9Yes9820No201,663*
779-3-196.2Yes9640No310,985*
769-2-293.8Yes94600No569,049*
759-1-389.8Yes901000No874,352*
748-3-284.3Yes841510No1,259,865*
738-2-377.1Yes772210No1,909,926*
727-4-266.3Yes6630300No1,291,437
8-1-468.6Yes6928300No1,262,510*
717-3-356.5Yes5637600No3,327,836*
707-2-444.5Yes454311100No4,334,066*
696-4-331.3Yes314719200No3,011,594
7-1-533.5Yes344718200No2,117,315*
686-3-421.6Yes224627500No4,716,579
5-6-221.0Yes214628500No1,256,502*
676-2-513.4100.0%13403510100No4,431,898
5-5-311.6100.012393711100No2,363,357*
665-4-46.3100.06304119300No4,857,290*
6-1-67.2Yes732401830No2,313,754*
655-3-53.0100.03214128700No5,662,908
4-6-32.7100.03204129700No1,761,747*
645-2-61.2100.011235361310No4,431,097
4-5-40.9100.011135381410No2,995,267*
634-4-50.399.905254124400No4,524,465
5-1-70.499.906274122400No2,434,963*
624-3-60.199.602163934900No4,717,338
3-6-40.199.602163934900No1,639,880*
614-2-70.098.6018314117100No3,164,494
3-5-50.098.5017304218100No2,417,026*
603-4-60.095.5003204329400No3,011,779
4-1-80.096.1004214328400No1,579,201*
593-3-70.089.300111384010100No3,667,233*
583-2-8No78.2005274619300No1,583,770
2-5-6No77.1004264620300No1,209,053*
572-4-7No60.60011544318100No1,977,724*
562-3-8No40.300073339173000No1,346,249*
552-2-9No22.300220382810200No869,474*
541-4-8No9.50192935206100No510,538*
531-3-9No2.903153231154100No283,934*
521-2-10No0.6016203226123000No147,251*
510-4-9No0.101822312410200No66,140*
500-3-10No0.00021024302210200No26,435*
490-2-11NoNo00311233021920No9,547
480-1-12NoNo003122629207200.1%2,624
470-0-13NoNo0015142729186101.111,553
Total:16.2%95.0%161920181483100000000000.0%90,671,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship