How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 2 Palmeiras 0 +0.9
+8.8
-4.1
+1.2
Bahia 3 Atletico-MG 1 +0.2
+0.2
+0.3
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0 -0.2
-0.1
-0.2
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5 -0.2
-0.2
-0.2
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0 +0.1
+0.3
*-0.1
Coritiba 1 Santos 2 -0.5
-0.2
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2 +0.4
*-0.1
Bragantino 2 Sport Recife 0 +0.3
+0.2
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1 +0.2
-0.2
Botafogo 0 Goias 0 *+0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza-1.1-0.6+1.5
-8.1-2.6+9.8
+2.7+0.4-2.9
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Goias vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.3-0.7
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Ceara vs Sao Paulo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.4-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.3+0.4+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Gremio vs Goias-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia vs Fortaleza-1.1-0.6+1.5
-7.9-2.6+9.6
+2.7+0.3-3.0
-1.0-0.3+1.1
Atletico-MG vs Sport Recife-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.3+0.0
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Fluminense vs Santos+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Atletico-GO vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.4-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Athletico-PR vs Gremio+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Ceara vs Coritiba-0.4+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bragantino vs Goias-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.1-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fortaleza finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9022-0-0100.0%Yes1000No1,116,258
85-88YesYes100No2,077*
8419-3-099.9Yes1000No3,028*
8319-2-199.9Yes1000No9,153
8219-1-299.9Yes1000No20,107*
8118-3-199.8Yes1000No44,213*
8018-2-299.6Yes1000No99,894*
7917-4-199.3Yes9910No195,539*
7817-3-298.8Yes9910No390,815*
7717-2-398.0Yes9820No746,273*
7616-4-296.7Yes9730No1,337,042*
7516-3-394.9Yes95500No2,389,775*
7416-2-492.3Yes92800No4,070,911*
7315-4-388.6Yes891100No6,695,556*
7215-3-483.8Yes8415100No10,823,107*
7114-5-377.5Yes7821200No16,793,663*
7014-4-469.8Yes70273000No25,370,642*
6914-3-560.8Yes61345000No37,489,653*
6813-5-450.6100.0%513991000No53,557,124*
6713-4-540.0100.04044152000No74,672,642*
6613-3-629.6100.03045214000No101,639,142*
6512-5-520.2100.020432981000No134,313,117*
6412-4-612.5100.0123735132000No173,432,450*
6311-6-56.8100.0728382151000No218,414,339*
6211-5-63.299.93193629102000No267,854,140*
6111-4-71.399.4111303518510000No320,957,614*
6010-6-60.497.9052035271020000No375,190,498*
5910-5-70.193.7021128331961000No427,492,364*
5810-4-80.083.90051832281330000No476,017,292*
579-6-70.066.70019243323820000No516,864,043*
569-5-80.044.0000313283118610000No547,355,223*
559-4-90.022.30001517302815410000No566,104,067*
548-6-8No8.1000172030261230000No570,870,386*
538-5-9No2.000029223024113000000.0%561,344,959*
528-4-10No0.300002102330229200000.0538,578,560*
517-6-9No0.000003112429219200000.0503,480,052*
507-5-10No0.000013122529208200000.0458,584,662*
497-4-11No0.000014132529197200000.2407,018,175*
486-6-10NoNo0001514262818610001.4351,571,537*
476-5-11NoNo0000151627281651006.2295,438,647*
466-4-12NoNo0000161829271440018.3241,510,570*
455-6-11NoNo000028213125112038.1191,728,113*
445-5-12NoNo00003112532217160.7147,724,860*
435-4-13NoNo00001416313115379.3110,444,887*
424-6-12NoNo00018233626791.079,976,754*
414-5-13NoNo000031433361496.755,978,089*
404-4-14NoNo0001726422499.037,881,358*
393-6-13NoNo0000318433699.724,715,234*
383-5-14NoNo000110404999.915,513,068*
373-4-15NoNo00063361100.09,354,789*
362-6-14NoNo0032671100.05,400,306*
352-5-15NoNo0011980100.02,972,380*
342-4-16NoNo011387Yes1,555,707*
331-6-15NoNo00891Yes769,879*
321-5-16NoNo0595Yes358,988*
311-4-17NoNo0397Yes155,813*
301-3-18NoNo0298Yes61,928*
290-5-17NoNo199Yes22,623*
280-4-18NoNo199Yes7,308*
270-3-19NoNo0100Yes1,988*
260-2-20NoNo199Yes460
250-1-21NoNo100Yes62
240-0-22NoNo0100Yes1,116,257
Total:2.7%37.8%356888887765544322116.1%8,975,600,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship