How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0 +1.2
+6.8
-6.3
+1.2
Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4 +0.8
+5.8
-7.0
+1.1
Corinthians 3 Bahia 0 -0.3
-0.1
-0.2
Gremio 2 Coritiba 0 -0.1
-0.1
Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3 +0.1
*-0.1
Avai 0 Fluminense 3 -0.1
-0.3
-0.1
Vitoria 0 Santos 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0 +0.1
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3 +0.2
Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2 +0.2
Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0 *-0.1
Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2 +0.3
Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3 +0.2
Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0 +0.1
Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras-1.2-0.5+1.5
-6.6-2.2+8.0
+4.3+1.0-4.9
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Gremio vs Corinthians-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Santos vs Sport Recife-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Botafogo vs Avai-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bahia vs Flamengo+0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MG-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GO-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Atletico-PR vs Vitoria-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
88-100YesYes100No28,205*
8724-3-299.1%Yes991No109*
84-86YesYes100No1,527*
8322-3-499.8Yes1000No1,672*
8222-4-399.8Yes1000No3,082*
8121-3-599.7Yes1000No5,767*
8021-4-499.4Yes991No9,893*
7921-5-398.9Yes9910No16,884*
7820-4-598.2Yes982No28,475*
7720-5-497.3Yes9730No46,142*
7619-4-696.0Yes9640No73,379*
7519-5-594.3Yes9460No115,569*
7419-6-491.7Yes92800No175,459*
7318-5-688.5Yes881100No262,016*
7218-6-584.1Yes841510No384,048*
7118-7-478.5Yes7920100No551,164*
7017-6-671.7Yes7226300No768,934*
6917-7-563.4Yes6332500No1,057,402*
6816-6-754.1Yes54378100No1,426,742*
6716-7-644.1Yes444212100No1,881,493*
6616-8-533.8100.0%3444193000No2,438,147*
6515-7-724.0100.02443256100No3,097,033*
6415-8-615.5100.0153932122000No3,859,713*
6315-9-58.9100.0931361951000No4,724,342*
6214-8-74.499.84213627102000No5,662,951*
6114-9-61.899.1213303218510000No6,671,524*
6014-10-50.696.8162132261130000No7,705,269*
5913-9-70.190.60211263120820000No8,740,583*
5813-10-60.077.601416282816510000No9,725,797*
5712-9-80.057.000171929261341000No10,635,026*
5612-10-70.033.1000292229231130000No11,404,799*
5512-11-6No14.0000311232921920000No11,995,891*
5411-10-8No4.00001312242920920000No12,388,419*
5311-11-7No0.700014132528198200000.0%12,549,885*
5211-12-6No0.10001413252819720000.012,480,570*
5110-11-8No0.00001514262818720000.012,164,283*
5010-12-7No0.000001515262818610000.211,631,617*
4910-13-6NoNo0001616272716610001.210,907,697*
489-12-8NoNo0000161728271551005.410,032,459*
479-13-7NoNo0000282029251230015.99,043,136*
469-14-6NoNo000031023302392033.87,985,373*
458-13-8NoNo00014132731195155.06,910,449*
448-14-7NoNo0001619322812274.05,851,004*
438-15-6NoNo000210263422587.14,854,450*
427-14-8NoNo00151835321094.53,939,451*
417-15-7NoNo00021030391998.03,130,153*
407-16-6NoNo001522432999.42,426,430*
396-15-8NoNo000215424099.81,842,321*
386-16-7NoNo00193852100.01,362,321*
376-17-6NoNo00053263100.0986,835*
365-16-8NoNo0032572100.0695,190*
355-17-7NoNo0011980100.0475,637*
345-18-6NoNo011486Yes317,979*
334-17-8NoNo00990Yes207,122*
324-18-7NoNo0694Yes130,315*
314-19-6NoNo0496Yes79,572*
303-18-8NoNo0397Yes47,055*
293-19-7NoNo0298Yes26,927*
283-20-6NoNo0199Yes14,857*
273-21-5NoNo199Yes7,894*
262-20-7NoNo0100Yes4,099*
252-21-6NoNo0100Yes2,046*
13-24NoNo100Yes29,737*
Total:3.2%30.2%3556666666665555443314.4%226,024,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship